Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or below on May 15? open
← all wallets
Total volume
$98
$743 in 24h
Trades
9
Unique wallets
6
Liquidity
$2,358
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 12:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🐟 Fish 1 — $40 $40
🦐 Shrimp 5 $2 $54 $52
By P&L percentile
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
✅ Top 10% 1 — $50 $50
Median 1 — $40 $40
Below median 3 $2 $5 $3
⚠️ Bottom 10% 1 — — +—
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
Wallet Side Net shares Cost basis Volume Trades Last activity
Knotty-Curler 0x65dc…aded Yes +81 $1 $1 1 05-14 12:22
Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da No +50 $50 $50 1 05-14 05:01
Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 No +40 $40 $40 4 05-14 00:23
Detailed-Pan 0x222b…1e07 Yes +20 $1 $1 1 05-13 08:04
Hungry-Labor 0x7dc6…b32c No +5 $5 $5 1 05-13 21:03