Cheap-Oats — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.4%

Resolved

Trades

3,232

lifetime

Volume

$36.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-22 21:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

44% — —

Other

34% 92% +$10

Politics

21% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	19	$2.1K	1,069	1,089	-20	open	—	01-31 20:35
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 165 189	53	$2.1K	1,859	1,862	-3	open	—	01-17 17:06
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	16	$2.1K	1,287	869	+418	open	—	01-13 00:14
eth updown 15m 1769362200	4	$1.7K	1,349	1,328	+21	open	—	01-25 17:37
us strikes iran by january 12 2026 314	11	$1.6K	805	905	-100	open	—	01-12 21:20
dota2 perrej undere 2026 01 27	2	$1.5K	740	740	+0	open	—	01-27 21:02
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes 281	15	$1.0K	512	512	+0	open	—	01-25 02:22
highest temperature in seattle on january 27 50 51f	4	$600	663	0	+663	open	—	01-27 21:03
btc updown 15m 1770462900	20	$553	1,444	40	+1,404	open	—	02-07 11:30
googl up or down on january 22 2026	10	$545	286	286	+0	open	—	01-22 20:48
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 165 189	2	$505	185	324	-139	open	—	01-12 20:28
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	5	$497	289	289	+0	open	—	01-16 16:33
eth updown 15m 1769380200	2	$393	439	0	+439	open	—	01-25 22:44
nba phi cha 2026 01 26 total 227pt5	2	$388	202	202	+0	open	—	01-26 22:23
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	9	$387	268	268	+0	open	—	01-23 16:36
solana up or down january 18 4am et	10	$386	200	200	+0	open	—	01-18 09:59
highest temperature in london on january 20 10c	17	$349	714	715	-1	open	—	01-20 12:24
will trump and machado not shake hands	2	$337	350	0	+350	open	—	01-16 23:34
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 540 559	2	$330	332	0	+332	open	—	01-16 16:51
bitcoin up or down january 17 6pm et	9	$323	280	180	+100	open	—	01-17 23:59
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	1	$312	318	0	+318	open	—	01-11 18:25
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026?	1	$307	312	0	+312	open	—	01-10 21:56
btc updown 15m 1770457500	11	$303	1,580	15	+1,565	open	—	02-07 10:00
btc updown 15m 1769454000	1	$300	303	0	+303	open	—	01-26 19:14
highest temperature in dallas on january 25 20 21f	2	$300	338	0	+338	open	—	01-25 22:32
lol navi kc 2026 01 26	3	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	01-26 20:16
over 160m committed to the ranger public sale 697 445 524 768 983	1	$289	305	0	+305	open	—	01-10 11:59
highest temperature in london on february 3 2026 7c	1	$281	282	0	+282	open	—	02-03 16:56
will trump meet with king mohammed vi of morocco in january 2026	4	$275	144	144	+0	open	—	01-25 12:04
highest temperature in atlanta on january 25 36 37f	12	$225	540	381	+159	open	—	01-26 02:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 21:59:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x0c979f…
05-22 21:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xcee2ca…
05-22 21:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe7055e…
05-22 21:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x0e6298…
05-22 21:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x953ac5…
05-11 14:49:45	Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)	Leeds United FC	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xd0dc82…
05-10 10:17:56	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x25ee62…
05-07 21:17:51	SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x754ace…
05-07 19:53:41	Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Shabab Saudi Club	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf8a1a4…
05-07 19:50:51	Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Shabab Saudi Club	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x566c04…
05-07 19:50:18	Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Shabab Saudi Club	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xbe219e…
05-07 19:49:29	Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Shabab Saudi Club	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xea0b48…
05-07 19:16:21	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsend	Taylor Townsend	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x66a159…
05-07 17:15:13	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsend	Taylor Townsend	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x6da83d…
05-07 16:48:28	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: McCartney Kessler vs Iva Jovic	Iva Jovic	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x1997c1…
05-07 16:48:19	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: McCartney Kessler vs Iva Jovic	Iva Jovic	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x7b2912…
05-07 16:47:34	SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xd21345…
05-06 18:07:31	Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xd37d4a…
05-06 18:04:26	Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xf3d03e…
05-06 18:01:29	FathUnionSport vs. IR Tanger: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf7e18c…
05-06 17:34:36	FathUnionSport vs. IR Tanger: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x1af081…
05-06 16:02:20	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Rebeka Masarova	Rebeka Masarova	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xb0db21…
05-06 16:01:10	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Rebeka Masarova	Rebeka Masarova	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xad835d…
05-06 15:46:48	Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x679a70…
05-06 13:39:54	Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)	Beijing Guoan FC	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3a5760…
05-06 13:15:26	Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	4	95¢	$3	0xccaa01…
05-06 13:06:30	Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)	Beijing Guoan FC	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xbc4b3e…
05-06 13:02:50	Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x68e694…
05-06 12:53:56	Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x6564f0…
05-06 12:53:48	Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x9255a2…
05-06 12:53:36	Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x332b26…
05-06 12:53:22	Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xe0f244…
05-06 12:53:10	Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x0bc87b…
05-06 12:52:34	Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x3a8810…
05-06 12:52:24	Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf34f2a…
05-06 12:41:18	Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x14b6fd…
