Track record
— resolved markets where the cohort had buy fills · did smart money win?
5,224
markets resolved
$117.6K
cohort net P&L
$2.73M
cohort buy $
61%
win rate (3192W · 2032L)
+4.3¢/$
edge per $1
| Market | Wallets | Buy $ | YES @ | NO @ | Resolved | Right call? | Cohort P&L | Edge/$ ↓ | Resolved at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET ↗ | 1 | $1 | 1¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$135 | +10142.5¢ | 05-06 18:15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET ↗ | 4 | $56 | 1¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$5,528 | +9852.4¢ | 05-06 18:15 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET ↗ | 1 | $0 | 10¢ | — | Down | ✗ Yes | +$10 | +7137.8¢ | 05-05 06:05 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET ↗ | 2 | $1 | — | 9¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$58 | +5233.0¢ | 05-06 03:55 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET ↗ | 3 | $2 | — | 9¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$80 | +4624.0¢ | 05-07 04:35 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET ↗ | 2 | $1 | — | 22¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$44 | +4036.4¢ | 05-07 05:20 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET ↗ | 3 | $3 | — | 18¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$85 | +3156.3¢ | 05-05 17:40 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET ↗ | 2 | $0 | 50¢ | — | Down | ✗ Yes | +$3 | +2950.0¢ | 05-07 15:55 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET ↗ | 2 | $3 | — | 43¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$51 | +1548.8¢ | 05-05 03:35 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET ↗ | 1 | $2 | 31¢ | — | Down | ✗ Yes | +$20 | +1291.0¢ | 05-07 02:30 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET ↗ | 2 | $5 | — | 18¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$62 | +1177.2¢ | 05-05 16:10 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET ↗ | 2 | $1 | 12¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$7 | +1106.7¢ | 05-06 14:10 |
| Ethereum above 2,395 on May 6, 10AM ET? ↗ | 1 | $5 | — | 10¢ | No | ✓ No | +$41 | +900.0¢ | 05-06 14:00 |
| Bitcoin above 82,000 on May 6, 10AM ET? ↗ | 1 | $5 | — | 10¢ | No | ✓ No | +$41 | +900.0¢ | 05-06 14:00 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET ↗ | 3 | $10 | — | 17¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$92 | +896.9¢ | 05-07 04:05 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET ↗ | 2 | $4 | — | 36¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$29 | +798.1¢ | 05-06 13:20 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET ↗ | 2 | $17 | 49¢ | 10¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$134 | +768.6¢ | 05-06 14:30 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET ↗ | 1 | $2 | — | 17¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$17 | +754.1¢ | 05-07 01:35 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET ↗ | 2 | $2 | — | 58¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$13 | +753.0¢ | 05-06 08:00 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET ↗ | 2 | $2 | — | 40¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$14 | +711.3¢ | 05-05 16:25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET ↗ | 1 | $28 | 13¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$194 | +693.3¢ | 05-08 01:40 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET ↗ | 2 | $6 | 21¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$44 | +686.4¢ | 05-07 08:40 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET ↗ | 1 | $2 | 29¢ | — | Down | ✗ Yes | +$15 | +680.9¢ | 05-07 10:15 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET ↗ | 2 | $2 | — | 50¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$17 | +680.0¢ | 05-06 13:40 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 7? ↗ | 1 | $13 | 13¢ | — | Yes | ✓ Yes | +$87 | +669.2¢ | 05-07 16:00 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET ↗ | 1 | $2 | 37¢ | — | Down | ✗ Yes | +$12 | +638.4¢ | 05-07 14:05 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on May 5? ↗ | 1 | $156 | — | 14¢ | No | ✓ No | +$955 | +614.3¢ | 05-06 04:00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET ↗ | 5 | $9 | — | 36¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$54 | +570.6¢ | 05-07 19:55 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET ↗ | 2 | $6 | 15¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$34 | +561.2¢ | 05-04 21:40 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET ↗ | 1 | $2 | 58¢ | — | Down | ✗ Yes | +$9 | +536.1¢ | 05-07 10:20 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET ↗ | 1 | $10 | 16¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$53 | +531.2¢ | 05-07 05:25 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET ↗ | 2 | $6 | — | 58¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$32 | +512.8¢ | 05-05 07:55 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET ↗ | 2 | $1 | — | 43¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$4 | +488.0¢ | 05-05 23:10 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET ↗ | 4 | $11 | — | 27¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$51 | +483.1¢ | 05-07 19:55 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET ↗ | 3 | $6 | 61¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$30 | +472.0¢ | 05-08 01:20 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET ↗ | 2 | $3 | 51¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$13 | +471.7¢ | 05-05 21:55 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET ↗ | 6 | $112 | 13¢ | 72¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$521 | +465.2¢ | 05-06 15:45 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET ↗ | 2 | $4 | 41¢ | — | Down | ✗ Yes | +$19 | +459.1¢ | 05-06 22:30 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET ↗ | 3 | $17 | 27¢ | 16¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$77 | +453.6¢ | 05-05 22:15 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET ↗ | 1 | $5 | — | 19¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$22 | +440.1¢ | 05-04 22:25 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET ↗ | 4 | $24 | — | 38¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$98 | +414.8¢ | 05-06 23:50 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET ↗ | 2 | $2 | — | 46¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$9 | +403.1¢ | 05-05 13:55 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET ↗ | 1 | $4 | — | 82¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$17 | +399.0¢ | 05-06 00:30 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET ↗ | 2 | $3 | — | 68¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$14 | +391.6¢ | 05-06 13:05 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET ↗ | 2 | $6 | 22¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$22 | +379.5¢ | 05-04 23:40 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET ↗ | 2 | $11 | — | 89¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$42 | +374.7¢ | 05-06 16:55 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET ↗ | 1 | $18 | 20¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$66 | +372.2¢ | 05-05 20:30 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET ↗ | 2 | $6 | 44¢ | 64¢ | Down | ✗ Yes | +$22 | +372.0¢ | 05-07 14:25 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET ↗ | 2 | $41 | 22¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$147 | +360.6¢ | 05-05 01:45 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET ↗ | 2 | $2 | — | 26¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$6 | +354.7¢ | 05-06 13:15 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET ↗ | 1 | $6 | 21¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$22 | +351.2¢ | 05-07 05:30 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET ↗ | 4 | $24 | 10¢ | 8¢ | Down | ✗ Yes | +$82 | +346.4¢ | 05-05 16:55 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET ↗ | 11 | $282 | 89¢ | 17¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$970 | +344.5¢ | 05-07 19:55 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET ↗ | 1 | $6 | 62¢ | — | Down | ✗ Yes | +$21 | +343.5¢ | 05-07 03:55 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET ↗ | 2 | $4 | 16¢ | 85¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$14 | +338.8¢ | 05-06 09:55 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET ↗ | 1 | $12 | 23¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$40 | +334.8¢ | 05-06 14:15 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1PM ET ↗ | 1 | $3 | 23¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$11 | +334.8¢ | 05-07 18:00 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET ↗ | 2 | $2 | — | 31¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$5 | +332.9¢ | 05-07 04:40 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET ↗ | 3 | $5 | 54¢ | 45¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$16 | +327.5¢ | 05-06 09:30 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET ↗ | 2 | $4 | 74¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$15 | +326.7¢ | 05-07 03:10 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET ↗ | 2 | $9 | 24¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$29 | +316.9¢ | 05-06 02:55 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET ↗ | 2 | $1 | — | 65¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$4 | +306.4¢ | 05-08 01:15 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET ↗ | 2 | $2 | 82¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$8 | +306.2¢ | 05-08 02:25 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET ↗ | 3 | $24 | — | 28¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$72 | +302.7¢ | 05-05 18:40 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET ↗ | 1 | $0 | — | 25¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$1 | +300.0¢ | 05-07 15:20 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET ↗ | 1 | $4 | 25¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$13 | +292.6¢ | 05-07 15:10 