Will Toronto FC win on 2026-05-16?
open
Total volume
$3,505
Trades
114
Unique wallets
60
Liquidity
$209,992
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-15
last 05-17 01:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+8.8¢
(top1%: 35% YES on $1.1K
vs crowd: 26% YES on $3.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $31 | $517 | $486 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $339 | $1.4K | $1.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 18 | $433 | $390 | +$44 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 32 | $42 | $161 | $119 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 12 | $372 | $702 | $330 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $11 | $149 | $138 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 5 | $5 | $18 | $13 |
| Below median | 10 | $11 | $20 | $9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $3 | $10 | $7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $17 | $187 | $170 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $409 | $1.3K | $915 |
| unranked | 6 | $16 | $19 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Important-Heirloom 0x0f21…3d6e | Yes | +2,610 | $377 | $377 | 2 | 05-17 00:37 |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | Yes | +1,555 | $325 | $325 | 4 | 05-17 00:07 |
| Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | No | +1,335 | $1,068 | $1,068 | 1 | 05-16 22:30 |
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | +471 | $378 | $378 | 2 | 05-17 00:33 |
| Gigantic-Intelligence 0x9079…b19b | Yes | +450 | $35 | $35 | 6 | 05-17 00:29 |
| Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63 | No | +174 | $139 | $139 | 1 | 05-16 22:30 |
| Scholarly-Uniform 0x2003…af6f | No | +149 | $117 | $117 | 1 | 05-17 00:04 |
| Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63 | Yes | +141 | $29 | $29 | 7 | 05-16 23:24 |
| Vigilant-Environment 0xdbdd…a5de | No | +110 | $97 | $97 | 2 | 05-17 00:30 |
| Demanding-Standoff 0x325f…4511 | No | +102 | $90 | $90 | 3 | 05-17 00:23 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | +100 | $85 | $85 | 11 | 05-17 00:52 |
| Flat-Riot 0x9fd7…d5a3 | No | +99 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 05-17 00:33 |
| Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Yes | +93 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-17 00:29 |
| Pungent-Car-Bonsai 0x5c18…2f76 | Yes | +75 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-17 00:29 |
| Minty-Clipper 0x7a3f…6712 | No | +75 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 05-17 00:04 |
| Excellent-Notation 0xe129…fef1 | Yes | +64 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-16 10:36 |
| Infamous-Ocelot 0x7ea5…de7b | No | +60 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 05-16 07:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d1d…afd2 | No | +59 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 05-16 07:59 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +57 | $6 | $8 | 4 | 05-17 01:22 |
| Physical-Enjoyment 0xddb6…b9b3 | Yes | +50 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-17 00:29 |
| Noxious-Success 0x8dd8…9a1c | Yes | +50 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-17 00:29 |
| Grumpy-Pendant 0x551c…fe91 | Yes | +49 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-17 00:29 |
| Eager-Politician 0x67af…61ee | Yes | +47 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-17 00:29 |
| Odd-Granddaughter 0x234b…f36d | No | +41 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-16 22:30 |
| Skeletal-Defeat 0xe8e0…7eec | Yes | +40 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-17 00:29 |
| Demanding-Standoff 0x325f…4511 | Yes | +38 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-17 00:32 |
| Imaginary-Gallery 0x161a…4103 | No | +35 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 05-17 00:22 |
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | +29 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-17 00:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c9b…7349 | Yes | +24 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 23:34 |
| Insubstantial-Downturn 0x9ef1…5aca | Yes | +23 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 10:35 |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | No | +18 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-17 00:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xe697…708f | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 00:32 |