05-05 21:53:28	Spread: CA Rosario Central (-2.5)	Club Libertad	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x3c2f03…
05-05 21:20:54	Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xc7fd42…
05-05 21:07:08	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xb6a56b…
05-05 21:07:04	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x772a1c…
05-05 18:16:56	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	18	87¢	$15	0x9fdcfc…
05-05 18:15:44	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x988878…
05-03 17:24:42	Spread: Kayserispor (-1.5)	Eyüpspor	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xf68ee3…
05-03 17:14:18	Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xabdf67…
05-03 16:25:26	Real Sporting de Gijón vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x04eff5…
05-03 15:17:24	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xdafa6d…
05-03 13:35:14	Real Sporting de Gijón vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x587b4a…
05-03 13:29:04	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x7ae39d…
05-03 13:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0xba6709…
05-03 13:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x142e01…
05-03 13:03:32	SV 07 Elversberg vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x005224…
05-03 12:47:04	SV 07 Elversberg vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xaa55d6…
05-03 12:21:24	SV 07 Elversberg vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x73241c…
05-03 11:33:40	1. FC Magdeburg vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x5c752c…
05-03 11:31:56	1. FC Magdeburg vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xabdf9b…
05-03 11:27:52	Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x2b8e90…
05-03 11:13:46	Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x895bb1…
04-24 18:37:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x72b6fe…
04-24 16:25:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x815a08…
04-20 21:47:58	highest temperature in paris on april 20 2026 15c	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x39fb4c…
04-20 18:47:26	highest temperature in paris on april 20 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xb261e6…
04-19 20:48:30	highest temperature in toronto on april 19 2026 9c	No	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0xc5a12d…
04-19 19:59:28	highest temperature in toronto on april 19 2026 9c	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdf7a32…
04-19 19:59:28	highest temperature in toronto on april 19 2026 9c	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x7d373e…
04-19 19:51:50	highest temperature in toronto on april 19 2026 9c	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0ae4be…
04-19 19:51:44	highest temperature in toronto on april 19 2026 9c	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x5801ae…
04-19 19:51:42	highest temperature in toronto on april 19 2026 9c	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3f8b48…
04-19 19:45:50	highest temperature in toronto on april 19 2026 9c	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x648016…
04-19 19:43:38	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x0055d0…
04-12 21:23:33	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x927d6a…
04-12 16:33:25	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x5c4fb0…
04-10 18:58:11	highest temperature in nyc on april 10 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xdce444…
04-10 18:54:09	highest temperature in nyc on april 10 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xcfabda…
04-10 18:52:25	highest temperature in nyc on april 10 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x73aba0…
04-10 18:50:53	highest temperature in nyc on april 10 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0xc44949…
04-10 18:37:47	highest temperature in nyc on april 10 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x68106d…
04-10 18:37:43	highest temperature in nyc on april 10 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xde7bde…
04-10 18:32:25	highest temperature in nyc on april 10 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x8b8ffe…
04-10 14:56:29	highest temperature in tokyo on april 10 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe9eb32…
04-10 10:53:19	highest temperature in beijing on april 10 2026 30corhigher	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xb8a710…
04-10 07:55:27	highest temperature in beijing on april 10 2026 30corhigher	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x5e36cb…
04-10 07:33:03	highest temperature in beijing on april 10 2026 30corhigher	No	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0x703c4a…
04-10 07:22:59	highest temperature in beijing on april 10 2026 30corhigher	No	BUY	24	95¢	$22	0x49fc06…
04-08 21:21:15	mlb lad tor 2026 04 08	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x82b5c4…
04-08 21:20:19	mlb lad tor 2026 04 08	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x197b8d…
04-08 20:31:01	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xa7944b…
04-08 20:27:51	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x1f0180…
04-08 20:11:55	highest temperature in atlanta on april 8 2026 72 73f	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0xb6a086…
04-08 20:02:01	highest temperature in atlanta on april 8 2026 72 73f	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0x1bfb8c…
04-08 19:28:13	highest temperature in atlanta on april 8 2026 72 73f	No	BUY	25	95¢	$23	0x2e8672…
04-08 19:28:11	highest temperature in atlanta on april 8 2026 72 73f	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x7edcbb…
04-08 17:07:03	highest temperature in milan on april 8 2026 26c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x19ba31…
04-08 14:10:17	highest temperature in paris on april 8 2026 28corhigher	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x30cec6…
04-08 14:00:47	highest temperature in milan on april 8 2026 26c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7c36fb…
04-08 13:57:57	highest temperature in paris on april 8 2026 28corhigher	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf67217…
04-08 13:57:57	highest temperature in paris on april 8 2026 28corhigher	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd97df8…
04-08 10:47:25	highest temperature in paris on april 8 2026 28corhigher	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xcc8b4f…
04-07 23:53:23	highest temperature in nyc on april 7 2026 52 53f	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x475fe8…
04-07 19:25:37	highest temperature in nyc on april 7 2026 52 53f	Yes	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xbfbdee…
04-07 19:25:23	highest temperature in paris on april 7 2026 25c	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xc1e585…