Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 19?
open
Total volume
$138
$3,824 in 24h
Trades
36
Unique wallets
5
Liquidity
$15,945
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-05-19
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 00:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $18 | $120 | $102 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median | 2 | $11 | $18 | $7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $90 | $90 |
| unranked | 2 | $7 | $12 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blushing-Cotton 0xa33c…0ff2 | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 00:01 |
| Overlooked-Means 0xfdf3…2583 | No | +100 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 05-13 21:38 |
| Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | Yes | +61 | $7 | $7 | 7 | 05-13 20:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 12 | 05-13 20:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-13 20:08 |
| Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 7 | 05-13 20:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe59…d73e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 5 | 05-13 20:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 00:01:20 | Blushing-Cotton 0xa33c…0ff2 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x60ab09… |
| 05-13 21:38:41 | Overlooked-Means 0xfdf3…2583 | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0xa695aa… |
| 05-13 20:08:33 | Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xf15ff9… |
| 05-13 20:08:33 | Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xaf9fa3… |
| 05-13 20:08:33 | Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x83b778… |
| 05-13 20:08:33 | Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x3c5b81… |
| 05-13 20:08:33 | Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x270c40… |
| 05-13 20:08:33 | Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xef1adc… |
| 05-13 20:08:12 | (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x9cf1ca… |
| 05-13 20:08:10 | (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x37313d… |
| 05-13 20:08:10 | (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xaf806a… |
| 05-13 20:08:10 | (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x8f33b6… |
| 05-13 20:08:10 | (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x4815b2… |
| 05-13 20:08:10 | (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x228a39… |
| 05-13 20:07:58 | Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x1a29ce… |
| 05-13 20:07:58 | (anonymous) 0xbe59…d73e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x785dda… |
| 05-13 20:07:56 | (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xbcc39f… |
| 05-13 20:07:48 | (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x3c4de1… |
| 05-13 20:07:48 | (anonymous) 0xbe59…d73e | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xd098c4… |
| 05-13 20:07:48 | (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x6cb886… |
| 05-13 20:07:46 | (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x326839… |
| 05-13 20:07:46 | (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xfbe58e… |
| 05-13 20:07:46 | (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xef24c0… |
| 05-13 20:07:44 | (anonymous) 0xbe59…d73e | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xd7cebf… |
| 05-13 20:07:44 | (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x9b2884… |
| 05-13 20:07:44 | (anonymous) 0xbe59…d73e | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xe09f82… |
| 05-13 20:07:44 | (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x12fd73… |
| 05-13 20:07:44 | (anonymous) 0xbe59…d73e | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x0a6965… |
| 05-13 20:07:42 | Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xad84d2… |
| 05-13 20:07:42 | (anonymous) 0xbe59…d73e | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x7678f5… |
| 05-13 20:07:42 | Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x4552c8… |
| 05-13 20:07:42 | Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x458547… |
| 05-13 20:07:42 | Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xaf8003… |
| 05-13 20:07:42 | Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x56305c… |
| 05-13 20:07:42 | Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe91023… |
| 05-13 20:07:41 | Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf9abb8… |