Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$737
$1,610 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$2,543
Latest YES mid
42¢
Latest NO mid
58¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 14:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $83 | $612 | $529 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $30 | $558 | $528 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| Median | 6 | $21 | $2 | +$19 |
| Below median | 7 | $13 | $15 | $2 |
| unranked | 7 | $6 | $37 | $31 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next-Plumber 0x5597…c6fb | No | +744 | $558 | $558 | 1 | 05-07 03:18 |
| Glass-Cupcake 0xad50…3122 | Yes | +78 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-07 04:43 |
| Positive-Horseradish 0x60d8…f2a6 | Yes | +40 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-07 09:45 |
| Magnificent-Phenotype 0xaaa6…8e4d | Yes | +27 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 08:34 |
| Noteworthy-Arthur 0xf6aa…8484 | Yes | +25 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 09:50 |
| Zesty-Number 0x79d0…4dff | Yes | +22 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 13:05 |
| Joyous-Sense 0x96ea…8cd5 | No | +16 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 14:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x65f7…ff15 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-06 07:25 |
| Unruly-Study 0xc690…5231 | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 12:35 |
| Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 08:34 |
| Putrid-Harpooner 0x24bb…dbaa | Yes | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 08:49 |
| Superior-Collectivization 0xda58…4e79 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 10:42 |
| Gleeful-Elver 0x3f46…8c5b | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 08:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e06…e02c | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 04:43 |
| Great-Soap 0x9d9f…02b2 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 05:38 |
| Chilly-Resident-Granola 0xbd33…9590 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 14:36 |
| Past-Former 0x8e29…9f8f | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 13:14 |
| Intentional-Anarchy 0xe03c…c61b | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 09:23 |
| Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 05:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xf874…def4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 05:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 14:49:37 | Joyous-Sense 0x96ea…8cd5 | No | BUY | 16 | 61¢ | $10 | 0x00d958… |
| 05-07 14:36:33 | Chilly-Resident-Granola 0xbd33…9590 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 44¢ | $1 | 0x47e6a4… |
| 05-07 13:14:11 | Past-Former 0x8e29…9f8f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x3fa35f… |
| 05-07 13:05:35 | Zesty-Number 0x79d0…4dff | Yes | BUY | 22 | 45¢ | $10 | 0xae8e68… |
| 05-07 12:35:53 | Weepy-Pruner 0x0b4b…1f63 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 42¢ | $8 | 0x545042… |
| 05-07 12:35:09 | Unruly-Study 0xc690…5231 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 39¢ | $3 | 0xc987b9… |
| 05-07 10:45:50 | Fancy-Capability 0x33b2…b3c1 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xfbe754… |
| 05-07 10:45:50 | Attentive-Context 0x2698…2941 | No | SELL | 2 | 63¢ | $2 | 0x1f1f66… |
| 05-07 10:42:41 | Superior-Collectivization 0xda58…4e79 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xb9bcc4… |
| 05-07 10:42:40 | Attentive-Context 0x2698…2941 | No | SELL | 2 | 63¢ | $2 | 0xbcf4bd… |
| 05-07 10:42:38 | Fancy-Capability 0x33b2…b3c1 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x3969fc… |
| 05-07 09:50:55 | Noteworthy-Arthur 0xf6aa…8484 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 40¢ | $10 | 0xcf0990… |
| 05-07 09:45:17 | Positive-Horseradish 0x60d8…f2a6 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 40¢ | $16 | 0x4d5de2… |
| 05-07 09:45:14 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x3133df… |
| 05-07 09:45:12 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x5d915e… |
| 05-07 09:23:49 | Intentional-Anarchy 0xe03c…c61b | No | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0xecd1d2… |
| 05-07 08:49:17 | Putrid-Harpooner 0x24bb…dbaa | Yes | BUY | 7 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x3314cb… |
| 05-07 08:34:53 | Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | BUY | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0xe91b8a… |
| 05-07 08:34:25 | Magnificent-Phenotype 0xaaa6…8e4d | Yes | BUY | 27 | 37¢ | $10 | 0x08dab3… |
| 05-07 08:08:26 | (anonymous) 0x7beb…69fb | Yes | SELL | 7 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xd4366f… |
| 05-07 08:08:08 | Gleeful-Elver 0x3f46…8c5b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x5d7d33… |
| 05-07 05:48:06 | Muddy-Jewelry 0xde0d…387c | No | SELL | 35 | 66¢ | $23 | 0x154b6a… |
| 05-07 05:38:01 | Great-Soap 0x9d9f…02b2 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x088e36… |
| 05-07 05:08:39 | (anonymous) 0xf874…def4 | No | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x807118… |
| 05-07 04:43:13 | Glass-Cupcake 0xad50…3122 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 26¢ | $20 | 0x150c85… |
| 05-07 04:43:13 | (anonymous) 0x2e06…e02c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xb72c35… |
| 05-07 03:18:41 | Next-Plumber 0x5597…c6fb | No | BUY | 744 | 75¢ | $558 | 0xd4d843… |
| 05-07 00:02:06 | (anonymous) 0x7beb…69fb | Yes | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xf2b5b0… |
| 05-06 09:46:42 | Muddy-Jewelry 0xde0d…387c | No | BUY | 35 | 75¢ | $26 | 0x9d2bec… |
| 05-06 07:25:42 | (anonymous) 0x65f7…ff15 | No | BUY | 13 | 75¢ | $10 | 0x463454… |
| 05-06 05:49:42 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0xc576dd… |