Track record
— resolved markets where the cohort had buy fills · did smart money win?
244
markets resolved
$15.6K
cohort net P&L
$42.9K
cohort buy $
63%
win rate (153W · 91L)
+36.3¢/$
edge per $1
| Market | Wallets | Buy $ | YES @ | NO @ | Resolved | Right call? | Cohort P&L | Edge/$ | Resolved at ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET ↗ | 2 | $22 | 38¢ | — | Down | ✗ Yes | $-22 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 06:25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET ↗ | 1 | $64 | 47¢ | 56¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$1 | +1.6¢ | 05-05 06:25 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET ↗ | 1 | $5 | — | 50¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$5 | +100.0¢ | 05-05 06:25 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET ↗ | 2 | $27 | — | 51¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$26 | +95.9¢ | 05-05 06:20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET ↗ | 2 | $136 | 60¢ | 45¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$83 | +60.8¢ | 05-05 06:20 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET ↗ | 1 | $9 | — | 45¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$12 | +123.8¢ | 05-05 06:20 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET ↗ | 1 | $5 | 52¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$5 | +92.3¢ | 05-05 06:15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET ↗ | 2 | $222 | 40¢ | 58¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-156 | -70.3¢ | 05-05 06:15 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET ↗ | 2 | $125 | — | 59¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-125 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 06:15 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET ↗ | 1 | $8 | — | 61¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$5 | +63.9¢ | 05-05 06:15 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET ↗ | 1 | $4 | — | 51¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-4 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 06:10 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET ↗ | 2 | $25 | 26¢ | 77¢ | Down | ✗ Yes | $-14 | -56.5¢ | 05-05 06:10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET ↗ | 2 | $149 | 27¢ | 55¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$36 | +24.1¢ | 05-05 06:10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET ↗ | 2 | $34 | 55¢ | 42¢ | Down | ✗ Yes | $-19 | -56.4¢ | 05-05 06:05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET ↗ | 1 | $81 | — | 42¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-81 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 05:40 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET ↗ | 2 | $178 | 34¢ | 68¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$2 | +1.2¢ | 05-05 05:15 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET ↗ | 2 | $13 | 69¢ | 14¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$2 | +15.2¢ | 05-05 05:15 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET ↗ | 2 | $56 | — | 72¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$21 | +38.2¢ | 05-05 05:15 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET ↗ | 2 | $28 | 31¢ | 85¢ | Down | ✓ No | $-9 | -32.1¢ | 05-05 05:15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET ↗ | 1 | $34 | 38¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$55 | +164.2¢ | 05-05 05:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET ↗ | 1 | $210 | — | 48¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$228 | +108.6¢ | 05-05 05:00 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET ↗ | 2 | $3 | — | 9¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-3 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 05:00 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET ↗ | 1 | $10 | 67¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$5 | +49.3¢ | 05-05 05:00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET ↗ | 1 | $281 | 44¢ | 64¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$73 | +26.0¢ | 05-05 05:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET ↗ | 1 | $779 | 43¢ | 64¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-460 | -59.1¢ | 05-05 05:00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET ↗ | 2 | $157 | 53¢ | 22¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$15 | +9.3¢ | 05-05 05:00 |
| Bitcoin above 81,200 on May 5, 1AM ET? ↗ | 1 | $18 | — | 92¢ | No | ✓ No | +$2 | +8.1¢ | 05-05 05:00 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET ↗ | 1 | $14 | — | 68¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$6 | +47.6¢ | 05-05 05:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET ↗ | 1 | $400 | 54¢ | — | Down | ✗ Yes | $-400 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 04:55 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET ↗ | 2 | $599 | 70¢ | 36¢ | Down | ✗ Yes | $-25 | -4.2¢ | 05-05 04:45 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET ↗ | 2 | $62 | — | 70¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$27 | +43.1¢ | 05-05 04:45 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET ↗ | 2 | $136 | 71¢ | 32¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$97 | +71.6¢ | 05-05 04:45 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET ↗ | 1 | $10 | — | 50¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$10 | +102.0¢ | 05-05 04:45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET ↗ | 1 | $200 | — | 50¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$213 | +106.3¢ | 05-05 04:35 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET ↗ | 2 | $147 | 74¢ | 24¢ | Down | ✗ Yes | $-34 | -23.0¢ | 05-05 04:30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET ↗ | 2 | $335 | 61¢ | 35¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$148 | +44.2¢ | 05-05 04:30 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET ↗ | 2 | $14 | — | 50¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$14 | +99.1¢ | 05-05 04:30 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET ↗ | 1 | $90 | — | 80¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$23 | +25.0¢ | 05-05 04:30 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET ↗ | 1 | $10 | — | 50¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$10 | +100.0¢ | 05-05 04:25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET ↗ | 1 | $84 | — | 61¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$54 | +64.8¢ | 05-05 04:25 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET ↗ | 1 | $0 | — | 34¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-0 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 04:20 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET ↗ | 1 | $3 | — | 28¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-3 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 04:20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET ↗ | 2 | $1.6K | 98¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$37 | +2.3¢ | 05-05 04:20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET ↗ | 2 | $649 | 9¢ | 77¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$180 | +27.7¢ | 05-05 04:15 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET ↗ | 2 | $34 | 28¢ | 34¢ | Down | ✗ Yes | $-7 | -21.5¢ | 05-05 04:15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET ↗ | 2 | $68 | — | 71¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$27 | +40.0¢ | 05-05 04:15 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET ↗ | 1 | $18 | — | 74¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$6 | +35.1¢ | 05-05 04:15 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET ↗ | 1 | $24 | 53¢ | — | Down | ✗ Yes | $-24 