Impossible-Grill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.74K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,056

lifetime

Volume

$606.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$295

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 08-07 19:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

83% 33% $-2,740

Other

12% — —

Sports

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	59	$54.4K	42,016	42,016	+0	open	—	05-22 22:56
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	35	$39.9K	25,013	37,411	-12,399	open	—	06-07 22:09
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	147	$34.1K	31,412	31,411	+0	open	—	07-01 15:33
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	79	$31.3K	35,644	35,644	+0	open	—	07-07 22:20
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	25	$23.7K	62,179	62,179	+0	open	—	02-27 20:19
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	8	$23.5K	23,742	23,742	+0	open	—	02-28 08:50
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	24	$21.8K	14,203	14,203	+0	open	—	04-08 06:12
will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	3	$19.9K	15,000	15,000	+0	open	—	06-19 11:53
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	26	$18.9K	11,775	11,775	+0	open	—	07-06 08:49
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	24	$16.4K	25,500	25,500	+0	open	—	06-07 19:13
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	48	$14.6K	13,242	13,242	+0	open	—	07-07 17:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	156	$14.5K	46,023	33,826	+12,197	open	—	06-20 16:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	30	$13.2K	15,412	0	+15,412	open	—	06-20 20:29
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	29	$12.2K	31,374	31,374	+0	open	—	03-09 18:14
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	35	$10.9K	16,335	16,517	-182	open	—	07-30 11:22
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?	28	$9.7K	12,507	9,380	+3,127	open	—	05-25 22:56
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$9.5K	11,794	11,794	+0	open	—	03-09 18:12
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	87	$9.2K	7,679	7,679	+0	open	—	07-01 14:12
iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	43	$8.7K	11,514	0	+11,514	open	—	06-27 21:46
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	20	$8.7K	9,542	13,681	-4,139	open	—	07-31 20:57
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	44	$8.7K	29,308	29,308	+0	open	—	07-15 17:37
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	16	$8.2K	5,150	5,150	+0	open	—	06-30 21:59
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	30	$8.1K	18,847	18,847	+0	open	—	07-15 17:56
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	19	$7.6K	23,174	9,587	+13,587	open	—	07-12 23:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	11	$6.9K	10,121	10,121	+0	Yes	+$156	05-08 19:04
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	8	$6.8K	11,845	11,845	+0	open	—	08-07 19:17
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	26	$6.7K	14,241	14,241	+0	open	—	07-25 11:46
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	51	$6.7K	21,628	21,628	+0	open	—	04-18 10:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	43	$6.5K	36,453	18,683	+17,770	No	$-2,793	05-08 19:26
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	34	$6.4K	25,294	25,294	+0	open	—	08-03 10:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 19:17:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	6,232	14¢	$875	0x4c90a5…
08-06 21:06:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	2,077	23¢	$478	0x7281a1…
08-06 19:05:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,008	30¢	$300	0x26ecca…
08-06 18:39:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	3,634	28¢	$1,000	0x0a2d52…
08-06 18:38:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,976	25¢	$500	0x581c7b…
08-06 18:37:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,692	26¢	$440	0xe78e4d…
08-03 10:34:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	3,535	39¢	$1,379	0x0a2d9d…
08-03 10:14:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	379	0¢	$0	0x016005…
08-02 21:30:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	3,535	51¢	$1,800	0x70f6d7…
08-02 21:19:20	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	2,799	37¢	$1,044	0x2b1d7d…
08-02 21:07:17	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	933	38¢	$354	0x9570b8…
08-02 21:06:17	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	1,244	38¢	$474	0x688fc0…
08-02 16:55:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	18,591	0¢	$85	0x899dec…
08-02 16:06:42	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	1,659	35¢	$582	0x99592e…
08-02 12:43:47	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	635	30¢	$191	0xcdca07…
08-02 12:01:02	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0xd0bfe4…
08-02 11:57:12	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	984	40¢	$394	0x85c94e…
08-02 09:33:57	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	1,000	45¢	$450	0x7e73db…
08-02 09:22:14	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	989	52¢	$514	0x622f3d…
08-02 09:22:05	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xf0078d…
08-02 09:04:38	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	1,965	56¢	$1,101	0x03e490…
08-02 09:04:15	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x2dfc8e…
08-02 09:04:05	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x53177e…
08-02 09:03:41	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x22744c…
08-02 09:02:57	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	1,000	56¢	$560	0xb0588d…
08-02 09:02:50	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xdcfd48…
08-02 09:02:48	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x9d83f3…
08-01 22:55:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	6,324	23¢	$1,437	0x121b86…
08-01 19:58:18	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	705	61¢	$427	0x3ae2f5…
08-01 17:40:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	1,000	25¢	$250	0x330e50…
