Murky-Rawhide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$211

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,477

lifetime

Volume

$43.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 05-18 18:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 69% $-11

Sports

1% 0% $-200

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773838800	2	$229	130	129	+1	open	—	03-18 13:05
btc updown 5m 1773322200	2	$200	231	0	+231	open	—	03-12 13:33
btc updown 5m 1773277500	2	$162	124	124	+1	open	—	03-12 01:08
btc updown 5m 1773669900	3	$150	162	0	+162	open	—	03-16 14:08
btc updown 5m 1773664200	3	$150	164	0	+164	open	—	03-16 12:33
btc updown 5m 1773669000	3	$150	157	0	+157	open	—	03-16 13:53
btc updown 5m 1773254400	2	$150	116	116	+0	open	—	03-11 18:43
btc updown 5m 1773286500	2	$142	114	113	+0	open	—	03-12 03:39
btc updown 5m 1773280800	2	$139	115	115	+0	open	—	03-12 02:03
btc updown 5m 1773285000	3	$131	115	103	+11	open	—	03-12 03:14
btc updown 5m 1773244800	2	$131	123	123	+1	open	—	03-11 16:04
btc updown 5m 1773298200	2	$113	111	111	+0	open	—	03-12 06:54
btc updown 5m 1773282600	2	$112	118	117	+0	open	—	03-12 02:34
btc updown 5m 1773654000	2	$108	59	59	+0	open	—	03-16 09:45
btc updown 5m 1773116700	2	$104	55	55	+0	open	—	03-10 04:30
btc updown 5m 1773312600	2	$104	109	38	+70	open	—	03-12 10:54
btc updown 5m 1773279900	1	$100	126	0	+126	open	—	03-12 01:47
btc updown 5m 1773774600	1	$100	202	0	+202	open	—	03-17 19:12
btc updown 15m 1774575000	1	$100	192	0	+192	open	—	03-27 01:42
btc updown 15m 1774711800	1	$100	172	0	+172	open	—	03-28 15:43
btc updown 15m 1774558800	1	$100	196	0	+196	open	—	03-26 21:13
btc updown 5m 1773792000	1	$100	128	0	+128	open	—	03-18 00:02
btc updown 15m 1774557000	1	$100	184	0	+184	open	—	03-26 20:42
btc updown 5m 1773834600	1	$100	135	0	+135	open	—	03-18 11:52
btc updown 5m 1773797400	1	$100	125	0	+125	open	—	03-18 01:33
btc updown 5m 1773326700	1	$100	116	0	+116	open	—	03-12 14:47
btc updown 5m 1773318600	1	$100	116	0	+116	open	—	03-12 12:32
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$100	840	0	+840	No	$-100	04-17 03:05
btc updown 5m 1773255000	1	$100	115	0	+115	open	—	03-11 18:52
btc updown 15m 1774726200	1	$100	171	0	+171	open	—	03-28 19:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 18:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc759ea…
05-18 18:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xb49be2…
05-18 15:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x68a826…
05-18 14:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc0320e…
05-18 14:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xda2841…
05-18 12:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xc86b61…
05-18 07:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xdf947f…
05-18 06:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xfe2e2c…
05-18 05:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x825065…
05-18 01:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xd2e503…
05-18 01:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x87987a…
05-18 01:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xc6e869…
05-17 23:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xc5c351…
05-17 22:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xa56807…
05-17 12:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x804b84…
05-17 02:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xe34bdc…
05-17 00:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xffe47e…
05-16 09:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x86f0c5…
05-16 04:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x67a1db…
05-15 16:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x667d61…
05-15 15:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xefd3e3…
05-15 06:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x7dff18…
05-15 05:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x433776…
05-14 15:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xc8631a…
05-14 15:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x558423…
05-14 13:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x25c43a…
05-14 10:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xc9bc53…
05-14 05:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x042614…
05-13 18:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x7bb46b…
05-13 17:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf40d1a…
05-13 14:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x7c825d…
05-13 08:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xffe376…
05-13 08:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xcc9b7d…
05-12 14:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x235828…
05-12 01:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x450d8a…
05-11 19:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xbb6c7c…
05-11 16:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xf9e889…
05-11 14:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xe8e627…
05-11 13:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xa05e7e…
05-11 03:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xb6be58…
05-11 02:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x5f299c…
05-11 02:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x9127ae…
05-10 23:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x579f8e…
05-10 22:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x533a4c…
05-10 22:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xd4a0ad…
05-10 21:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x16fd9d…
05-10 20:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x1d2cfc…
05-10 10:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xcf931b…
05-10 06:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x710920…
05-08 19:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xb9e740…
05-08 15:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x3cab03…
05-08 14:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x5e160a…
05-08 12:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xc38fc6…
05-08 11:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xc0193a…
05-08 08:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x91b394…
05-08 07:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x9a26dc…
05-07 22:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x647d44…
05-07 15:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x697811…
05-07 14:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xb3bd52…
05-07 08:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x0b9311…
05-07 07:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xc09a53…
05-07 06:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xbdf933…
05-07 01:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x93c5d5…
05-06 16:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x0509e7…
05-06 13:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xba841f…
05-06 13:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x493334…
05-06 13:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xa0f54e…
05-06 12:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xfc4a97…
05-06 08:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x3c38d5…
05-06 04:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x46372c…
05-05 22:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x64a97a…
05-05 20:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xa01b4d…
05-05 13:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x6d2cca…
05-05 08:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xaad6ab…
05-05 07:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x74485a…
05-05 03:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xb4f0a9…
05-04 15:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xec8050…
05-04 15:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x7b3d85…
05-04 14:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x568056…
05-04 13:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x821021…
05-04 13:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x6689c5…
05-04 10:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xad722b…
05-04 08:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x9f5f1d…
05-04 05:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xb781bd…
05-04 04:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x74586b…
05-04 02:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x2be20e…
05-04 01:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xbe0964…
05-01 11:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x526088…
04-30 16:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x82cdcc…
04-30 15:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x9eff6e…
04-30 14:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x959e7a…
04-30 13:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x3ebbda…
04-30 13:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x048aff…
04-30 12:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xca1c98…
04-27 05:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x1174f3…
04-27 01:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xe3b553…
04-23 15:57:50	btc updown 5m 1776959700	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc8e3ee…
04-23 15:12:48	btc updown 5m 1776957000	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xc5f254…
04-23 14:47:12	btc updown 5m 1776955500	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xe93a6f…
04-23 14:38:52	btc updown 5m 1776954900	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x030e70…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	951	$79.9K	14,052	05-18 07:01
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	883	$13.4K	1,962	04-30 13:35
Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75	865	$64.4K	16,328	05-18 14:27
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	846	$36.2K	7,429	05-18 19:00
(anonymous) 0x9cc5…c565	819	$14.1K	3,024	04-13 16:11
(anonymous) 0x7607…f0bb	752	$41.9K	5,190	04-20 14:27
Peaceful-Identification 0x4b8e…05a9	736	$5.26K	2,778	05-11 19:26
Numb-Bedroom 0x64a4…c103	733	$180.6K	12,735	05-18 18:56