Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.5%

Resolved

Trades

104

lifetime

Volume

$1.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 06-09 18:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

42% 33% $-0

Politics

34% — —

Sports

24% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$156	80	80	+0	open	—	04-26 00:04
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	6	$149	160	160	+0	open	—	06-07 22:26
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	2	$143	107	107	+0	open	—	06-09 10:18
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	10	$134	302	302	+0	No	+$0	04-18 04:13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	6	$131	67	67	+0	open	—	06-09 23:35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	2	$130	89	89	+0	open	—	06-09 18:21
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	11	$101	288	287	+1	Yes	+$0	04-24 17:43
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	10	$95	225	225	+0	No	$-0	04-18 14:08
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$93	90	90	+0	No	+$0	04-23 00:31
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	3	$86	96	96	+0	open	—	06-05 09:05
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$86	45	45	+0	open	—	06-05 23:13
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$85	43	43	+0	open	—	04-27 09:17
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$82	44	44	+0	open	—	04-13 17:19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	3	$81	43	43	+0	open	—	04-19 02:37
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	04-04 15:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$81	42	42	+0	open	—	04-21 15:55
Iran leadership change by June 30?	3	$79	41	41	+0	open	—	06-07 03:24
Will Alberta join the US?	3	$78	41	41	+0	open	—	06-06 19:05
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-19 18:57
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$36	18	18	+0	No	$-0	03-27 12:41
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-27 10:49
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	4	$9	21	21	+0	open	—	06-06 02:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	2	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	06-06 12:33
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$8	90	90	+0	open	—	04-21 00:53
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	6	$6	164	164	+0	open	—	04-09 21:48
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$2	78	78	+0	open	—	03-26 19:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 23:35:54	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xbee03d…
06-09 23:35:52	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x9cf36d…
06-09 23:35:52	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x4b621c…
06-09 22:26:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x908146…
06-09 22:26:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x4b8494…
06-09 22:26:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x382d3a…
06-09 18:21:46	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	89	73¢	$65	0x8ad4e1…
06-09 16:39:06	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	89	73¢	$65	0x0a5ab4…
06-09 10:18:27	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	107	67¢	$72	0x8813bd…
06-09 08:32:55	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	107	67¢	$72	0xb09f49…
06-07 22:26:34	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0xb803f2…
06-07 20:33:45	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	73	60¢	$44	0x579b35…
06-07 03:24:52	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0xb9197c…
06-07 03:24:51	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0xbe444e…
06-06 22:59:15	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x1b5996…
06-06 19:05:13	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xe702a1…
06-06 19:05:13	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	32	95¢	$30	0xb91dfd…
06-06 15:31:36	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x33aa15…
06-06 12:33:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x72b9a2…
06-06 11:20:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xd6cc4a…
06-06 02:13:06	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	22¢	$3	0x2dc4ec…
06-06 02:11:43	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x783581…
06-06 00:30:45	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0xa213da…
06-06 00:30:45	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x87a433…
06-05 23:13:57	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0xaddfaa…
06-05 21:51:10	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xfa6691…
06-05 15:08:34	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x1fa16c…
06-05 12:55:43	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xb4501a…
06-05 09:05:13	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	37	45¢	$17	0x7a2e86…
06-05 09:05:12	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	59	45¢	$27	0x7aed35…
06-05 04:31:33	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	96	45¢	$43	0x837f70…
06-05 00:05:24	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x1de029…
06-04 21:10:49	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	82	19¢	$15	0xe0dcf5…
06-04 19:53:57	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	47	19¢	$9	0xfc503d…
06-04 19:53:57	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$7	0x51517a…
04-27 09:17:56	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0x8dbe8e…
04-27 09:16:42	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xb12bd7…
04-26 00:04:10	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x880ebf…
04-25 20:42:34	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x9f0399…
04-25 17:57:56	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xba72a3…
04-25 13:59:50	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xd8403f…
04-24 17:43:54	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	88	2¢	$2	0x05c612…
04-24 15:22:40	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0x96c673…
04-24 15:22:40	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x51332d…
04-23 00:31:02	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	44	3¢	$1	0x66c97c…
04-22 23:04:10	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$0	0x416e7a…
04-22 23:04:10	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x2fde95…
04-22 09:05:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	86	6¢	$5	0x00b466…
04-22 09:04:58	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0xad4bb9…
04-22 02:12:24	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	42	94¢	$39	0xe4d374…
04-22 00:19:32	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0xb04512…
04-21 15:55:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0xd3861c…
04-21 11:37:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xce3290…
04-21 11:37:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x20e251…
04-21 00:53:08	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	90	4¢	$4	0xca7fa6…
04-20 23:27:16	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	36	4¢	$2	0xfc3275…
04-20 23:27:16	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0xe71141…
04-20 23:27:16	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x38368d…
04-19 18:57:40	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xb4353a…
04-19 15:32:06	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x9ca652…
04-19 02:37:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x58b966…
04-19 02:37:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	39	93¢	$36	0x57287f…
04-19 01:05:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0xd0bcdb…
04-18 14:08:58	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x7790de…
04-18 11:46:04	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xc2b218…
04-18 04:13:42	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	52	88¢	$46	0xf8b816…
04-18 02:06:52	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	52	88¢	$46	0x05b1aa…
04-17 22:28:28	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0x8a2eda…
04-17 20:30:06	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	58	5¢	$3	0x22ef2c…
04-17 17:15:42	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0x231276…
04-17 17:15:42	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x14294a…
04-17 16:09:14	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0xbc67da…
04-17 16:09:14	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x3a91db…
04-17 16:09:14	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x048f2f…
04-17 16:09:12	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x8d3b5f…
04-17 14:03:40	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x51bb9c…
04-17 11:49:40	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0x7ff9dd…
04-16 04:22:14	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xcd5f21…
04-16 04:22:14	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	116	11¢	$13	0xaf7e6e…
04-16 04:22:14	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	36	11¢	$4	0x07727e…
04-16 00:29:10	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	162	11¢	$18	0x5b0fdc…
04-13 17:19:37	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0xf43a7e…
04-13 17:19:37	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0x9e3543…
04-13 15:09:55	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0x6cf25c…
04-13 15:09:55	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x190f8c…
04-09 21:48:51	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xa37261…
04-09 21:48:51	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0x8e106e…
04-09 21:48:51	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$0	0x455242…
04-09 21:48:51	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x405d3f…
04-09 21:48:51	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0x0c91f1…
04-09 18:00:15	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	164	2¢	$3	0xb324aa…
04-08 21:51:25	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0xce5464…
04-08 20:36:51	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x733217…
04-05 20:57:45	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	88	4¢	$3	0x73507f…
04-05 18:24:47	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	39	4¢	$1	0xf9a55b…
04-05 18:24:45	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	41	4¢	$1	0x168b85…
04-05 18:24:45	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x0a3add…
04-05 00:10:53	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0xb7a9d5…
04-04 21:59:57	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0xea61f5…
04-04 15:08:23	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x712213…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	26	$217.1K	3,805	06-10 00:19
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	24	$107.9K	7,681	06-10 00:14
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	23	$39.6K	437	06-08 20:34
Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae	22	$30.1K	13,241	06-09 23:53
Babyish-Thesis 0x7fa4…30eb	22	$1.70K	102	06-09 09:26
Hard-Crown 0x6539…ac0e	21	$3.51K	87	06-09 03:52
Clumsy-Tornado 0x5c75…399f	21	$1.60K	95	06-07 19:42
Enchanted-Mare 0x2493…9876	20	$6.86K	119	06-09 23:10