08-01 17:33:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	1,143	27¢	$309	0x320631…
08-01 17:33:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	857	27¢	$231	0x379174…
08-01 17:03:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x720f29…
08-01 17:01:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xd5d383…
08-01 16:23:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	142	22¢	$31	0x056e81…
08-01 16:23:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x5f7770…
08-01 16:23:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x091a70…
08-01 16:22:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x10e3ad…
08-01 16:22:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xd39ab5…
08-01 16:22:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x5e0d5e…
08-01 16:22:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0xab2678…
08-01 16:22:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	59	22¢	$13	0x6160c3…
08-01 16:22:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	59	22¢	$13	0xc187b4…
08-01 16:21:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x47b109…
08-01 16:21:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x97a5a6…
08-01 15:39:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xc565de…
08-01 15:38:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xb9b5ca…
08-01 15:38:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x9469ca…
08-01 15:38:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x79c5ca…
08-01 15:29:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	5,000	24¢	$1,200	0x1ff634…
08-01 14:52:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	2,000	27¢	$540	0x9766bf…
07-31 22:21:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	991	28¢	$277	0xaa0318…
07-31 22:21:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x7aecfd…
07-31 22:21:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x1c528d…
07-31 21:40:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	4,000	28¢	$1,120	0x76564d…
07-31 20:57:11	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	3,750	30¢	$1,125	0x4cc5f0…
07-31 19:44:44	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	402	87¢	$350	0x877ad9…
07-31 19:44:21	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	1,250	28¢	$352	0x01a991…
07-31 19:43:56	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	302	86¢	$260	0xc8526c…
07-31 17:20:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	5,000	7¢	$350	0xa3a0f6…
07-31 16:12:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	4,915	11¢	$541	0xbf98b3…
07-31 16:07:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0xb7118d…
07-31 15:53:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	65	11¢	$7	0x6caddd…
07-31 15:48:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xbec22a…
07-31 15:33:48	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	No	SELL	269	97¢	$260	0xa8e702…
07-30 11:22:27	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	947	42¢	$398	0x2de877…
07-30 11:22:21	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	1,000	42¢	$420	0xd768a9…
07-30 11:22:18	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	190	42¢	$80	0x16debe…
07-30 11:21:29	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x9a1c3b…
07-30 11:21:17	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0xfcf747…
07-30 11:04:48	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	75	63¢	$47	0xca3a5b…
07-30 11:04:48	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x88be58…
07-30 11:04:48	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x37644d…
07-30 11:04:48	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	1,045	63¢	$658	0x28f06a…
07-30 11:02:38	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	1,028	63¢	$648	0x608d95…
07-30 10:54:20	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	1,000	64¢	$636	0x0dbac4…
07-30 09:03:41	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x964337…
07-30 08:16:08	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	2,000	70¢	$1,400	0x3965ef…
07-30 08:11:08	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	2,000	80¢	$1,600	0x5eea6f…
07-30 08:06:41	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	404	82¢	$331	0x8430c6…
07-30 08:06:12	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	82	82¢	$68	0x0b8fb6…
07-30 08:02:59	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xef71bb…
07-30 07:58:17	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	463	85¢	$394	0x29bf09…
07-30 07:56:00	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	285	82¢	$234	0x0f71ee…
07-30 06:30:05	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	200	28¢	$57	0x23bd6d…
07-30 06:30:00	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	2,095	28¢	$597	0xcc24a0…
07-30 06:29:39	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	334	28¢	$95	0x69d838…
07-30 06:28:41	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	1,394	28¢	$397	0x585116…
07-30 06:06:47	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	4,022	25¢	$1,000	0xc671d0…
07-29 22:39:54	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	3,496	6¢	$221	0xe61588…
07-29 22:39:45	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	3,496	7¢	$234	0x994a86…
07-29 22:20:24	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	489	20¢	$100	0xf63140…
07-29 21:57:29	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	463	22¢	$100	0x8c22f5…
07-29 21:57:06	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	534	19¢	$100	0x4cb43f…
07-29 21:56:48	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	596	17¢	$100	0xb2a70a…
07-29 21:46:12	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	495	20¢	$100	0x972cc9…
07-29 21:46:06	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	512	20¢	$100	0x850c28…
07-29 21:44:59	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	590	17¢	$100	0x11509c…
07-29 21:42:24	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	3,314	15¢	$500	0x496a1a…
07-29 21:42:23	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	182	85¢	$156	0x376d17…