| Handsome-Mobility 0xaedd…ad5b | No | +17 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-16 22:30 |
| Staid-Dreamer 0x581f…9d8e | No | +16 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-17 00:16 |
| Regular-Gallon 0xa85b…eb0e | No | +16 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-16 22:30 |
| Passionate-Disarmament 0xc353…30a8 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 22:30 |
| Ironclad-Will 0xc6fa…51e5 | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-17 00:00 |
| Right-Con 0xdcaf…c830 | Yes | +11 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-17 00:14 |
| Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-17 00:37 |
| Junior-Neologism 0x030d…8e95 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-17 00:29 |
| Favorable-Commuter 0xdb46…56e7 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-16 12:41 |
| Sweltering-Pennant 0xb421…8856 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-17 00:30 |
| Arid-Difference 0x1950…1bf4 | No | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-16 23:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f5d…1f93 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-16 22:43 |
| Ashamed-Insomnia 0x62c8…df7a | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 23:51 |
| Muffled-Frustration 0x26d6…cacc | Yes | +6 | $0 | $4 | 4 | 05-17 00:30 |
| Same-Pound 0x8e52…2320 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-17 00:29 |
| Excellent-Wear 0x9614…67fd | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-17 01:07 |
| Dependent-Catalyst 0x9b78…473d | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-17 00:01 |
| Gregarious-Consist 0x1839…47ef | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 23:47 |
| Cooperative-Rowing 0x7007…c296 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 00:04 |
| Loving-Forgery-Osmosis 0xd41a…32cc | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-17 00:15 |
| Aged-Platypus 0x23bc…5487 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-16 22:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x0417…ff02 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-17 00:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xd27c…d9b8 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 00:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 01:22:35 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x97cd99… |
| 05-17 01:22:21 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x77cbcd… |
| 05-17 01:15:30 | Puny-Yahoo 0xb66c…a0f5 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x7d31ef… |
| 05-17 01:07:35 | Excellent-Wear 0x9614…67fd | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xc763ba… |
| 05-17 01:03:20 | Repulsive-Structure 0x96da…8236 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x713f7e… |
| 05-17 00:52:34 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xb16fe2… |
| 05-17 00:47:30 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xea8223… |
| 05-17 00:37:49 | Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xa6295c… |
| 05-17 00:37:22 | Important-Heirloom 0x0f21…3d6e | Yes | BUY | 1,570 | 9¢ | $138 | 0x3084f8… |
| 05-17 00:36:07 | Enlightened-Sugar 0x13a1…d9bc | No | SELL | 162 | 93¢ | $151 | 0x315f36… |
| 05-17 00:33:51 | Flat-Riot 0x9fd7…d5a3 | No | BUY | 99 | 94¢ | $93 | 0x41aab6… |
| 05-17 00:33:47 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0xb1d458… |
| 05-17 00:33:19 | Enlightened-Sugar 0x13a1…d9bc | No | SELL | 13 | 94¢ | $13 | 0xf48197… |
| 05-17 00:32:49 | (anonymous) 0xe697…708f | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x620bf2… |
| 05-17 00:32:49 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x0aa23a… |
| 05-17 00:32:39 | Muffled-Frustration 0x26d6…cacc | No | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0xf7ffff… |
| 05-17 00:32:16 | Demanding-Standoff 0x325f…4511 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xb74408… |
| 05-17 00:30:56 | Sweltering-Pennant 0xb421…8856 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xd1d919… |
| 05-17 00:30:50 | Muffled-Frustration 0x26d6…cacc | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xee102d… |