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET ↗ | 5 | $18 | 21¢ | 28¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$52 | +286.3¢ | 05-07 20:00 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET ↗ | 1 | $3 | 26¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$8 | +284.6¢ | 05-07 05:30 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET ↗ | 2 | $22 | 51¢ | 44¢ | Down | ✗ Yes | +$63 | +284.4¢ | 05-06 12:40 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET ↗ | 2 | $15 | 26¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$43 | +283.4¢ | 05-06 10:00 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET ↗ | 2 | $16 | 22¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$45 | +283.3¢ | 05-07 12:45 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET ↗ | 2 | $22 | 21¢ | 20¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$61 | +281.8¢ | 05-07 11:55 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET ↗ | 2 | $16 | 25¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$45 | +281.1¢ | 05-07 06:05 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET ↗ | 2 | $0 | 8¢ | — | Down | ✗ Yes | +$1 | +280.0¢ | 05-06 02:20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET ↗ | 2 | $116 | 26¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$321 | +278.1¢ | 05-04 21:00 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET ↗ | 2 | $5 | — | 81¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$13 | +269.5¢ | 05-06 21:50 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET ↗ | 3 | $31 | 16¢ | 14¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$83 | +269.3¢ | 05-07 05:30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET ↗ | 10 | $2.4K | 91¢ | 16¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$6,511 | +267.2¢ | 05-04 22:25 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET ↗ | 2 | $3 | 79¢ | — | Down | ✗ Yes | +$7 | +265.4¢ | 05-05 02:50 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET ↗ | 4 | $78 | 26¢ | 50¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$203 | +261.6¢ | 05-05 11:00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET ↗ | 6 | $173 | 17¢ | 57¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$453 | +261.4¢ | 05-07 07:00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET ↗ | 3 | $17 | 30¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$43 | +257.9¢ | 05-07 00:50 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET ↗ | 2 | $2 | — | 46¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$6 | +254.9¢ | 05-05 18:00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET ↗ | 3 | $3 | 16¢ | 87¢ | Down | ✗ Yes | +$9 | +252.1¢ | 05-08 03:30 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET ↗ | 1 | $6 | 29¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$14 | +246.6¢ | 05-07 04:30 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET ↗ | 2 | $8 | 71¢ | 66¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$18 | +242.0¢ | 05-06 22:00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET ↗ | 3 | $19 | — | 42¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$46 | +241.1¢ | 05-07 12:30 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET ↗ | 1 | $11 | — | 30¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$25 | +239.0¢ | 05-08 01:45 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET ↗ | 2 | $3 | — | 59¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$7 | +237.1¢ | 05-06 04:45 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET ↗ | 2 | $7 | 2¢ | — | Down | ✗ Yes | +$16 | +235.9¢ | 05-06 04:55 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET ↗ | 5 | $116 | 45¢ | 21¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$273 | +234.7¢ | 05-05 18:25 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET ↗ | 2 | $20 | 30¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$48 | +234.1¢ | 05-04 23:30 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET ↗ | 4 | $32 | 11¢ | 70¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$74 | +232.7¢ | 05-06 08:20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET ↗ | 9 | $318 | 71¢ | 13¢ | Down | ✗ Yes | +$738 | +231.8¢ | 05-06 00:45 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET ↗ | 2 | $3 | — | 54¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$8 | +231.5¢ | 05-07 18:10 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET ↗ | 2 | $1 | — | 1¢ | Up | ✗ No | +$3 | +230.8¢ | 05-05 17:45 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET ↗ | 2 | $26 | — | 30¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$59 | +228.4¢ | 05-07 23:35 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET ↗ | 3 | $11 | 52¢ | 41¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$25 | +222.9¢ | 05-05 16:25 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET ↗ | 1 | $7 | 31¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$15 | +222.6¢ | 05-05 14:05 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET ↗ | 1 | $3 | — | 31¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$7 | +222.6¢ | 05-05 18:40 |