Impossible-Grill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.74K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,867

lifetime

Volume

$563.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$302

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 07-23 17:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

84% 33% $-2,740

Other

10% — —

Sports

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	59	$54.4K	42,016	42,016	+0	open	—	05-22 22:56
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	35	$39.9K	25,013	37,411	-12,399	open	—	06-07 22:09
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	147	$34.1K	31,412	31,411	+0	open	—	07-01 15:33
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	79	$31.3K	35,644	35,644	+0	open	—	07-07 22:20
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	25	$23.7K	62,179	62,179	+0	open	—	02-27 20:19
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	8	$23.5K	23,742	23,742	+0	open	—	02-28 08:50
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	24	$21.8K	14,203	14,203	+0	open	—	04-08 06:12
will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	3	$19.9K	15,000	15,000	+0	open	—	06-19 11:53
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	26	$18.9K	11,775	11,775	+0	open	—	07-06 08:49
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	24	$16.4K	25,500	25,500	+0	open	—	06-07 19:13
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	48	$14.6K	13,242	13,242	+0	open	—	07-07 17:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	156	$14.5K	46,023	33,826	+12,197	open	—	06-20 16:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	30	$13.2K	15,412	0	+15,412	open	—	06-20 20:29
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	29	$12.2K	31,374	31,374	+0	open	—	03-09 18:14
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?	28	$9.7K	12,507	9,380	+3,127	open	—	05-25 22:56
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$9.5K	11,794	11,794	+0	open	—	03-09 18:12
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	87	$9.2K	7,679	7,679	+0	open	—	07-01 14:12
iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	43	$8.7K	11,514	0	+11,514	open	—	06-27 21:46
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	44	$8.7K	29,308	29,308	+0	open	—	07-15 17:37
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	16	$8.2K	5,150	5,150	+0	open	—	06-30 21:59
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	30	$8.1K	18,847	18,847	+0	open	—	07-15 17:56
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	19	$7.6K	23,174	9,587	+13,587	open	—	07-12 23:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	11	$6.9K	10,121	10,121	+0	Yes	+$156	05-08 19:04
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	51	$6.7K	21,628	21,628	+0	open	—	04-18 10:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	43	$6.5K	36,453	18,683	+17,770	No	$-2,793	05-08 19:26
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	22	$6.3K	14,241	12,117	+2,124	open	—	07-21 17:42
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$6.2K	5,070	5,070	+0	open	—	02-28 06:58
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	27	$5.8K	23,012	21,731	+1,280	open	—	05-26 04:05
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	20	$5.5K	25,227	0	+25,227	open	—	05-25 21:10
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	54	$5.4K	15,660	15,660	+0	open	—	06-14 21:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 17:08:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	2,083	24¢	$500	0x48deb4…
07-23 13:13:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	2,100	41¢	$861	0x901080…
07-23 12:53:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	26	41¢	$11	0xe3eb43…
07-23 12:52:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	169	41¢	$69	0x183052…
07-23 12:50:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xbea906…
07-23 12:34:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0x2decc8…
07-23 12:31:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc31d5e…
07-23 12:31:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x693cdb…
07-23 12:31:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x0d8de0…
07-23 12:31:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xcf3bc4…
07-23 12:31:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xaa91cb…
07-23 12:29:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0xcbe3e2…
07-23 12:29:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x00b95d…
07-23 12:29:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x2e2ae5…
07-23 11:40:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x47e7e7…
07-23 11:22:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	42	41¢	$17	0x956fe9…
07-23 11:12:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	3,827	27¢	$1,033	0xfb231a…
07-23 11:12:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	385	41¢	$158	0xab9c51…
07-23 09:09:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	1,426	27¢	$385	0xa0dd4d…
07-23 08:33:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0x7ef518…
07-23 08:32:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x48c33d…
07-23 08:22:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	556	27¢	$150	0xe94137…
07-23 08:11:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	93	27¢	$25	0xbfe66b…
07-23 08:08:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0xbcc828…
07-23 07:55:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	201	27¢	$54	0xf6d398…
07-23 07:54:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	370	27¢	$100	0xa14b2a…
07-23 07:53:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	131	27¢	$35	0x84a441…
07-22 19:50:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	SELL	332	33¢	$110	0x8acccf…
07-22 19:49:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x841eb5…
07-22 19:48:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	SELL	909	33¢	$300	0xff0318…
