Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on May 14? open
← all wallets
Total volume
$26
$1,689 in 24h
Trades
6
Unique wallets
6
Liquidity
$18,508
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 06:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🦐 Shrimp 6 $1 $25 $23
By P&L percentile
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
✅ Top 10% 2 — $25 $25
Median 2 $0 — +$0
Below median 2 $1 — +$1
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
Wallet Side Net shares Cost basis Volume Trades Last activity
Simplistic-Policy 0xf8d4…a0b5 Yes +1,000 $1 $1 1 05-14 02:12
Beloved-Demand 0xbf02…ee21 Yes +150 $0 $0 1 05-14 06:00
Fearful-Reliability 0xa637…3494 No +25 $25 $25 1 05-12 05:05
Studious-Condominium 0x3dc4…1fd8 Yes +5 $0 $0 1 05-14 00:06