| 05-17 00:30:49 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xed928e… |
| 05-17 00:30:47 | Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | No | BUY | 18 | 87¢ | $16 | 0xdc772f… |
| 05-17 00:30:36 | Vigilant-Environment 0xdbdd…a5de | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x285c06… |
| 05-17 00:30:35 | Muffled-Frustration 0x26d6…cacc | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x0115cd… |
| 05-17 00:30:08 | Muffled-Frustration 0x26d6…cacc | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x85efe5… |
| 05-17 00:29:56 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xabb02e… |
| 05-17 00:29:56 | Skeletal-Defeat 0xe8e0…7eec | Yes | BUY | 18 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd492ed… |
| 05-17 00:29:54 | Muffled-Frustration 0x26d6…cacc | Yes | BUY | 18 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x14c9fe… |
| 05-17 00:29:54 | Gigantic-Intelligence 0x9079…b19b | Yes | BUY | 101 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xcef472… |
| 05-17 00:29:54 | Skeletal-Defeat 0xe8e0…7eec | Yes | BUY | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc4a500… |
| 05-17 00:29:54 | Physical-Enjoyment 0xddb6…b9b3 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xfa49bc… |
| 05-17 00:29:54 | Pungent-Car-Bonsai 0x5c18…2f76 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x2afd85… |
| 05-17 00:29:53 | Gigantic-Intelligence 0x9079…b19b | Yes | BUY | 101 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xd4b8b7… |
| 05-17 00:29:53 | Gigantic-Intelligence 0x9079…b19b | Yes | BUY | 101 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x60902c… |
| 05-17 00:29:53 | Grumpy-Pendant 0x551c…fe91 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x563650… |
| 05-17 00:29:53 | Skeletal-Defeat 0xe8e0…7eec | Yes | BUY | 18 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x4d152a… |
| 05-17 00:29:53 | Noxious-Success 0x8dd8…9a1c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x88767f… |
| 05-17 00:29:53 | Eager-Politician 0x67af…61ee | Yes | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x9ff881… |
| 05-17 00:29:53 | Physical-Enjoyment 0xddb6…b9b3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x37ef04… |
| 05-17 00:29:53 | Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Yes | BUY | 75 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x45ae63… |
| 05-17 00:29:53 | Gigantic-Intelligence 0x9079…b19b | Yes | BUY | 101 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xcc86eb… |
| 05-17 00:29:51 | Muffled-Frustration 0x26d6…cacc | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x0bdf73… |
| 05-17 00:29:47 | Junior-Neologism 0x030d…8e95 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xc18d0d… |
| 05-17 00:29:47 | Same-Pound 0x8e52…2320 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xddd4f8… |
| 05-17 00:23:40 | Gigantic-Intelligence 0x9079…b19b | Yes | BUY | 25 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x4a02aa… |
| 05-17 00:23:40 | Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Yes | BUY | 18 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x9f1df0… |
| 05-17 00:23:40 | Gigantic-Intelligence 0x9079…b19b | Yes | BUY | 19 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x886e62… |
| 05-17 00:23:40 | Eager-Politician 0x67af…61ee | Yes | BUY | 22 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xd73398… |
| 05-17 00:23:28 | Demanding-Standoff 0x325f…4511 | No | BUY | 57 | 88¢ | $50 | 0x6a7497… |
| 05-17 00:23:12 | Demanding-Standoff 0x325f…4511 | No | BUY | 19 | 89¢ | $17 | 0xb79d88… |
| 05-17 00:22:40 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xa3f1a3… |
| 05-17 00:22:26 | Imaginary-Gallery 0x161a…4103 | No | BUY | 35 | 89¢ | $31 | 0x919ec2… |
| 05-17 00:18:20 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x5365cb… |
| 05-17 00:18:09 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x183745… |
| 05-17 00:17:34 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xcb9b25… |
| 05-17 00:16:33 | Muffled-Frustration 0x26d6…cacc | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0xa8b995… |
| 05-17 00:16:29 | Demanding-Standoff 0x325f…4511 | No | BUY | 26 | 88¢ | $23 | 0x91c68e… |
| 05-17 00:16:26 | Staid-Dreamer 0x581f…9d8e | No | BUY | 16 | 88¢ | $14 | 0x363afc… |
| 05-17 00:16:22 | Muffled-Frustration 0x26d6…cacc | No | SELL | 16 | 88¢ | $14 | 0xdaf518… |
