Tremendous-Wick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

33.3%

Resolved

Trades

178

lifetime

Volume

$10.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-13

last 06-09 14:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% 100% +$1

Sports

31% 0% $-0

Politics

17% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes		+136	$10	4¢	$6	$-4	05-29 21:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	12	$1.2K	792	792	+0	No	$-0	04-08 05:23
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	11	$888	768	768	+0	open	—	04-27 09:10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	7	$593	311	311	+0	open	—	05-18 20:16
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	7	$585	304	304	+0	open	—	03-25 12:46
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$319	164	164	+0	open	—	03-18 18:39
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$318	197	197	+0	open	—	03-17 20:08
will tyrrell hatton win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$307	155	155	+0	open	—	03-14 15:05
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$304	484	484	+0	No	+$0	04-01 21:26
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	5	$302	318	318	+0	open	—	03-22 18:46
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	7	$294	496	496	+0	Yes	+$0	04-26 01:16
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$293	155	155	+0	open	—	03-25 01:04
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	4	$292	279	279	+0	open	—	03-22 11:02
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$290	149	149	+0	open	—	03-16 13:43
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$290	147	147	+0	open	—	03-15 05:23
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$289	146	146	+0	open	—	04-04 17:39
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$289	147	147	+0	open	—	03-19 23:17
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	3	$287	152	152	+0	open	—	04-20 21:16
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$284	147	147	+0	open	—	04-23 18:05
Will Alberta join the US?	2	$275	144	144	+0	open	—	06-07 06:23
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$261	144	144	+0	open	—	05-28 07:05
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$261	132	132	+0	open	—	05-29 02:24
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	4	$255	290	290	+0	open	—	06-09 14:44
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	3	$255	186	186	+0	open	—	06-04 21:51
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	3	$249	231	231	+0	open	—	06-08 22:19
Netanyahu out by June 30?	3	$249	127	127	+0	open	—	06-09 10:17
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	3	$249	154	154	+0	open	—	06-05 03:47
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$148	309	164	+145	open	—	04-14 19:06
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$140	304	304	+0	open	—	05-29 08:51
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	3	$107	144	144	+0	open	—	06-09 22:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	7	$76	337	337	+0	open	—	05-17 06:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 22:21:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x7b198e…
06-09 22:21:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	37¢	$51	0x457050…
06-09 20:43:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	37¢	$53	0x1cfaf5…
06-09 14:44:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	225	45¢	$101	0xf77215…
06-09 14:44:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	65	45¢	$29	0x98f8dc…
06-09 12:45:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	177	43¢	$76	0xd7918a…
06-09 12:45:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	113	43¢	$49	0x560662…
06-09 10:17:43	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	127	98¢	$125	0xf886c3…
06-09 06:55:46	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xcc4edc…
06-09 06:55:45	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	104	98¢	$102	0x16d498…
06-08 22:19:48	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	231	54¢	$125	0x352a25…
06-08 22:17:04	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	226	54¢	$122	0x304690…
06-08 22:17:04	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x27f023…
06-07 06:23:22	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	144	95¢	$137	0x502dca…
06-07 04:10:31	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	144	96¢	$138	0x8eb2a5…
06-05 03:47:25	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x3b8a3f…
06-05 02:30:34	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	144	81¢	$116	0x00130d…
06-05 01:17:03	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	154	81¢	$125	0xd85c01…
06-04 21:51:36	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	186	67¢	$125	0xca91e7…
06-04 19:17:13	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xd18d93…
06-04 19:17:13	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	165	70¢	$115	0x6e9c51…
05-29 21:57:44	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	38	7¢	$3	0x769e06…
05-29 21:57:44	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	32	7¢	$2	0x6b54ab…
05-29 21:08:01	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x8c3a18…
05-29 21:08:01	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	32	7¢	$2	0x32e8ba…
05-29 21:07:50	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	34	7¢	$2	0x429212…
05-29 21:07:50	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0x0ce235…
05-29 15:33:44	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	321	7¢	$22	0x1793ae…
05-29 08:51:09	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	145	3¢	$5	0xcda543…
05-29 06:45:26	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	56	3¢	$2	0xd5a78e…
05-29 06:45:26	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	89	3¢	$3	0x7d9150…
05-29 02:24:25	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	132	99¢	$131	0x3c99c1…
05-29 01:01:14	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	132	99¢	$131	0x9c9199…
05-28 07:05:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	144	90¢	$130	0x7c194a…
05-28 05:32:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	144	91¢	$131	0xede6ec…
05-27 18:27:11	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	282	8¢	$22	0xbfcbe5…
