Impossible-Grill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.74K

Unrealized P&L

-$91

Hit rate

48.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,420

lifetime

Volume

$447.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$315

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-23

last 07-01 15:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

96% 33% $-2,740

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No		+0	$91	99¢	$0	$-91	06-30 20:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	59	$54.4K	42,016	42,016	+0	open	—	05-22 22:56
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	35	$39.9K	25,013	37,411	-12,399	open	—	06-07 22:09
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	147	$34.1K	31,412	31,411	+0	open	—	07-01 15:33
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	25	$23.7K	62,179	62,179	+0	open	—	02-27 20:19
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	8	$23.5K	23,742	23,742	+0	open	—	02-28 08:50
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	24	$21.8K	14,203	14,203	+0	open	—	04-08 06:12
will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	3	$19.9K	15,000	15,000	+0	open	—	06-19 11:53
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	24	$16.4K	25,500	25,500	+0	open	—	06-07 19:13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	156	$14.5K	46,023	33,826	+12,197	open	—	06-20 16:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	30	$13.2K	15,412	0	+15,412	open	—	06-20 20:29
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	29	$12.2K	31,374	31,374	+0	open	—	03-09 18:14
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?	28	$9.7K	12,507	9,380	+3,127	open	—	05-25 22:56
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$9.5K	11,794	11,794	+0	open	—	03-09 18:12
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	87	$9.2K	7,679	7,679	+0	open	—	07-01 14:12
iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	43	$8.7K	11,514	0	+11,514	open	—	06-27 21:46
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	16	$8.2K	5,150	5,150	+0	open	—	06-30 21:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	11	$6.9K	10,121	10,121	+0	Yes	+$156	05-08 19:04
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	51	$6.7K	21,628	21,628	+0	open	—	04-18 10:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	43	$6.5K	36,453	18,683	+17,770	No	$-2,793	05-08 19:26
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$6.2K	5,070	5,070	+0	open	—	02-28 06:58
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	27	$5.8K	23,012	21,731	+1,280	open	—	05-26 04:05
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	15	$5.8K	12,117	12,117	+0	open	—	07-01 15:43
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	20	$5.5K	25,227	0	+25,227	open	—	05-25 21:10
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	54	$5.4K	15,660	15,660	+0	open	—	06-14 21:06
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	52	$5.3K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	06-28 20:21
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$5.1K	12,617	12,617	+0	open	—	01-25 10:49
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	5	$4.7K	17,553	17,553	+0	open	—	02-01 08:57
will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	30	$4.5K	16,051	17,240	-1,189	open	—	06-14 21:46
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	15	$4.3K	4,225	4,225	+0	open	—	06-27 10:47
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	26	$3.8K	19,000	29,000	-10,000	open	—	04-13 18:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 20:29:52	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	1,504	3¢	$45	0x55b97f…
07-02 20:27:58	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x32f931…
07-02 20:27:07	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	232	3¢	$7	0xd626b6…
07-02 20:22:44	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	400	3¢	$12	0x5994c8…
07-02 20:22:26	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x7d72cb…
07-02 20:22:26	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x47cf27…
07-02 20:21:52	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	1,000	3¢	$29	0xd90591…
07-02 20:21:52	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	82	3¢	$3	0xc52152…
07-02 20:21:29	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	36	4¢	$1	0x7cd74d…
07-02 20:19:34	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xba6e1d…
07-02 20:18:07	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	689	2¢	$13	0x9ff4b9…
07-02 20:17:58	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xfd3972…
07-02 20:17:56	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$22	0x82569c…
07-02 20:17:52	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$20	0xdbe1c1…
07-02 20:17:40	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	959	3¢	$24	0x521455…
07-02 20:17:40	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x36dfc6…
07-02 20:15:49	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$20	0x9cc48f…
07-02 20:13:32	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	128	3¢	$4	0x83351e…
07-02 20:12:31	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	491	5¢	$25	0xd71bd5…
07-02 20:10:32	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x49dae2…
07-02 20:10:10	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xcfc564…
07-02 20:09:53	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	250	14¢	$34	0x1c8c6e…
07-02 20:09:46	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	322	15¢	$47	0x4464cb…
07-02 19:55:43	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	51	18¢	$9	0x6b6f3f…
07-02 19:50:49	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	307	17¢	$53	0x0da7f8…
07-02 19:45:56	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xd51581…
07-02 19:45:56	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0xcc77a2…
07-02 19:45:50	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0x646e21…
07-02 19:45:47	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	345	12¢	$42	0x979c9f…
07-02 19:45:47	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x623b28…