| 05-17 00:15:28 | (anonymous) 0x0417…ff02 | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xf46865… |
| 05-17 00:15:25 | Loving-Forgery-Osmosis 0xd41a…32cc | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x9b99f3… |
| 05-17 00:15:23 | Vigilant-Environment 0xdbdd…a5de | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x00e181… |
| 05-17 00:14:32 | Right-Con 0xdcaf…c830 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 32¢ | $4 | 0x90b230… |
| 05-17 00:14:32 | Demanding-Standoff 0x325f…4511 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x063aa3… |
| 05-17 00:13:26 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 12 | 77¢ | $9 | 0x427bb1… |
| 05-17 00:13:03 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 12 | 76¢ | $9 | 0x4eb8ce… |
| 05-17 00:08:23 | Polite-Cooking-Participant 0x29a5…a3c4 | No | SELL | 9 | 52¢ | $5 | 0x1dc648… |
| 05-17 00:07:34 | Polite-Cooking-Participant 0x29a5…a3c4 | No | SELL | 11 | 51¢ | $6 | 0x5be85d… |
| 05-17 00:07:20 | Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 50¢ | $23 | 0xc9a0bf… |
| 05-17 00:04:55 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xfc59fc… |
| 05-17 00:04:41 | Minty-Clipper 0x7a3f…6712 | No | BUY | 75 | 79¢ | $59 | 0x30e469… |
| 05-17 00:04:39 | Scholarly-Uniform 0x2003…af6f | No | BUY | 149 | 79¢ | $117 | 0x8aeafd… |
| 05-17 00:04:37 | Cooperative-Rowing 0x7007…c296 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xf0a472… |
| 05-17 00:01:25 | Dependent-Catalyst 0x9b78…473d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x5e1f28… |
| 05-17 00:01:19 | Muffled-Frustration 0x26d6…cacc | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x1dafcd… |
| 05-17 00:00:55 | Ironclad-Will 0xc6fa…51e5 | No | BUY | 12 | 92¢ | $11 | 0xfddff9… |
| 05-16 23:58:44 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 8 | 78¢ | $6 | 0x0b5676… |
| 05-16 23:51:05 | Ashamed-Insomnia 0x62c8…df7a | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0xa7fa2a… |
| 05-16 23:47:02 | Gregarious-Consist 0x1839…47ef | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x1e1b55… |
| 05-16 23:34:42 | (anonymous) 0x9c9b…7349 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xadd39f… |
| 05-16 23:34:36 | Important-Heirloom 0x0f21…3d6e | Yes | BUY | 1,040 | 23¢ | $239 | 0x040251… |
| 05-16 23:29:32 | Sophisticated-Bicycle 0xcf73…0215 | No | SELL | 12 | 79¢ | $9 | 0xcd6060… |
| 05-16 23:24:05 | Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 21¢ | $5 | 0x4b3f25… |
| 05-16 23:17:38 | Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 21¢ | $9 | 0xd1627b… |
| 05-16 23:10:29 | Deafening-Spread 0x489d…f6e3 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 20¢ | $7 | 0xa14a91… |
| 05-16 23:10:06 | Arid-Difference 0x1950…1bf4 | No | BUY | 9 | 80¢ | $7 | 0xa99a3d… |
| 05-16 23:08:07 | Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | Yes | BUY | 177 | 20¢ | $35 | 0x5e7f4b… |
| 05-16 23:07:38 | Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | Yes | BUY | 666 | 20¢ | $133 | 0x341a5c… |
| 05-16 23:07:38 | Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x55f54c… |
| 05-16 23:07:22 | Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | Yes | BUY | 666 | 20¢ | $133 | 0xa48a66… |
| 05-16 22:54:56 | Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x1dcbe5… |
| 05-16 22:43:32 | (anonymous) 0x2f5d…1f93 | No | BUY | 7 | 81¢ | $6 | 0x5b9bd6… |
| 05-16 22:42:52 | Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x70d30f… |
| 05-16 22:37:28 | Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xb0128f… |
| 05-16 22:31:21 | Unfortunate-Locket 0xd3da…c91f | No | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0xfaf909… |
| 05-16 22:30:32 | Passionate-Disarmament 0xc353…30a8 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x5bd2cd… |
| 05-16 22:30:26 | Regular-Gallon 0xa85b…eb0e | No | BUY | 16 | 80¢ | $12 | 0x822b35… |
| 05-16 22:30:26 | Odd-Granddaughter 0x234b…f36d | No | BUY | 41 | 80¢ | $33 | 0xda77f0… |
| 05-16 22:30:26 | Aged-Platypus 0x23bc…5487 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x165a41… |
| 05-16 22:30:26 | Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63 | No | BUY | 174 | 80¢ | $139 | 0x4c2d85… |
| 05-16 22:30:26 | Aged-Platypus 0x23bc…5487 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xdfcbc2… |