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 04:10 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET ↗ | 1 | $1 | — | 44¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$1 | +127.3¢ | 05-05 04:10 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET ↗ | 1 | $14 | 45¢ | — | Down | ✗ Yes | $-14 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 04:05 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET ↗ | 1 | $8 | 58¢ | 5¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$4 | +48.7¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET ↗ | 1 | $36 | 71¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$14 | +40.8¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET ↗ | 1 | $48 | — | 60¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-48 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Bitcoin above 81,200 on May 5, 12AM ET? ↗ | 1 | $53 | — | 94¢ | No | ✓ No | +$3 | +6.1¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET ↗ | 2 | $2.5K | — | 67¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$1,261 | +49.6¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET ↗ | 1 | $10 | 60¢ | 9¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$5 | +50.2¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Bitcoin above 80,400 on May 5, 12AM ET? ↗ | 1 | $32 | 97¢ | — | Yes | ✓ Yes | +$1 | +3.4¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET ↗ | 1 | $80 | 51¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$77 | +96.5¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Ethereum above 2,390 on May 5, 12AM ET? ↗ | 1 | $26 | — | 96¢ | No | ✓ No | +$1 | +4.6¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET ↗ | 1 | $59 | — | 58¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$43 | +72.6¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET ↗ | 1 | $87 | 51¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$83 | +96.2¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET ↗ | 1 | $31 | — | 74¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$11 | +35.1¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET ↗ | 1 | $458 | — | 62¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$277 | +60.5¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET ↗ | 1 | $370 | 56¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$295 | +79.8¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET ↗ | 2 | $429 | — | 70¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$184 | +43.0¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET ↗ | 1 | $507 | 64¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$280 | +55.3¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET ↗ | 1 | $93 | 57¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$69 | +74.1¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET ↗ | 2 | $97 | — | 74¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$34 | +34.8¢ | 05-05 04:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET ↗ | 1 | $155 | 37¢ | 66¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$64 | +41.0¢ | 05-05 03:55 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET ↗ | 1 | $22 | — | 64¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$13 | +56.2¢ | 05-05 03:55 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET ↗ | 1 | $8 | — | 62¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$5 | +61.3¢ | 05-05 03:55 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET ↗ | 1 | $9 | 40¢ | 55¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$1 | +13.9¢ | 05-05 03:55 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET ↗ | 1 | $36 | — | 48¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$38 | +106.8¢ | 05-05 03:50 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET ↗ | 1 | $211 | — | 61¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$134 | +63.6¢ | 05-05 03:50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET ↗ | 1 | $394 | — | 53¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$350 | +88.7¢ | 05-05 03:50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET ↗ | 1 | $26 | — | 38¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-26 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 03:45 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET ↗ | 1 | $10 | 64¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$6 | +56.2¢ | 05-05 03:45 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET ↗ | 1 | $11 | 75¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$4 | +32.7¢ | 05-05 03:45 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET ↗ | 1 | $77 | 57¢ | 24¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$6 | +8.2¢ | 05-05 03:45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET ↗ | 2 | $173 | 55¢ | 11¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$67 | +38.9¢ | 05-05 03:45 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET ↗ | 2 | $8 | — | 23¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-8 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 03:45 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET ↗ | 1 | $7 | — | 29¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-7 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 03:45 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET ↗ | 2 | $50 | 50¢ | 7¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-21 | -41.4¢ | 05-05 03:45 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET ↗ | 2 | $42 | 81¢ | 52¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | $-15 | -36.3¢ | 05-05 03:30 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET ↗ | 2 | $375 | 80¢ | 22¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$25 | +6.8¢ | 05-05 03:30 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET ↗ | 2 | $14 | — | 9¢ | Up | ✗ No | $-14 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 03:30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET ↗ | 2 | $545 | 53¢ | 7¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$402 | +73.7¢ | 05-05 03:30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET ↗ | 1 | $1.4K | 73¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$537 | +37.5¢ | 05-05 03:25 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET ↗ | 1 | $174 | 56¢ | 69¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$48 | +27.5¢ | 05-05 03:15 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET ↗ | 2 | $97 | 42¢ | — | Up | ✓ Yes | +$133 | +137.9¢ | 05-05 03:15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET ↗ | 2 | $248 | 54¢ | 81¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$9 | +3.5¢ | 05-05 03:15 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET ↗ | 1 | $65 | 66¢ | 39¢ | Down | ✓ No | +$25 | +39.4¢ | 05-05 03:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET ↗ | 1 | $191 | 96¢ | 38¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | $-31 | -16.2¢ | 05-05 03:00 |
| Ethereum above 2,345 on May 4, 11PM ET? ↗ | 1 | $67 | 92¢ | — | Yes | ✓ Yes | +$6 | +8.6¢ | 05-05 03:00 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET ↗ | 1 | $2 | 5¢ | — | Down | ✗ Yes | $-2 | -100.0¢ | 05-05 03:00 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET ↗ | 1 | $26 | 60¢ | 7¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$12 | +46.8¢ | 05-05 03:00 |
| Bitcoin above 79,800 on May 4, 11PM ET? ↗ | 1 | $82 | 94¢ | — | Yes | ✓ Yes | +$5 | +6.1¢ | 05-05 03:00 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET ↗ | 1 | $53 | 74¢ | 16¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | +$8 | +14.5¢ | 05-05 03:00 |
| Ethereum above 2,375 on May 4, 11PM ET? ↗ | 1 | $63 | 17¢ | 92¢ | No | ✓ No | +$3 | +4.5¢ | 05-05 03:00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET ↗ | 1 | $152 | 77¢ | 8¢ | Up | ✓ Yes | $-30 | -19.7¢ | 05-05 03:00 |