Showy-Sack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$332

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 06-30 13:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

71% 50% $-30

Politics

27% 25% $-1

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	5	$77	44	44	+0	open	—	04-30 17:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	1	$30	91	0	+91	Yes	$-30	05-02 11:06
will trumps approval rating be between 40pt5 and 40pt9 on march 20 2026	2	$21	18	18	+0	open	—	03-21 00:55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$15	25	25	+0	open	—	05-19 14:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$14	27	27	+0	open	—	04-12 21:40
will trump say border 7 times during memphis roundtable 239	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	03-23 17:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-19 14:17
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	04-07 22:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-15 19:37
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	2	$9	11	6	+6	Yes	+$2	04-26 08:45
will powell say war during march press conference	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-18 19:34
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-07 23:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$7	19	19	+1	open	—	04-07 23:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	06-29 21:14
will the us invade iran by march 31	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	03-28 09:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$6	38	38	+0	open	—	03-19 21:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	04-19 15:17
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	03-09 10:19
wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	1	$5	31	0	+31	open	—	06-06 13:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-26 08:20
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	04-07 22:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	1	$4	34	0	+34	open	—	04-17 18:26
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	05-14 09:29
will trump say objective or goal 3 times during address to the nation	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-01 16:49
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	04-05 00:31
will trump say democrat 5 times during miami address	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	03-09 10:29
cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-05 00:28
will powell say politics during march press conference	1	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	03-18 08:42
will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	06-10 23:52
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	04-05 00:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 13:18:05	Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x033a6d…
06-30 13:18:02	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x697964…
06-29 21:14:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8882cb…
06-17 09:48:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xd299a3…
06-10 23:52:27	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x4d3297…
06-09 10:40:13	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xdedf93…
06-08 15:43:15	cs2 tyloo 9z 2026 06 08	9z	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x997d6f…
06-07 21:44:39	Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc1f850…
06-06 13:30:51	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x5037b3…
05-20 10:08:23	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x042fe4…
05-19 14:18:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0x29a6e1…
05-19 14:17:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0xc28f02…
05-14 09:31:08	Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x284f47…
05-14 09:30:49	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x76a1fd…
05-14 09:30:38	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf13ac5…
05-14 09:29:39	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x7b2ac4…
05-12 11:49:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x6237a6…
05-02 11:06:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0x15edcc…
05-01 08:39:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x4dd409…
04-30 17:24:12	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x00c129…
04-30 17:23:28	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0xf25cba…
04-26 08:47:04	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x03034e…
04-26 08:46:54	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x17ac08…
04-26 08:46:28	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xaa416b…
04-26 08:45:14	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xff3072…
04-26 08:43:02	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x58a21b…
04-26 08:20:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x07bfd5…
04-19 15:17:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xfd2c02…
04-17 18:26:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	34	13¢	$4	0xae4a76…
04-12 21:40:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	27	16¢	$4	0xb60ead…
04-08 07:06:09	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xbf70e0…
04-07 23:52:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0x1f533d…
04-07 23:46:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf43a2f…
04-07 22:24:07	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	24	86¢	$21	0x84e47b…
04-07 22:23:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x3c9340…
04-07 22:23:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5b139f…
04-07 22:21:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xc17fef…
04-07 22:18:17	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x60f814…
04-07 22:17:03	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x0b1795…
04-05 00:31:01	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb90601…
04-05 00:30:39	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x4a7aea…
04-05 00:28:59	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x1041fe…
04-05 00:28:37	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	Connecticut Huskies	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfff84b…
04-03 17:57:37	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x00e3be…
04-03 17:57:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xfb698a…
04-02 10:21:59	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	Connecticut Huskies	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc422cd…
04-02 10:18:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x93a047…
04-01 16:49:39	will trump say objective or goal 3 times during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2c0041…
04-01 16:49:27	will trump say operation epic fury during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xc93129…
04-01 16:49:11	will trump say god 3 times during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x83c9b8…
03-28 09:15:17	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x917217…
03-25 23:03:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xfbee56…
03-25 23:03:25	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x711fbc…
03-25 23:02:13	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x39326d…
03-23 17:24:59	will trump say scam or fraud 3 times during memphis roundtable 566	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x8db6cb…
03-23 17:24:55	will trump say biden or obama 7 times during memphis roundtable 863	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x3e0b2b…
03-23 17:24:39	will trump say border 7 times during memphis roundtable 239	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5390f3…
03-23 14:23:07	will trump say biden or obama 7 times during memphis roundtable 863	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf4baee…
03-23 14:22:57	will trump say scam or fraud 3 times during memphis roundtable 566	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xeb3e1d…
03-23 14:20:41	will trump say border 7 times during memphis roundtable 239	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xea2471…
03-21 18:31:55	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xecf483…
03-21 01:00:15	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1c7d0c…
03-21 00:55:43	will trumps approval rating be between 40pt5 and 40pt9 on march 20 2026	Yes	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0x8d9b93…
03-19 21:13:07	will trumps approval rating be between 40pt5 and 40pt9 on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	18	32¢	$6	0x161025…
03-19 21:06:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0xb8c5a3…
03-18 19:34:45	will powell say not our job during march press conference	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x46f90c…
03-18 19:34:29	will powell say war during march press conference	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8b189b…
03-18 08:42:39	will powell say politics during march press conference	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x134cf4…
03-17 11:52:49	will powell say war during march press conference	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa8f48d…
03-15 19:57:27	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xd224bd…
03-15 19:57:21	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x91fb2f…
03-15 19:47:53	will powell say not our job during march press conference	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x2bf06e…
03-15 19:47:33	will powell say refund during march press conference	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xab4bd9…
03-15 19:37:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x2091fd…
03-10 23:37:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xc313a6…
03-09 10:29:53	will trump say democrat 5 times during miami address	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0x227d81…
03-09 10:22:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x2ed970…
03-09 10:19:57	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xe3f572…