Cohort heatmap

— top markets × cohort tiers · cell shows YES-buy share, intensity = $ volume
Color = YES-buy share: 0% (all NO) 50% (split) 100% (all YES) · Opacity scales with cohort buy $
Market 🎯 Top 1% 🏆 Top 5% ✅ Top 10% Median Below median ⚠️ Bottom 10% 🔻 Bottom 5% 💀 Bottom 1% All
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 15? 0% 4% 0% 42% 0% $48.7K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15? 0% 0% 0% 100% $45.4K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15? 100% 95% 100% 97% 0% $40.0K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? 69% 2% 45% 9% 96% 93% 69% $37.1K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15? 39% 0% 1% 0% 26% 100% 71% 100% $34.6K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15? 42% 18% 9% 9% 77% 47% 72% 41% $30.8K
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 14? 0% 100% $28.8K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15? 64% 0% 1% 1% 6% 53% 100% 3% $27.2K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15? 0% 99% 100% 99% 99% 26% 71% 69% $27.0K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16? 100% 100% 100% 100% $21.8K
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET 67% 92% 69% 95% 51% 58% 88% 18% $20.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET 17% 24% 15% 2% 33% 46% 11% 73% $18.1K
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? 0% 0% 0% $17.9K
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET 16% 14% 6% 5% 4% 9% 6% 0% $17.6K
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET 11% 2% 0% 7% 13% 16% 14% 1% $17.5K
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET 95% 97% 100% 95% 95% 90% 77% 20% $17.1K
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET 81% 68% 90% 85% 85% 84% 70% 3% $16.9K
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET 52% 39% 25% 20% 32% 27% 5% 39% $16.7K
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET 62% 59% 62% 70% 64% 63% 63% 40% $15.3K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15? 0% 0% 1% 100% 1% 100% $15.0K
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET 53% 59% 62% 80% 71% 63% 19% 46% $14.9K
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 15? 0% 100% $14.8K
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET 24% 5% 2% 13% 21% 12% 2% 37% $14.7K
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET 9% 2% 7% 24% 26% 30% 7% 100% $14.4K
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET 89% 98% 93% 91% 97% 88% 97% 90% $14.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? 5% 5% 1% 7% 12% 51% 24% 18% $14.2K
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET 12% 2% 6% 11% 15% 32% 16% 5% $14.1K
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17? 0% 0% 0% 0% $14.1K
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET 14% 37% 8% 17% 12% 21% 4% 39% $13.9K
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET 42% 42% 40% 31% 14% 40% 15% 85% $13.8K