07-22 19:48:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	SELL	1,484	33¢	$491	0xc301a5…
07-22 12:25:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	1,362	21¢	$286	0x949cdb…
07-22 12:23:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0xa888c8…
07-22 12:21:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x7e9a7a…
07-22 12:21:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	824	21¢	$173	0xa2d997…
07-22 06:26:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	64	19¢	$12	0x0feab3…
07-22 05:54:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xc375ca…
07-22 05:48:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xc36e76…
07-22 05:32:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x312295…
07-22 05:32:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xc0f812…
07-22 05:28:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x86f149…
07-22 05:28:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x1bff60…
07-22 04:57:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf7ae26…
07-22 04:57:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	87	19¢	$17	0x619a24…
07-22 04:54:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0x49e0f5…
07-22 04:50:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	1,000	19¢	$190	0xc1928c…
07-22 04:46:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0xc6c694…
07-22 04:30:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2ed2b6…
07-22 04:24:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1495ff…
07-22 04:22:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9edc28…
07-22 04:20:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x376c1d…
07-22 04:16:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6b0794…
07-22 04:11:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0xef6aba…
07-22 04:04:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	62	19¢	$12	0x52440e…
07-22 04:02:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xdc6e60…
07-22 04:01:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	333	19¢	$63	0x7bb1c6…
07-22 03:25:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	24	19¢	$5	0xf4ff0d…
07-22 03:24:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	225	19¢	$43	0x137b91…
07-22 03:06:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	523	19¢	$99	0xc47896…
07-22 02:49:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	58	19¢	$11	0x2c88ca…
07-22 02:49:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	933	19¢	$177	0x190b7d…
07-21 17:42:51	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x43f6f2…
07-21 17:13:33	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	83	26¢	$22	0x364157…
07-21 11:02:37	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	1,674	44¢	$737	0x1e0f9d…
07-21 10:56:13	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xe178a6…
07-21 10:27:52	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	179	44¢	$79	0xa7587f…
07-20 14:18:54	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	612	24¢	$147	0xcf1514…
07-20 14:16:52	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x5f55d3…
07-20 12:44:36	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x4d9a88…
07-20 12:23:03	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0xc86443…
07-20 12:22:33	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4251e9…
07-20 12:22:28	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x0588fb…
07-20 12:22:25	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x3b4dab…
07-20 12:21:57	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xcbf851…
07-20 12:21:57	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xaf76ba…
07-20 12:21:33	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xff8b92…
07-20 12:20:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x893bc7…
07-20 12:20:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x383fe4…
07-20 12:20:07	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,500	19¢	$285	0x9f824e…
07-20 12:14:21	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	67	20¢	$13	0xc13f93…
07-19 17:11:18	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x2eaa99…
07-19 12:17:28	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	SELL	2,685	12¢	$322	0xc96b69…
07-19 12:16:57	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	SELL	4,797	12¢	$576	0x49941c…
07-19 11:34:37	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	SELL	60	12¢	$7	0x6d8d88…
07-19 11:11:48	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x4d2952…
07-19 10:22:28	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	SELL	845	12¢	$101	0x5420f5…
07-19 08:51:34	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	SELL	167	12¢	$20	0xe187a0…
07-19 08:33:43	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x2d532a…
07-19 08:33:40	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	SELL	332	12¢	$40	0xefa272…
07-18 22:46:09	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	SELL	1,059	17¢	$180	0x2158cd…
07-18 22:44:51	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	SELL	51	17¢	$9	0x5a5d5c…
07-18 22:40:21	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x239fa7…
07-18 21:33:06	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	8,680	19¢	$1,649	0x255f9e…
07-18 21:25:49	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x3f6a55…
07-18 21:25:49	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	1,129	19¢	$214	0x265717…
07-18 20:47:31	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x00e7f9…
07-18 20:18:55	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	86	19¢	$16	0xae3b68…
07-18 20:13:46	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	90	19¢	$17	0x1f1f44…
07-18 20:12:16	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0x4c749b…
07-18 19:00:21	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	114	10¢	$11	0x7dcab1…