07-02 19:45:22	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xe6135a…
07-02 19:45:20	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	194	12¢	$23	0xc59949…
07-02 19:44:29	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0xdd2609…
07-02 19:44:07	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0xc27b8d…
07-02 19:43:59	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$23	0x729f87…
07-02 19:39:58	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	23	11¢	$2	0x69d22f…
07-02 19:38:20	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0xc957c2…
07-02 19:37:53	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	88	13¢	$12	0x30f16e…
07-02 19:37:50	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x5e0dbd…
07-02 19:37:46	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0xe5e4b4…
07-02 19:37:41	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x031994…
07-02 19:37:02	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	273	15¢	$41	0x3968f8…
07-02 19:36:55	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	300	15¢	$46	0xee7b9d…
07-02 19:21:49	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	1,000	22¢	$219	0xf8e858…
07-02 19:15:49	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	10,000	19¢	$1,914	0x4c91e4…
07-01 15:51:17	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	2,839	8¢	$227	0x7388fa…
07-01 15:49:11	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x9b9fab…
07-01 15:43:11	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	3,601	23¢	$828	0x0a56f8…
07-01 15:43:02	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0xe69577…
07-01 15:42:55	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	25	23¢	$6	0xfd4276…
07-01 15:40:11	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	350	10¢	$35	0xfeba6e…
07-01 15:39:49	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	1,000	10¢	$100	0x905a98…
07-01 15:39:47	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	42	24¢	$10	0x00eeb5…
07-01 15:39:46	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	208	24¢	$50	0x75ee21…
07-01 15:39:28	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	2,000	10¢	$200	0x30c0b8…
07-01 15:39:17	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	19	10¢	$2	0x815004…
07-01 15:39:08	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	832	10¢	$83	0x29019c…
07-01 15:39:01	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	120	24¢	$29	0xcdcaa4…
07-01 15:39:01	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xaed942…
07-01 15:39:01	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	686	23¢	$158	0x05b5f4…
07-01 15:38:53	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	46	11¢	$5	0xbebc03…
07-01 15:38:53	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	13	11¢	$1	0x5ec326…
07-01 15:38:43	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	267	11¢	$29	0x5d62c5…
07-01 15:38:38	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	500	11¢	$55	0x7b7a69…
07-01 15:37:14	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	4,389	27¢	$1,185	0x7e3189…
07-01 15:37:13	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	1,431	13¢	$186	0x6965cc…
07-01 15:37:01	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	13	28¢	$4	0x60b860…
07-01 15:36:50	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	91	13¢	$12	0xe3f5c2…
07-01 15:36:41	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	3,029	27¢	$818	0x1661b3…
07-01 15:35:16	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	2,580	33¢	$852	0x0e19ab…
07-01 15:34:47	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	1,429	35¢	$500	0x9f49d4…
07-01 15:34:41	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	1,337	30¢	$400	0x49294c…
07-01 15:34:34	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	857	35¢	$300	0x107060…
07-01 15:34:29	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xbb51db…
07-01 15:34:25	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	339	30¢	$100	0xf38eb6…
07-01 15:33:55	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	386	26¢	$100	0xdec2a0…
07-01 15:33:50	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	406	25¢	$100	0x8caef7…
07-01 15:33:28	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	9,924	10¢	$1,000	0xc70f27…
07-01 15:33:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	7,089	92¢	$6,505	0xb815a0…
07-01 15:32:56	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	9,650	20¢	$1,965	0x74ec44…
07-01 14:12:19	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	111	68¢	$76	0xf0dc0f…
07-01 14:11:47	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	66	68¢	$45	0x4581f5…
07-01 13:51:23	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0xce0086…
07-01 13:36:52	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0x1376ec…
07-01 13:22:05	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0xbdc21b…
07-01 13:13:32	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0xb1ffa1…
07-01 13:13:22	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0xf7ec3a…
07-01 13:13:19	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0x5d5e3c…
07-01 13:13:16	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0xaeee30…
07-01 13:12:47	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0x95653c…
07-01 13:12:43	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0x746525…
07-01 13:12:37	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0x6d12b5…
07-01 13:12:32	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0x79007e…
07-01 13:12:26	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x9058a2…
07-01 13:12:14	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x6b7c17…
07-01 13:12:11	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0xfbd354…
07-01 13:12:04	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0x18b831…
07-01 13:11:56	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0xf4a874…
07-01 12:59:29	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	28	65¢	$18	0x99f3e6…
07-01 12:53:13	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x2d9a30…