Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on May 15?
open
Total volume
$163
$1,009 in 24h
Trades
27
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$1,123
Latest YES mid
73¢
Latest NO mid
27¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 06:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $148 | $10 | +$138 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $69 | — | +$69 |
| Median | 4 | $15 | $1 | +$14 |
| Below median | 7 | $53 | $5 | +$48 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +54 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 05-13 21:54 |
| Female-Lout 0x873d…f7a9 | Yes | +48 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-14 06:07 |
| Stupendous-Scarf 0x40ea…6523 | Yes | +32 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-14 05:10 |
| Gigantic-Raid 0xba56…9b6b | No | +32 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 00:31 |
| Valid-Deputy 0x2349…1646 | Yes | +30 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 05-14 03:15 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +21 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-13 07:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x8dcb…96f6 | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 05:42 |
| Heavy-Academics 0x3066…1e7b | Yes | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 02:11 |
| Tinted-Bellows 0x30fe…74bc | Yes | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 05:28 |
| Precious-Liquid 0x8be9…845f | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 22:33 |
| Far-Noun 0x0ed1…2dc1 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 20:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f07…6293 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 22:03 |
| Trivial-Plea 0xc624…76cf | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 03:10 |
| Questionable-Completion 0x8b94…fd0b | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 05:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f2b…1976 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $5 | 2 | 05-13 19:38 |
| Shady-Government 0x6fb2…bd2d | No | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:07 |
| Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | Yes | +4 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-14 03:16 |
| Intentional-Drag 0x7234…e457 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 06:11 |
| Clean-Property 0x600c…8bd4 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 22:08 |
| Shady-Government 0x6fb2…bd2d | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 06:11:15 | Intentional-Drag 0x7234…e457 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 76¢ | $2 | 0x559dd6… |
| 05-14 06:07:05 | Shady-Government 0x6fb2…bd2d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xe458d8… |
| 05-14 06:07:01 | Shady-Government 0x6fb2…bd2d | No | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x61fb3b… |
| 05-14 06:07:00 | Female-Lout 0x873d…f7a9 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 74¢ | $35 | 0xb04b3e… |
| 05-14 05:10:14 | Stupendous-Scarf 0x40ea…6523 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 75¢ | $24 | 0x430b4f… |
| 05-14 03:16:17 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | Yes | BUY | 2 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xc3ea36… |
| 05-14 03:15:51 | Valid-Deputy 0x2349…1646 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x471fa1… |
| 05-14 03:10:32 | Trivial-Plea 0xc624…76cf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xb355d8… |
| 05-14 03:05:57 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | Yes | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0xe5bcd6… |
| 05-14 02:11:44 | Heavy-Academics 0x3066…1e7b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x743e96… |
| 05-14 00:31:57 | Gigantic-Raid 0xba56…9b6b | No | BUY | 32 | 16¢ | $5 | 0xb0faa0… |
| 05-14 00:10:08 | Valid-Deputy 0x2349…1646 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x096df4… |
| 05-13 22:33:52 | Precious-Liquid 0x8be9…845f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xbb142d… |
| 05-13 22:08:03 | Clean-Property 0x600c…8bd4 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x427493… |
| 05-13 22:03:14 | (anonymous) 0x8f07…6293 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x1a4529… |
| 05-13 21:58:36 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xb17333… |
| 05-13 21:54:24 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 0 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x6c8dcc… |
| 05-13 21:54:10 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xab2fe4… |
| 05-13 20:22:38 | Far-Noun 0x0ed1…2dc1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x393e91… |
| 05-13 20:22:38 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 43 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xb89683… |
| 05-13 19:38:15 | (anonymous) 0x6f2b…1976 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0x8818fb… |
| 05-13 07:59:35 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7e5b69… |
| 05-13 07:49:42 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x02d0bd… |
| 05-13 07:34:39 | (anonymous) 0x6f2b…1976 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xb46ba9… |
| 05-13 05:42:15 | (anonymous) 0x8dcb…96f6 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x0d70dd… |
| 05-13 05:28:16 | Tinted-Bellows 0x30fe…74bc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x60f33d… |
| 05-13 05:13:47 | Questionable-Completion 0x8b94…fd0b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x4caa38… |