Ordinary-Tear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$530

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 05-27 13:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

43% — —

Other

36% 0% $-0

Sports

21% 50% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$90	45	45	+0	open	—	04-18 18:18
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$83	42	42	+0	No	$-0	04-19 09:58
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$82	41	41	+0	No	$-0	04-21 20:10
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	03-29 07:55
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	2	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	04-11 02:52
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	1	$47	48	0	+48	open	—	02-14 11:46
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	01-07 14:23
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-29 07:56
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-08 08:35
nhl wsh tor 2026 04 08	1	$8	18	0	+18	open	—	04-08 03:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	05-27 13:22
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	1	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	05-21 06:07
nhl cbj det 2026 04 07	1	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	04-07 05:50
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$5	14	0	+14	Timberwolves	+$9	05-10 07:14
nba phi sas 2026 04 06	1	$4	18	0	+18	open	—	04-06 03:06
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 spo1	1	$3	12	0	+12	open	—	04-07 07:42
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-27 15:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 13:22:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xce4b9d…
05-21 06:07:31	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	New York Mets	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x053801…
05-10 07:14:48	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xbc2ee3…
04-21 20:10:32	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x2d85d3…
04-21 19:10:14	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x343089…
04-19 09:58:06	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x939c2f…
04-19 08:45:38	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xb2eff5…
04-18 18:18:26	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xe6fc07…
04-18 17:32:12	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x78ca74…
04-11 02:52:29	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x83e5f5…
04-08 03:14:21	nhl wsh tor 2026 04 08	Maple Leafs	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xe33532…
04-07 07:42:49	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 spo1	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0xfdaf25…
04-07 05:50:13	nhl cbj det 2026 04 07	Red Wings	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xac9d23…
04-06 03:06:29	nba phi sas 2026 04 06	76ers	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0x22bfa3…
03-29 07:56:06	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x255d67…
03-29 07:55:48	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xd6d615…
03-29 07:55:04	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfa4573…
03-08 08:35:37	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x85a0dc…
03-07 09:23:43	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x1a2b3f…
02-27 15:46:59	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xedd8b6…
02-14 11:46:49	will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	No	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0x1a3b77…
01-07 14:23:27	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xdbb86f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	12	$7.71K	182	05-10 19:37
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	11	$23.2K	568	05-21 20:21
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	10	$44.6K	412	05-21 22:22
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	10	$3.99K	3,257	04-21 04:44
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	9	$39.7K	398	05-11 02:15
Supportive-Gene 0x214c…6378	9	$35.4K	238	05-16 11:15
Gummy-Sale 0xee29…89d8	9	$24.2K	512	05-16 15:14
Multicolored-Billing 0x69af…0a19	9	$20.5K	452	05-23 08:52