Track record
— resolved markets where the cohort had buy fills · did smart money win?
5,224
markets resolved
$117.6K
cohort net P&L
$2.73M
cohort buy $
61%
win rate (3192W · 2032L)
+4.3¢/$
edge per $1
| Market | Wallets | Buy $ | YES @ | NO @ | Resolved | Right call? | Cohort P&L ↓ | Edge/$ | Resolved at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET ↗ | 10 | $2.4K | 91¢ | 16¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$6,511 | +267.2¢ | 05-04 22:25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET ↗ | 9 | $4.6K | 42¢ | 42¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$5,893 | +126.9¢ | 05-07 04:35 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET ↗ | 4 | $56 | 1¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$5,528 | +9852.4¢ | 05-06 18:15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET ↗ | 15 | $6.9K | 35¢ | 52¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$4,032 | +58.8¢ | 05-06 07:15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET ↗ | 11 | $3.9K | 48¢ | 49¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$3,592 | +91.9¢ | 05-07 04:30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6? ↗ | 3 | $3.0K | 46¢ | 57¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$3,270 | +108.4¢ | 05-06 16:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5PM ET ↗ | 7 | $3.6K | 34¢ | 50¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$3,241 | +90.8¢ | 05-07 22:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6AM ET ↗ | 6 | $5.8K | 14¢ | 61¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$2,822 | +48.9¢ | 05-07 11:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET ↗ | 15 | $5.0K | 63¢ | 11¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$2,733 | +54.1¢ | 05-06 02:45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET ↗ | 12 | $2.9K | 46¢ | 22¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$2,721 | +94.9¢ | 05-06 10:30 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 7? ↗ | 2 | $8.8K | 71¢ | 50¢ | No | ✓ No | +$2,644 | +30.1¢ | 05-07 16:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET ↗ | 13 | $10.4K | 79¢ | 16¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$2,584 | +24.8¢ | 05-06 02:25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET ↗ | 14 | $4.3K | 40¢ | 53¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$2,419 | +56.6¢ | 05-06 17:30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET ↗ | 10 | $1.2K | 61¢ | 36¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$2,010 | +169.1¢ | 05-05 02:55 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET ↗ | 10 | $4.4K | 51¢ | 41¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$1,890 | +43.0¢ | 05-06 08:30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET ↗ | 13 | $2.7K | 79¢ | 53¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$1,779 | +66.4¢ | 05-06 19:05 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5AM ET ↗ | 3 | $2.2K | 55¢ | 61¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$1,734 | +77.6¢ | 05-06 10:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET ↗ | 11 | $5.5K | 27¢ | 76¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$1,707 | +30.9¢ | 05-08 04:25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET ↗ | 10 | $1.6K | 31¢ | 68¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$1,675 | +107.4¢ | 05-06 06:20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET ↗ | 12 | $6.1K | 85¢ | 72¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$1,612 | +26.5¢ | 05-06 07:05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET ↗ | 10 | $4.6K | 74¢ | 64¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$1,607 | +35.1¢ | 05-05 02:15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET ↗ | 15 | $2.9K | 31¢ | 81¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$1,523 | +51.7¢ | 05-05 03:30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6AM ET ↗ | 6 | $1.7K | 52¢ | 12¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$1,433 | +82.6¢ | 05-06 11:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET ↗ | 9 | $2.3K | 17¢ | 56¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$1,387 | +60.1¢ | 05-06 13:15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5AM ET ↗ | 5 | $2.1K | 8¢ | 59¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$1,341 | +63.1¢ | 05-07 10:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET ↗ | 15 | $2.5K | 54¢ | 53¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$1,306 | +51.9¢ | 05-05 17:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET ↗ | 11 | $2.0K | 62¢ | 41¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$1,287 | +65.9¢ | 05-06 20:30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET ↗ | 11 | $1.6K | 52¢ | 11¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$1,283 | +77.8¢ | 05-05 11:45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET ↗ | 10 | $2.7K | 26¢ | 67¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$1,280 | +47.5¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET ↗ | 14 | $2.3K | 34¢ | 56¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$1,279 | +54.5¢ | 05-05 08:15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7PM ET ↗ | 3 | $1.7K | 58¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$1,219 | +72.5¢ | 05-08 00:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET ↗ | 8 | $1.7K | 58¢ | 12¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$1,184 | +71.4¢ | 05-06 07:30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET ↗ | 9 | $1.5K | 43¢ | 48¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$1,166 | +77.4¢ | 05-07 09:15 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 6? ↗ | 2 | $3.9K | 77¢ | 10¢ | Yes | ✓ Yes | +$1,138 | +29.2¢ | 05-06 16:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET ↗ | 11 | $2.0K | 21¢ | 51¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$1,107 | +56.2¢ | 05-07 10:30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET ↗ | 6 | $938 | 56¢ | 43¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$1,097 | +117.0¢ | 05-04 21:55 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET ↗ | 13 | $2.0K | 33¢ | 57¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$1,065 | +52.5¢ | 05-06 16:35 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET ↗ | 11 | $6.0K | 20¢ | 83¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$1,020 | +16.9¢ | 05-07 07:30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET ↗ | 17 | $3.5K | 53¢ | 41¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$1,009 | +28.7¢ | 05-06 17:40 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET ↗ | 15 | $3.2K | 30¢ | 59¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$1,005 | +31.8¢ | 05-07 09:30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET ↗ | 10 | $1.6K | 58¢ | 2¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$992 | +63.4¢ | 05-06 08:10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET ↗ | 14 | $2.7K | 56¢ | 33¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$984 | +36.6¢ | 05-07 11:10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET ↗ | 11 | $282 | 89¢ | 17¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$970 | +344.5¢ | 05-07 19:55 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on May 5? ↗ | 1 | $156 | — | 14¢ | No | ✓ No | +$955 | +614.3¢ | 05-06 04:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET ↗ | 11 | $2.7K | 36¢ | 53¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$952 | +35.4¢ | 05-07 11:30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET ↗ | 10 | $3.8K | 17¢ | 78¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$942 | +24.7¢ | 05-06 06:15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET ↗ | 8 | $3.0K | 67¢ | 52¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$937 | +31.7¢ | 05-06 05:20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET ↗ | 13 | $3.7K | 3¢ | 80¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$935 | +25.0¢ | 05-05 03:50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET ↗ | 16 | $5.9K | 74¢ | 67¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$932 | +15.7¢ | 05-07 08:25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET ↗ | 10 | $1.5K | 49¢ | 47¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$925 | +61.0¢ | 05-07 12:25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET ↗ | 13 | $528 | 37¢ | 30¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$917 | +173.7¢ | 05-05 06:45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET ↗ | 9 | $2.1K | 23¢ | 49¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$901 | +42.1¢ | 05-07 11:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12AM ET ↗ | 10 | $8.5K | 89¢ | 25¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$884 | +10.4¢ | 05-08 05:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7PM ET ↗ | 6 | $1.1K | 39¢ | 48¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$869 | +81.2¢ | 05-06 00:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET ↗ | 14 | $3.2K | 51¢ | 47¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$861 | +26.7¢ | 05-07 11:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET ↗ | 9 | $3.6K | 59¢ | 77¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$851 | +23.9¢ | 05-06 09:15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET ↗ | 7 | $1.2K | 46¢ | 57¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$848 | +69.7¢ | 05-05 05:45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET ↗ | 5 | $829 | 5¢ | 49¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$842 | +101.6¢ | 05-05 16:40 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7PM ET ↗ | 3 | $770 | 19¢ | 46¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$820 | +106.5¢ | 05-06 00:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET ↗ | 11 | $2.2K | 27¢ | 71¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$814 | +36.6¢ | 05-06 05:45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET ↗ | 10 | $1.4K | 13¢ | 59¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$803 | +56.2¢ | 05-07 09:15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET ↗ | 11 | $2.1K | 31¢ | 65¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$790 | +38.2¢ | 05-07 09:30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET ↗ | 10 | $883 | 15¢ | 52¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$790 | +89.4¢ | 05-06 12:45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET ↗ | 14 | $1.4K | 46¢ | 36¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$783 | +55.5¢ | 05-06 16:20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET ↗ | 4 | $879 | 50¢ | 52¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$781 | +88.8¢ | 05-05 20:45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET ↗ | 11 | $667 | 72¢ | 35¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$772 | +115.7¢ | 05-06 23:50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET ↗ | 10 | $2.8K | 51¢ | 75¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$772 | +27.3¢ | 05-05 21:20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET ↗ | 8 | $933 | 45¢ | 54¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$770 | +82.5¢ | 05-05 23:40 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET ↗ | 11 | $3.4K | 66¢ | 41¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$754 | +22.1¢ | 05-06 17:45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET ↗ | 9 | $1.2K | 4¢ | 61¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$753 | +62.0¢ | 05-06 11:45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET ↗ | 12 | $2.6K | 23¢ | 68¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$740 | +28.6¢ | 05-07 12:30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET ↗ | 9 | $318 | 71¢ | 13¢ | Down | ✗ Yes | +$738 | +231.8¢ | 05-06 00:45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET ↗ | 10 | $2.0K | 64¢ | 43¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$732 | +35.9¢ | 05-05 01:30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET ↗ | 5 | $2.2K | 75¢ | 2¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$732 | +32.9¢ | 05-07 07:35 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET ↗ | 10 | $1.4K | 47¢ | 54¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$727 | +51.1¢ | 05-07 12:20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET ↗ | 14 | $1.8K | 49¢ | 50¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$725 | +40.9¢ | 05-07 19:20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7? ↗ | 4 | $6.5K | 11¢ | 88¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$719 | +11.0¢ | 05-07 16:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET ↗ | 10 | $1.6K | 32¢ | 69¢ | Up | ✗ No | +$713 | +45.8¢ | 05-05 11:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET ↗ | 14 | $8.6K | 35¢ | 82¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$710 | +8.2¢ | 05-07 11:20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET ↗ | 11 | $1.1K | 47¢ | 40¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$706 | +61.6¢ | 05-07 09:35 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET ↗ | 7 | $1.1K | 60¢ | 50¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$691 | +64.5¢ | 05-05 20:55 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET ↗ | 17 | $4.8K | 60¢ | 78¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$689 | +14.4¢ | 05-08 05:20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET ↗ | 11 | $499 | — | 43¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$687 | +137.6¢ | 05-07 23:55 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET ↗ | 10 | $999 | 54¢ | 44¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$679 | +68.0¢ | 05-07 00:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET ↗ | 12 | $1.9K | 28¢ | 77¢ | Up | ✗ No | +$671 | +34.5¢ | 05-06 03:20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET ↗ | 11 | $2.0K | 23¢ | 68¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$663 | +33.6¢ | 05-07 09:05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET ↗ | 11 | $1.1K | 36¢ | 42¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$662 | +61.1¢ | 05-06 19:15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2PM ET ↗ | 7 | $2.3K | 34¢ | 67¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$655 | +28.9¢ | 05-06 19:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET ↗ | 12 | $8.2K | 11¢ | 93¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$655 | +8.0¢ | 05-07 08:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4PM ET ↗ | 7 | $1.7K | 26¢ | 70¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$653 | +38.9¢ | 05-07 21:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET ↗ | 10 | $363 | 22¢ | 71¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$646 | +178.2¢ | 05-05 14:05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET ↗ | 10 | $675 | 64¢ | 38¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$640 | +94.8¢ | 05-05 20:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET ↗ | 14 | $1.5K | 72¢ | 37¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$640 | +41.6¢ | 05-06 16:55 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5PM ET ↗ | 5 | $2.0K | 47¢ | 66¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$636 | +32.5¢ | 05-05 22:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET ↗ | 7 | $604 | — | 49¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$631 | +104.6¢ | 05-05 21:35 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3AM ET ↗ | 5 | $1.4K | 35¢ | 51¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$630 | +46.6¢ | 05-06 08:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET ↗ | 5 | $1.1K | 57¢ | 17¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$620 | +57.2¢ | 05-05 14:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET ↗ | 10 | $2.3K | 26¢ | 76¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$617 | +26.4¢ | 05-07 03:05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET ↗ | 12 | $6.5K | 89¢ | 41¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$615 | +9.5¢ | 05-08 04:30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET ↗ | 14 | $1.9K | 51¢ | 42¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$614 | +32.6¢ | 05-06 02:10 |