Wrong-Sociology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$92

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved

298

Trades

1,144

lifetime

Volume

$1.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 05-19 20:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% $-92

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 267 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$44	75	75	+0	Down	$-19	05-13 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$19	29	0	+29	open	—	05-19 09:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	2	$19	18	18	+1	open	—	04-27 19:23
btc updown 15m 1771558200	2	$18	16	15	+0	open	—	02-20 03:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$16	11	10	+0	open	—	04-24 22:00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	7	$14	51	49	+3	open	—	04-30 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	5	$13	15	15	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	3	$12	11	11	+0	Up	+$6	05-12 21:44
will bitcoin reach 68k on april 5	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	04-05 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	6	$8	16	16	+0	open	—	04-30 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 00:29
btc updown 5m 1776641100	4	$8	9	8	+0	open	—	04-19 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$7	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 13:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 6	1	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	04-05 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$7	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 23:02
btc updown 5m 1776643200	3	$6	9	5	+5	open	—	04-20 00:02
btc updown 15m 1771560000	2	$6	19	0	+19	open	—	02-20 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 23:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 00:18
btc updown 5m 1771543500	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	02-19 23:28
bitcoin up or down february 19 10pm et	1	$6	28	0	+28	open	—	02-20 03:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-14 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-14 19:18
btc updown 5m 1775577300	4	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	04-07 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-16 01:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 20:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc547b5…
05-19 20:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xdd6bee…
05-19 20:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc3a6d2…
05-19 20:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbbf56c…
05-19 16:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9dcc89…
05-19 16:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfb1889…
05-19 15:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x984901…
05-19 15:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x10ad08…
05-19 14:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6e3669…
05-19 14:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xeea7db…
05-19 14:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x794ad4…
05-19 14:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8c7790…
05-19 14:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x0c2b7b…
05-19 14:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1eda8d…
05-19 13:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3b8bfb…
05-19 13:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3821d8…
05-19 13:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe12df6…
05-19 13:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe37187…
05-19 13:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe6ea94…
05-19 12:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5c35d4…
05-19 12:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3994ca…
05-19 12:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xea6cfb…
05-19 12:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x23288d…
05-19 12:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x778aa7…
05-19 12:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x550b97…
05-19 12:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x07e781…
05-19 11:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x730b05…
05-19 11:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0cd2f5…
05-19 11:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x933308…
05-19 11:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6c6932…
05-19 11:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xcdbc0c…
05-19 11:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x80ac55…
05-19 11:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x052c56…
05-19 11:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x75ca21…
05-19 11:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfe4002…
05-19 10:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc2854b…
05-19 10:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa67527…
05-19 10:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5f37f6…
05-19 10:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x665cc0…
05-19 10:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x1a09ab…
05-19 10:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9ca7cc…
05-19 10:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd423ac…
05-19 10:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x768545…
05-19 09:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1c7d68…
05-19 09:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf97608…
05-19 09:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5622bb…
05-19 09:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd8b121…
05-19 09:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xfc809c…
05-19 09:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xcdc6b2…
05-19 09:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x4e9d55…
05-19 08:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd9a619…
05-19 08:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc51591…
05-19 08:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb590ca…
05-19 08:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7db19c…
05-19 07:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x91feb5…
05-19 07:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7f67b4…
05-19 07:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe347fd…
05-19 07:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0a821f…
05-19 06:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1387fb…
05-19 06:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0417ea…
05-19 06:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x09630d…
05-19 06:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb26e54…
05-19 05:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0a1db8…
05-19 05:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7e0e61…
05-19 05:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x26939b…
05-19 05:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6be887…
05-19 04:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x62656c…
05-19 04:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc45d94…
05-19 04:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x10de26…
05-19 04:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x50956c…
05-19 03:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x393cf2…
05-19 03:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb0e130…
05-19 03:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5fe347…
05-19 03:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9b9454…
05-19 02:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd3dbc3…
05-19 02:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3d00eb…
05-19 02:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1fa343…
05-19 02:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xec87a3…
05-19 02:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xbe81c6…
05-19 01:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0dfe9b…
05-19 01:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4f3622…
05-19 01:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe5dc4b…
05-19 01:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x008829…
05-19 00:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa36f09…
05-19 00:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x46b9e4…
05-19 00:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8cff0a…
05-19 00:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x436183…
05-18 23:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x37ae81…
05-18 23:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd68e54…
05-18 23:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb8acd5…
05-18 23:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc769be…
05-18 22:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x29998c…
05-18 22:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x975ab9…
05-18 22:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7a3d16…
05-18 22:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc23feb…
05-18 22:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x111e67…
05-18 21:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xf61401…
05-18 21:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xeb49d2…
05-18 21:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x641a73…
05-18 21:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x245ce7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	985	$959.8K	37,174	05-19 20:50
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	983	$134.1K	63,777	05-19 20:49
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	982	$239.8K	38,745	05-19 20:49
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	982	$216.5K	61,010	05-19 20:49
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	981	$385.1K	16,707	05-19 20:47
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	981	$207.0K	32,320	05-19 20:49
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	980	$379.1K	16,488	05-19 20:47
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	980	$226.0K	63,547	05-19 20:49