Track record
— resolved markets where the cohort had buy fills · did smart money win?
244
markets resolved
$15.6K
cohort net P&L
$42.9K
cohort buy $
63%
win rate (153W · 91L)
+36.3¢/$
edge per $1
| Market | Wallets | Buy $ | YES @ | NO @ | Resolved | Right call? | Cohort P&L | Edge/$ | Resolved at ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET ↗ | 2 | $38 | 39¢ | — | Down | ✗ Yes | $-38 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 06:25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET ↗ | 1 | $129 | 47¢ | 56¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$2 | +1.6¢ | 05-05 06:25 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET ↗ | 1 | $5 | — | 50¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$5 | +100.0¢ | 05-05 06:25 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET ↗ | 2 | $36 | — | 52¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$34 | +94.1¢ | 05-05 06:20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET ↗ | 2 | $549 | 61¢ | 47¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$373 | +67.9¢ | 05-05 06:20 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET ↗ | 1 | $9 | — | 45¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$12 | +123.8¢ | 05-05 06:20 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET ↗ | 1 | $5 | 52¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$5 | +92.3¢ | 05-05 06:15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET ↗ | 2 | $814 | 40¢ | 58¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-616 | -75.7¢ | 05-05 06:15 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET ↗ | 2 | $480 | — | 59¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-480 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 06:15 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET ↗ | 1 | $8 | — | 61¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$5 | +63.9¢ | 05-05 06:15 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET ↗ | 1 | $4 | — | 51¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-4 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 06:10 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET ↗ | 2 | $57 | 27¢ | 76¢ | Down | ✗ Yes | $-34 | -60.0¢ | 05-05 06:10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET ↗ | 2 | $1.3K | 27¢ | 55¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$311 | +23.6¢ | 05-05 06:10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET ↗ | 2 | $74 | 55¢ | 42¢ | Down | ✗ Yes | $-30 | -40.4¢ | 05-05 06:05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET ↗ | 1 | $1.3K | — | 42¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-1,296 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 05:40 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET ↗ | 2 | $996 | 34¢ | 68¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$84 | +8.5¢ | 05-05 05:15 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET ↗ | 2 | $16 | 69¢ | 14¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | $-1 | -3.2¢ | 05-05 05:15 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET ↗ | 2 | $112 | — | 72¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$43 | +38.2¢ | 05-05 05:15 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET ↗ | 2 | $28 | 31¢ | 85¢ | Down | ✓ No | $-9 | -32.1¢ | 05-05 05:15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET ↗ | 1 | $135 | 38¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$221 | +164.2¢ | 05-05 05:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET ↗ | 1 | $1.9K | — | 48¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$2,055 | +108.6¢ | 05-05 05:00 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET ↗ | 2 | $3 | — | 9¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-3 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 05:00 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET ↗ | 1 | $10 | 67¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$5 | +49.3¢ | 05-05 05:00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET ↗ | 1 | $3.1K | 44¢ | 64¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$802 | +26.0¢ | 05-05 05:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET ↗ | 1 | $15.6K | 43¢ | 64¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-9,202 | -59.1¢ | 05-05 05:00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET ↗ | 2 | $1.1K | 49¢ | 24¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$110 | +10.1¢ | 05-05 05:00 |
| Bitcoin above 81,200 on May 5, 1AM ET? ↗ | 1 | $18 | — | 92¢ | No | ✓ No | +$2 | +8.1¢ | 05-05 05:00 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET ↗ | 1 | $27 | — | 68¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$13 | +47.6¢ | 05-05 05:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET ↗ | 1 | $400 | 54¢ | — | Down | ✗ Yes | $-400 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 04:55 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET ↗ | 2 | $8.2K | 71¢ | 36¢ | Down | ✗ Yes | $-216 | -2.6¢ | 05-05 04:45 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET ↗ | 2 | $121 | — | 70¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$52 | +43.3¢ | 05-05 04:45 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET ↗ | 2 | $833 | 70¢ | 32¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$798 | +95.7¢ | 05-05 04:45 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET ↗ | 1 | $10 | — | 50¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$10 | +102.0¢ | 05-05 04:45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET ↗ | 1 | $400 | — | 50¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$425 | +106.3¢ | 05-05 04:35 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET ↗ | 2 | $709 | 74¢ | 23¢ | Down | ✗ Yes | $-103 | -14.5¢ | 05-05 04:30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET ↗ | 2 | $2.5K | 63¢ | 36¢ | Down | ✗ Yes | +$990 | +40.4¢ | 05-05 04:30 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET ↗ | 2 | $14 | — | 50¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$14 | +99.1¢ | 05-05 04:30 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET ↗ | 1 | $90 | — | 80¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$23 | +25.0¢ | 05-05 04:30 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET ↗ | 1 | $10 | — | 50¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$10 | +100.0¢ | 05-05 04:25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET ↗ | 1 | $336 | — | 61¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$218 | +64.8¢ | 05-05 04:25 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET ↗ | 1 | $0 | — | 34¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-0 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 04:20 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET ↗ | 1 | $3 | — | 28¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-3 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 04:20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET ↗ | 2 | $10.9K | 99¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$152 | +1.4¢ | 05-05 04:20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET ↗ | 2 | $2.3K | 9¢ | 74¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$754 | +33.5¢ | 05-05 04:15 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET ↗ | 2 | $134 | 28¢ | 34¢ | Down | ✗ Yes | $-32 | -24.1¢ | 05-05 04:15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET ↗ | 2 | $68 | — | 71¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$27 | +40.0¢ | 05-05 04:15 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET ↗ | 1 | $18 | — | 74¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$6 | +35.1¢ | 05-05 04:15 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET ↗ | 1 | $47 | 53¢ | — | Down | ✗ Yes | $-47 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 04:10 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET ↗ | 1 | $1 | — | 44¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$1 | +127.3¢ | 05-05 04:10 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET ↗ | 1 | $27 | 45¢ | — | Down | ✗ Yes | $-27 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 04:05 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET ↗ | 1 | $25 | 58¢ | 5¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$12 | +48.7¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET ↗ | 1 | $36 | 71¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$14 | +40.8¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET ↗ | 1 | $238 | — | 60¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-238 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Bitcoin above 81,200 on May 5, 12AM ET? ↗ | 1 | $53 | — | 94¢ | No | ✓ No | +$3 | +6.1¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET ↗ | 2 | $43.2K | — | 67¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$21,432 | +49.6¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET ↗ | 1 | $20 | 60¢ | 9¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$10 | +50.2¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Bitcoin above 80,400 on May 5, 12AM ET? ↗ | 1 | $32 | 97¢ | — | Yes | ✓ Yes | +$1 | +3.4¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET ↗ | 1 | $239 | 51¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$230 | +96.5¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Ethereum above 2,390 on May 5, 12AM ET? ↗ | 1 | $26 | — | 96¢ | No | ✓ No | +$1 | +4.6¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET ↗ | 1 | $293 | — | 58¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$213 | +72.6¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET ↗ | 1 | $87 | 51¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$83 | +96.2¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET ↗ | 1 | $62 | — | 74¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$22 | +35.1¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET ↗ | 1 | $2.7K | — | 62¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$1,662 | +60.5¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET ↗ | 1 | $1.5K | 56¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$1,180 | +79.8¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET ↗ | 2 | $4.0K | — | 70¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$1,760 | +43.5¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET ↗ | 1 | $5.6K | 64¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$3,084 | +55.3¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET ↗ | 1 | $186 | 57¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$138 | +74.1¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET ↗ | 2 | $301 | — | 77¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$91 | +30.2¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET ↗ | 1 | $933 | 37¢ | 66¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$382 | +41.0¢ | 05-05 03:55 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET ↗ | 1 | $22 | — | 64¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$13 | +56.2¢ | 05-05 03:55 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET ↗ | 1 | $8 | — | 62¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$5 | +61.3¢ | 05-05 03:55 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET ↗ | 1 | $18 | 40¢ | 55¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$2 | +13.9¢ | 05-05 03:55 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET ↗ | 1 | $178 | — | 48¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$190 | +106.8¢ | 05-05 03:50 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET ↗ | 1 | $1.7K | — | 61¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$1,071 | +63.6¢ | 05-05 03:50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET ↗ | 1 | $1.6K | — | 53¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$1,398 | +88.7¢ | 05-05 03:50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET ↗ | 1 | $77 | — | 38¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-77 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 03:45 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET ↗ | 1 | $10 | 64¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$6 | +56.2¢ | 05-05 03:45 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET ↗ | 1 | $11 | 75¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$4 | +32.7¢ | 05-05 03:45 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET ↗ | 1 | $542 | 57¢ | 24¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$45 | +8.2¢ | 05-05 03:45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET ↗ | 2 | $1.7K | 59¢ | 12¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$424 | +25.5¢ | 05-05 03:45 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET ↗ | 2 | $19 | — | 19¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-19 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 03:45 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET ↗ | 1 | $13 | — | 29¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-13 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 03:45 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET ↗ | 2 | $294 | 50¢ | 8¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-87 | -29.5¢ | 05-05 03:45 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET ↗ | 2 | $85 | 81¢ | 52¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | $-31 | -36.3¢ | 05-05 03:30 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET ↗ | 2 | $3.8K | 80¢ | 18¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$420 | +11.0¢ | 05-05 03:30 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET ↗ | 2 | $34 | — | 8¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-34 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 03:30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET ↗ | 2 | $5.6K | 53¢ | 7¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$4,050 | +72.9¢ | 05-05 03:30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET ↗ | 1 | $10.0K | 73¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$3,758 | +37.5¢ | 05-05 03:25 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET ↗ | 1 | $1.0K | 56¢ | 69¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$286 | +27.5¢ | 05-05 03:15 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET ↗ | 2 | $331 | 42¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$457 | +138.2¢ | 05-05 03:15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET ↗ | 2 | $848 | 54¢ | 81¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$65 | +7.7¢ | 05-05 03:15 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET ↗ | 1 | $258 | 66¢ | 39¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$102 | +39.4¢ | 05-05 03:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET ↗ | 1 | $1.3K | 96¢ | 38¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | $-217 | -16.2¢ | 05-05 03:00 |
| Ethereum above 2,345 on May 4, 11PM ET? ↗ | 1 | $67 | 92¢ | — | Yes | ✓ Yes | +$6 | +8.6¢ | 05-05 03:00 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET ↗ | 1 | $2 | 5¢ | — | Down | ✗ Yes | $-2 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 03:00 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET ↗ | 1 | $78 | 60¢ | 7¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$36 | +46.8¢ | 05-05 03:00 |
| Bitcoin above 79,800 on May 4, 11PM ET? ↗ | 1 | $82 | 94¢ | — | Yes | ✓ Yes | +$5 | +6.1¢ | 05-05 03:00 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET ↗ | 1 | $321 | 74¢ | 16¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$47 | +14.5¢ | 05-05 03:00 |
| Ethereum above 2,375 on May 4, 11PM ET? ↗ | 1 | $188 | 17¢ | 92¢ | No | ✓ No | +$8 | +4.5¢ | 05-05 03:00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET ↗ | 1 | $1.2K | 77¢ | 8¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | $-240 | -19.7¢ | 05-05 03:00 |