Elated-Axis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

304

lifetime

Volume

$8.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-07 09:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Sports

40% 0% $-1

Other

31% 0% $-0

Politics

18% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	8	$283	145	145	+0	open	—	02-27 03:41
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$261	139	139	+0	open	—	02-21 05:16
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$237	123	123	+0	open	—	02-21 05:31
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$231	118	118	+0	open	—	02-07 09:28
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	9	$224	116	116	+0	open	—	01-29 22:37
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$219	113	113	+0	No	$-0	03-28 09:04
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	7	$213	110	110	+0	open	—	03-21 13:34
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	4	$185	97	97	+0	open	—	02-11 19:32
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	6	$181	95	95	+0	open	—	02-13 14:31
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	6	$181	94	94	+0	open	—	02-13 14:31
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	4	$181	95	95	+0	open	—	02-11 19:28
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$178	94	94	+0	open	—	02-16 17:53
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	6	$175	93	93	+0	open	—	02-22 23:26
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	4	$169	87	87	+0	open	—	02-16 17:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$161	83	83	+0	open	—	04-03 00:35
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	6	$160	84	84	+0	open	—	02-16 17:50
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$151	79	79	+0	open	—	02-22 23:21
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	13	$150	78	78	+0	No	$-1	02-11 19:16
will the us next strike iran on march 6 2026 et	5	$147	76	76	+0	open	—	02-22 23:29
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$145	74	74	+0	open	—	03-19 13:13
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$145	76	76	+0	open	—	03-20 09:49
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	4	$142	74	74	+0	open	—	02-21 05:36
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$134	71	71	+0	open	—	03-29 12:28
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$133	68	68	+0	open	—	03-29 18:27
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$132	68	68	+0	No	$-0	03-09 12:15
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	6	$118	50	74	-24	open	—	01-19 09:32
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	5	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	04-01 07:10
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$109	56	56	+0	open	—	03-24 08:49
will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	2	$96	53	53	+0	open	—	01-15 03:01
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	4	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	02-11 19:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 09:29:43	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	37	93¢	$35	0x577ca7…
06-07 05:26:51	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0x5003ca…
04-03 00:35:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x095398…
04-02 20:31:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x9b6b2c…
04-02 15:06:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0x1f98ac…
04-02 11:05:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x0beb71…
04-01 07:10:15	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x0a0722…
04-01 00:04:43	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xcc9a05…
03-31 17:53:01	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	32	98¢	$32	0xa0fc7e…
03-31 13:47:23	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x5caa47…
03-31 13:44:27	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xd9e6c8…
03-31 06:29:43	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x680a55…
03-30 22:25:17	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0x32838f…
03-30 22:21:45	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x041b6f…
03-30 16:17:23	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x89a9a6…
03-30 16:08:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0x6b6e4e…
03-30 11:06:30	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0x0faad2…
03-29 18:27:40	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x053689…
03-29 14:25:28	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xd67e23…
03-29 13:16:44	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	24	97¢	$24	0x04a030…
03-29 12:37:32	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	24	97¢	$24	0xe1078c…
03-29 12:28:48	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0x841d3c…
03-29 05:18:48	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x000720…
03-29 05:14:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0xb71c9f…
03-28 22:12:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xef9e54…
03-28 22:03:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x5ba4cd…
03-28 18:00:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x96753f…
03-28 17:16:51	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0xf2cfe4…
03-28 09:09:05	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0xbb6fbf…
03-28 09:04:13	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x76eac0…
03-28 02:03:07	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x873dcf…
03-27 18:46:43	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	27	95¢	$25	0x4ff0cd…
03-27 10:45:45	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	27	96¢	$25	0x4c2734…
03-27 10:29:27	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0xc74f0c…
03-27 06:24:09	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0xdb678d…
03-27 01:05:31	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x90b902…
03-26 21:03:13	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	30	96¢	$28	0x35d726…
03-26 04:22:57	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x19dbe3…
03-25 21:17:29	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x5ed2f9…
03-25 15:51:05	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0xbf833c…
03-25 07:49:21	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x0658c7…
03-25 07:44:45	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0x418470…
03-25 01:40:27	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x1d7bb8…
03-24 08:49:53	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x3cfebd…
03-24 02:44:39	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0xb4494c…
03-23 08:47:39	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x1a41ac…
03-23 00:34:49	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x184253…
03-23 00:34:27	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x784358…
03-23 00:19:09	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0x6d7055…
03-22 19:15:15	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0x9a7b82…
03-22 01:17:49	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0xe95117…
03-21 18:05:31	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x8e3169…
03-21 13:34:37	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x79ef8c…
03-21 06:33:25	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0x69d104…
03-21 06:33:25	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x3d8964…
03-20 09:49:43	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0x561c78…
03-20 03:43:27	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x3cf8da…
03-19 17:32:07	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$28	0xa115bf…
03-19 13:19:39	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x9363f7…
03-19 13:13:37	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x03f5d2…
03-19 06:05:31	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x1178c3…
03-19 04:56:21	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0xe91971…
03-18 20:29:21	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xebd83c…
03-16 19:03:15	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0xc1b480…
03-16 14:00:17	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x16be4e…
03-16 05:23:01	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	35	96¢	$33	0xbbec1d…
03-15 23:36:45	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$33	0xd9ec46…
03-15 23:16:03	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x9323d2…
03-15 17:32:25	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x4f524c…
03-15 10:01:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0x904523…
03-15 01:34:17	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	39	96¢	$38	0x488b76…
03-12 16:46:39	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0x895780…
03-12 10:22:13	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x5ebf15…
03-11 19:57:59	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0xe41683…
03-11 13:43:45	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xf33dd2…
03-11 12:44:17	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0xf84059…
03-11 05:15:59	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0xdcb718…
03-11 03:22:59	will viktor hovland win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0xbae350…
03-10 21:40:53	will viktor hovland win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	28	97¢	$28	0xb45039…
03-10 20:10:15	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x12fbad…
03-10 14:08:51	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x09ee86…
03-09 12:15:39	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x28ff2c…
03-09 05:00:19	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x26c996…
03-08 03:33:15	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	42	88¢	$37	0x65005b…
03-07 19:25:31	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	42	90¢	$38	0x6c3828…
03-07 09:03:39	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x6ee424…
03-07 02:30:43	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x0468bc…
03-03 23:56:35	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0x10ee87…
03-03 15:53:41	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x0387e2…
03-01 15:42:13	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$32	0xd4a2ee…
03-01 15:41:41	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$32	0x5772f5…
03-01 15:39:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0xdc32fe…
03-01 15:38:51	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x19210c…
02-27 03:41:50	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x7f8b58…
02-27 03:41:24	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x5ec1cb…
02-22 23:31:06	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x49ce2e…
02-22 23:30:42	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x103a1d…
02-22 23:29:54	will the us next strike iran on march 6 2026 et	No	SELL	20	97¢	$20	0x110851…
02-22 23:28:30	will the us next strike iran on march 6 2026 et	No	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0x3523a7…
02-22 23:28:08	will the us next strike iran on march 6 2026 et	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x81f980…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	83	$718.4K	14,245	06-09 18:25
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	83	$196.7K	1,950	04-28 00:12
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	80	$148.7K	72,980	04-16 18:18
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	75	$16.2K	12,439	06-05 21:05
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	74	$11.9K	4,971	04-28 08:12
Supportive-Gene 0x214c…6378	73	$791.5K	11,120	04-25 20:38
Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a	73	$511.0K	5,500	04-28 10:47
Gummy-Sale 0xee29…89d8	66	$831.5K	30,665	04-28 10:33