05-27 18:27:11	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	8¢	$3	0x8fc7f6…
05-27 16:49:46	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	10¢	$12	0xfb7cbf…
05-27 16:49:46	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0xed547e…
05-27 16:49:46	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	162	10¢	$17	0x7b8824…
05-18 20:16:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	81	95¢	$77	0xa8ad1b…
05-18 20:16:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	81	95¢	$77	0x6586e7…
05-18 20:15:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	162	95¢	$154	0xeaacc8…
05-18 14:25:38	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	159	40¢	$64	0x062b7e…
05-18 12:02:45	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	159	42¢	$67	0x18914b…
05-18 01:38:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	141	4¢	$6	0xf4ff80…
05-18 01:38:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0xcf96c4…
05-18 01:38:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	105	4¢	$5	0xcbf3f1…
05-18 01:38:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	105	4¢	$5	0xa94892…
05-18 01:38:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	41	4¢	$2	0x3bb4f5…
05-17 23:18:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	309	4¢	$14	0x5d17be…
05-17 23:18:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	114	4¢	$5	0x4d3ea4…
05-17 23:18:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0xb3aece…
05-17 06:48:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0xcb53b5…
05-17 05:23:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0xdbe901…
05-16 02:21:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0xca4f5d…
05-15 23:42:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	264	2¢	$6	0xd51339…
05-15 22:21:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0xbb7139…
05-15 22:21:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	2¢	$2	0xd42ed4…
05-15 22:21:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	2¢	$3	0xb2eca0…
05-15 08:14:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	134	96¢	$129	0xfc45e9…
05-15 08:13:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x965a50…
05-15 04:31:59	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	131	96¢	$126	0xed659f…
05-15 04:31:59	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x155b82…
04-27 09:10:26	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xd7e14b…
04-27 09:10:26	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0xb2a4c4…
04-27 09:10:26	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	78	98¢	$77	0x7a191a…
04-27 07:38:22	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	144	98¢	$142	0x1a72b0…
04-26 01:16:50	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	346	2¢	$6	0x5a1c05…
04-25 22:46:36	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	165	2¢	$2	0xbab124…
04-25 22:46:36	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xa3aa8e…
04-25 22:46:36	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	169	2¢	$3	0x838b5b…
04-25 14:15:14	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	114	99¢	$112	0xeb59f4…
04-25 14:15:14	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x40ae14…
04-25 10:07:28	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	144	98¢	$142	0xb4c7f8…
04-24 00:50:44	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	321	1¢	$4	0xb7ffb7…
04-23 23:36:06	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	321	1¢	$4	0xe367c6…
04-23 18:05:16	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	147	97¢	$142	0xd8dfd1…
04-23 14:23:40	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	147	97¢	$142	0x58db67…
04-22 12:57:32	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	116	94¢	$110	0xf0aca5…
04-22 12:57:32	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0x6344ee…
04-22 10:40:36	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	150	94¢	$142	0x83d888…
04-22 08:28:34	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xcad050…
04-22 08:28:34	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	128	2¢	$2	0x72fe3e…
04-22 06:02:22	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	148	2¢	$3	0xca00be…
04-21 10:59:34	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	159	99¢	$157	0x97d2ee…
04-21 09:29:42	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	159	99¢	$157	0x44541c…
04-20 21:16:42	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	142	93¢	$133	0x76dab1…
04-20 21:15:56	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xd0b003…
04-20 17:10:22	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	152	95¢	$145	0x61b8c0…
04-14 19:06:18	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	145	98¢	$142	0x8c6381…
04-13 20:25:21	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	SELL	189	5¢	$9	0xcb1993…
04-13 20:25:21	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	SELL	173	5¢	$8	0x95bf72…
04-13 20:25:21	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	SELL	144	5¢	$7	0x86902a…
04-13 20:25:21	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	SELL	115	5¢	$6	0x4b7cdb…
04-13 20:24:35	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	621	5¢	$30	0xd7daf0…
04-11 01:09:27	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	164	2¢	$3	0x86103c…
04-10 23:36:35	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	159	2¢	$3	0x67804f…
04-10 23:36:35	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6540b3…
04-10 18:21:07	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	SELL	328	1¢	$4	0xe128fe…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	42	$458.4K	7,846	06-10 00:22
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	39	$188.0K	14,409	06-10 00:27
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	38	$74.2K	760	06-08 20:17
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	38	$6.24K	1,649	06-08 23:04
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	36	$7.49K	4,676	06-08 17:00
Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae	34	$83.3K	28,351	06-10 00:22
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	33	$8.12K	388	06-09 20:17
Spirited-Motion 0x70b6…aa2f	32	$10.3K	5,299	06-04 16:41