Messy-Globe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$114

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 05-24 15:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 67% +$0

Politics

28% — —

Other

3% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$246	124	124	+0	open	—	05-12 05:17
bitcoin above 64k on april 13	2	$243	122	122	+0	open	—	04-13 01:27
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	2	$242	121	121	+0	open	—	05-19 13:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	2	$242	121	121	+0	open	—	05-23 14:27
military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	2	$220	110	110	+0	open	—	03-22 01:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	2	$211	106	106	+0	open	—	03-15 23:47
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$208	105	105	+0	open	—	03-14 08:53
Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$205	103	103	+0	open	—	02-28 00:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$205	106	106	+0	open	—	03-01 00:04
will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	02-25 08:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	1	$123	0	123	-123	Yes	$-0	05-08 00:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$123	123	0	+123	Yes	+$0	05-11 01:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	1	$123	123	0	+123	Yes	+$0	05-05 06:16
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	1	$122	123	0	+123	open	—	04-30 14:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	04-27 12:48
bitcoin above 70k on april 24	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	04-23 15:39
bitcoin above 66k on april 22	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	04-21 05:05
bitcoin above 64k on april 20	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	04-18 06:31
bitcoin above 66k on april 17	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	04-16 04:35
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	04-14 04:34
bitcoin above 66k on april 13	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	04-13 13:07
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	04-13 05:01
bitcoin above 62k on april 11	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	04-10 03:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	05-24 15:31
bitcoin above 60k on april 8	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	04-07 23:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	05-19 14:39
bitcoin above 56k on april 7	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	04-06 07:42
bitcoin above 62k on april 1	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	04-01 05:07
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	03-31 04:53
bitcoin above 60k on march 30	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	03-30 05:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 15:31:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xd533ba…
05-23 14:27:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0x4cdb3f…
05-23 01:20:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x5aae78…
05-19 14:39:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xc91b41…
05-19 13:48:19	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0x42f848…
05-19 13:19:55	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x5e66f1…
05-12 05:17:51	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	124	99¢	$123	0x280b57…
05-12 04:52:25	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x0ff16a…
05-11 01:29:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x7fc46c…
05-08 00:55:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x9fec88…
05-05 06:16:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xec40ff…
04-30 14:16:18	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0x89e380…
04-27 12:48:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xcba1e9…
04-23 15:39:40	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xa41896…
04-21 05:05:22	bitcoin above 66k on april 22	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x34d5ac…
04-18 06:31:10	bitcoin above 64k on april 20	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xec8edc…
04-16 04:35:10	bitcoin above 66k on april 17	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x15d3ab…
04-14 04:34:57	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xccf91c…
04-13 13:07:51	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xc0bf73…
04-13 05:01:17	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xc7c94c…
04-13 01:27:43	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	Yes	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x71161e…
04-11 23:35:07	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$121	0x5269c2…
04-10 03:20:15	bitcoin above 62k on april 11	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xd1c7a3…
04-07 23:32:29	bitcoin above 60k on april 8	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x07bc0b…
04-06 07:42:41	bitcoin above 56k on april 7	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xe91e83…
04-01 05:07:07	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xa4c4a8…
03-31 04:53:17	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xb3bf8e…
03-30 05:00:12	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x0cb8dd…
03-28 16:08:31	bitcoin above 58k on march 29	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0xbe91ed…
03-27 08:05:29	bitcoin above 76k on march 27	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xe1ca4a…
03-26 13:06:05	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x7f1403…
03-24 10:59:11	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x619391…
03-22 09:04:53	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	No	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0x7ff65d…
03-22 01:24:09	nba cle nop 2026 03 21	Cavaliers	BUY	119	92¢	$110	0x269b08…
03-22 01:19:35	military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x2421f8…
03-20 08:09:13	military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xfda619…
03-20 03:35:25	cbb stlou ga 2026 03 19	Saint Louis Billikens	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x983282…
03-19 00:57:15	cbb kentst illst 2026 03 18	Illinois State Redbirds	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x674ffa…
03-18 03:26:41	nhl sj edm 2026 03 17	Oilers	BUY	109	98¢	$106	0xbb524c…
03-16 02:02:35	bitcoin above 62k on march 17	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xe008df…
03-15 23:47:23	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x8c86c5…
03-14 08:57:11	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xac5e19…
03-14 08:53:59	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x554566…
03-12 14:00:43	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0x855b91…
03-10 05:25:13	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x262dc8…
03-09 05:13:03	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x9abfb3…
03-07 11:56:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 7th	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xdfb771…
03-06 03:44:57	Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xa60a1c…
03-04 01:12:43	bitcoin above 58k on march 5	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0xb8f1c0…
03-02 14:07:03	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x4e0039…
03-02 02:03:57	will bitcoin dip to 60k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xbb7fe1…
03-01 00:04:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	106	96¢	$102	0xbda0c1…
02-28 22:54:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	106	97¢	$103	0xa65e74…
02-28 03:57:01	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xe4383d…
02-28 00:49:33	Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x40a6ee…
02-27 10:21:31	Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x2efaa3…
02-27 04:05:56	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xe13731…
02-26 10:22:52	will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	No	SELL	104	98¢	$102	0x2a01a6…
02-25 09:33:50	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0xcd3d39…
02-25 08:46:20	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x8d64cf…
02-24 04:55:18	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	No	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0xd34e48…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Awkward-Topsail 0x10b2…3513	49	$6.34K	59	05-24 15:31
Those-Procedure 0x0d95…0c83	48	$6.48K	58	05-24 15:31
Bold-Lox 0x9e10…a8ac	47	$6.36K	57	05-24 15:31
Ornery-Bankbook 0x9b77…91a2	47	$6.29K	56	05-24 15:31
Bad-Punch 0x06bc…9377	47	$6.16K	57	05-24 15:31
Well-Worn-Bag 0xb4b4…4ac6	47	$6.14K	54	05-24 15:31
Twin-Importance 0x8b81…df2a	47	$6.09K	56	05-24 15:31
Showy-Dig 0x598c…9f0c	46	$6.20K	57	05-24 15:31