Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
open
Total volume
$11,321
$72,669 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$134,341
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 19:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $0 | $6.2K | $6.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| unranked | 24 | $0 | $6.2K | $6.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Probable-Nursing 0x2a58…9b9c | No | +1,619 | $1,616 | $1,616 | 1 | 05-05 02:50 |
| Muted-Note 0xe8ca…b357 | No | +1,549 | $1,546 | $1,546 | 1 | 05-05 02:40 |
| Closed-Wellbeing 0x1dd7…8a4f | No | +1,284 | $1,281 | $1,281 | 1 | 05-05 04:00 |
| Heavy-Spill 0xc3f5…b09c | No | +812 | $811 | $811 | 1 | 05-05 01:24 |
| Sticky-Thrush 0xabe4…3a3c | No | +212 | $212 | $212 | 1 | 05-05 08:35 |
| Sociable-Bat 0xc459…b5e8 | No | +152 | $152 | $152 | 1 | 05-04 20:14 |
| Edible-Spoon 0xda8e…9db5 | No | +88 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 05-05 05:30 |
| Direct-Infusion 0x2a15…a814 | No | +65 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 05-05 11:05 |
| Stimulating-Period 0xc330…9e8e | No | +62 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 05-05 18:21 |
| Jittery-Conduct 0x7e46…daf3 | No | +58 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 05-05 03:29 |
| Truthful-Coverall 0x7e53…e63a | No | +55 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 05-04 21:29 |
| Zany-Emphasis 0xfe20…0567 | No | +42 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 05-05 03:00 |
| Unwieldy-Milkshake 0x137c…8774 | Yes | +28 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-05 15:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 19:57:34 | Vapid-Temporariness 0xea2a…4c9d | No | SELL | 77 | 100¢ | $77 | 0x50d0e7… |
| 05-05 18:47:12 | Whopping-Implication 0xfc1a…ce64 | No | SELL | 208 | 100¢ | $208 | 0x8dfc17… |
| 05-05 18:21:02 | Stimulating-Period 0xc330…9e8e | No | BUY | 62 | 100¢ | $62 | 0xfeb28f… |
| 05-05 15:47:38 | Unwieldy-Milkshake 0x137c…8774 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe57be6… |
| 05-05 12:26:38 | Composed-Secrecy 0x74bd…4ccf | No | SELL | 1,147 | 100¢ | $1,144 | 0xa5518e… |
| 05-05 11:20:20 | Dimpled-Canopy 0xd357…b07a | No | SELL | 116 | 100¢ | $115 | 0x3b496c… |
| 05-05 11:05:12 | Direct-Infusion 0x2a15…a814 | No | BUY | 65 | 100¢ | $65 | 0xb7f212… |
| 05-05 11:01:40 | Aggravating-Segment 0x792d…4052 | No | SELL | 102 | 100¢ | $102 | 0xd75d17… |
| 05-05 10:16:38 | Distinct-Offer 0x7b84…0076 | No | SELL | 103 | 100¢ | $103 | 0xda74fd… |
| 05-05 10:10:18 | Hasty-Custard 0x5614…935a | No | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x4f76d7… |
| 05-05 08:35:14 | Sticky-Thrush 0xabe4…3a3c | No | BUY | 212 | 100¢ | $212 | 0xf26776… |
| 05-05 07:10:18 | Acceptable-Bakeware 0xe6e2…8bd4 | No | SELL | 122 | 100¢ | $122 | 0xf80853… |
| 05-05 05:40:46 | This-Castle 0x3f22…7f5c | No | SELL | 1,458 | 100¢ | $1,453 | 0x5f5cb7… |
| 05-05 05:30:38 | Edible-Spoon 0xda8e…9db5 | No | BUY | 88 | 100¢ | $88 | 0x7ca27c… |
| 05-05 05:10:38 | Dazzling-Chasm 0x3cef…3cd4 | No | SELL | 1,666 | 100¢ | $1,661 | 0xc33bee… |
| 05-05 04:30:32 | Acceptable-Bakeware 0xe6e2…8bd4 | No | BUY | 122 | 100¢ | $122 | 0xcea473… |
| 05-05 04:00:04 | Closed-Wellbeing 0x1dd7…8a4f | No | BUY | 1,284 | 100¢ | $1,281 | 0xd5746a… |
| 05-05 03:29:30 | Jittery-Conduct 0x7e46…daf3 | No | BUY | 58 | 100¢ | $58 | 0x480b3e… |
| 05-05 03:00:08 | Zany-Emphasis 0xfe20…0567 | No | BUY | 42 | 100¢ | $42 | 0x5a5761… |
| 05-05 02:50:32 | Probable-Nursing 0x2a58…9b9c | No | BUY | 1,619 | 100¢ | $1,616 | 0xf9cefe… |
| 05-05 02:40:08 | Muted-Note 0xe8ca…b357 | No | BUY | 1,549 | 100¢ | $1,546 | 0xde6904… |
| 05-05 01:24:52 | Heavy-Spill 0xc3f5…b09c | No | BUY | 812 | 100¢ | $811 | 0xa903d8… |
| 05-05 00:09:38 | Sweltering-Specialty 0xd34c…71a3 | No | SELL | 63 | 100¢ | $63 | 0x7acc0d… |
| 05-04 22:04:26 | Sweltering-Specialty 0xd34c…71a3 | No | BUY | 63 | 100¢ | $63 | 0xaa5811… |
| 05-04 21:29:48 | Truthful-Coverall 0x7e53…e63a | No | BUY | 55 | 100¢ | $55 | 0xbd385c… |
| 05-04 20:14:46 | Sociable-Bat 0xc459…b5e8 | No | BUY | 152 | 100¢ | $152 | 0xe8df48… |