Set Handicap: Paolini (-1.5) vs Mertens (+1.5)
closed
Total volume
$1,170
Trades
30
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-09 14:52
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-16.9¢
(top1%: 11% YES on $456
vs crowd: 28% YES on $827)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $0 | $402 | $402 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $65 | $19 | +$46 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $163 | $5 | +$158 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $2 | $171 | $169 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $50 | $406 | $356 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $37 | $11 | +$26 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 5 | $3 | $181 | $178 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $127 | — | +$127 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slow-Minute 0xdf0d…9f79 | Mertens | +241 | $241 | $241 | 2 | 05-09 14:52 |
| Spirited-Bunkhouse 0x84f6…2e01 | Paolini | +238 | $62 | $62 | 2 | 05-09 10:33 |
| Gargantuan-Heater 0x5e30…acbf | Mertens | +176 | $125 | $125 | 2 | 05-09 11:04 |
| Right-Tarragon 0xa590…271c | Paolini | +111 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-09 11:48 |
| Terrible-Initiative 0xf629…38d5 | Paolini | +82 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-09 11:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x5628…abbc | Mertens | +50 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-09 08:21 |
| Homely-Doc 0xd13c…98a7 | Paolini | +22 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 11:48 |
| Ornery-Swordfight 0x15ac…f3ba | Paolini | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 13:49 |
| Fuzzy-Treasure 0x52ab…eceb | Mertens | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 10:32 |
| Alienated-Wording 0x0d10…780b | Paolini | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 11:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b4a…e2bf | Paolini | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 13:30 |
| Fancy-Guilt 0x74d6…3b10 | Mertens | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 13:30 |
| Barren-Pseudoscience 0x7629…226c | Paolini | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 11:04 |
| Informal-Morbid 0x6202…8872 | Mertens | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 08:21 |
| Idle-Civilian 0xcc69…8459 | Paolini | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 11:48 |
| Fearful-Cloak 0x8ed5…41e1 | Paolini | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 11:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 14:52:44 | Thunderous-Jug 0xc39e…b58b | Mertens | SELL | 231 | 100¢ | $231 | 0x479e7a… |
| 05-09 14:52:44 | Slow-Minute 0xdf0d…9f79 | Mertens | BUY | 231 | 100¢ | $231 | 0x479e7a… |
| 05-09 13:54:06 | Grateful-Coconut 0x3112…3fcd | Mertens | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x84d845… |
| 05-09 13:54:06 | Slow-Minute 0xdf0d…9f79 | Mertens | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x84d845… |
| 05-09 13:49:42 | Ornery-Swordfight 0x15ac…f3ba | Paolini | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x67f0fe… |
| 05-09 13:49:42 | Grateful-Coconut 0x3112…3fcd | Mertens | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x67f0fe… |
| 05-09 13:30:20 | (anonymous) 0x9b4a…e2bf | Paolini | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x33ef4f… |
| 05-09 13:30:20 | Fancy-Guilt 0x74d6…3b10 | Mertens | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x33ef4f… |
| 05-09 11:48:24 | Homely-Doc 0xd13c…98a7 | Paolini | BUY | 22 | 45¢ | $10 | 0x06d6d2… |
| 05-09 11:48:24 | Testy-Atrium 0x4be6…b010 | Paolini | SELL | 82 | 45¢ | $37 | 0x0a9e52… |
| 05-09 11:48:24 | Testy-Atrium 0x4be6…b010 | Paolini | SELL | 22 | 45¢ | $10 | 0x06d6d2… |
| 05-09 11:48:24 | Terrible-Initiative 0xf629…38d5 | Paolini | BUY | 82 | 45¢ | $37 | 0x0a9e52… |
| 05-09 11:48:20 | Right-Tarragon 0xa590…271c | Paolini | BUY | 111 | 45¢ | $50 | 0x22926c… |
| 05-09 11:48:20 | Testy-Atrium 0x4be6…b010 | Paolini | SELL | 7 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x2c5fff… |
| 05-09 11:48:20 | Fearful-Cloak 0x8ed5…41e1 | Paolini | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x7654ca… |
| 05-09 11:48:20 | Alienated-Wording 0x0d10…780b | Paolini | BUY | 7 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x2c5fff… |
| 05-09 11:48:20 | Testy-Atrium 0x4be6…b010 | Paolini | SELL | 111 | 45¢ | $50 | 0x22926c… |
| 05-09 11:48:20 | Testy-Atrium 0x4be6…b010 | Paolini | SELL | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x7654ca… |
| 05-09 11:48:18 | Idle-Civilian 0xcc69…8459 | Paolini | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0xc07a66… |
| 05-09 11:48:18 | Testy-Atrium 0x4be6…b010 | Paolini | SELL | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0xc07a66… |
| 05-09 11:04:11 | Barren-Pseudoscience 0x7629…226c | Paolini | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x58fff3… |
| 05-09 11:04:11 | Gargantuan-Heater 0x5e30…acbf | Mertens | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x58fff3… |
| 05-09 10:33:26 | Spirited-Bunkhouse 0x84f6…2e01 | Paolini | BUY | 231 | 26¢ | $60 | 0xa70deb… |
| 05-09 10:33:26 | Thunderous-Jug 0xc39e…b58b | Mertens | BUY | 231 | 74¢ | $171 | 0xa70deb… |
| 05-09 10:32:37 | Fuzzy-Treasure 0x52ab…eceb | Mertens | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xbc0d1f… |
| 05-09 10:32:37 | Spirited-Bunkhouse 0x84f6…2e01 | Paolini | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xbc0d1f… |
| 05-09 08:21:33 | Informal-Morbid 0x6202…8872 | Mertens | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x3b4018… |
| 05-09 08:21:33 | (anonymous) 0x5628…abbc | Mertens | BUY | 50 | 72¢ | $36 | 0x3b4018… |
| 05-09 08:21:33 | Testy-Atrium 0x4be6…b010 | Paolini | BUY | 226 | 29¢ | $65 | 0x3b4018… |
| 05-09 08:21:33 | Gargantuan-Heater 0x5e30…acbf | Mertens | BUY | 171 | 71¢ | $122 | 0x3b4018… |