Vain-Nest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.1%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$554

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-12 13:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 69% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	4	$24	14	14	+0	Up	+$4	05-11 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	4	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	3	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$21	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	4	$20	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	4	$15	13	13	+0	Up	$-5	05-11 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	4	$15	14	14	+0	Up	$-5	05-10 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$14	11	6	+5	Down	$-0	05-11 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$13	12	6	+6	Down	$-1	05-11 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	3	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 05:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 13:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xcf5c31…
05-12 13:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xb0cc7c…
05-12 10:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x5cf017…
05-12 10:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5fc0a7…
05-12 06:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x45cd28…
05-12 05:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x27ee5f…
05-12 05:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x865c2f…
05-12 05:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x8b8c52…
05-12 05:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x527e29…
05-12 04:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x06a698…
05-12 03:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x08ff9e…
05-12 03:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x4ede8c…
05-12 03:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xa01eb7…
05-12 03:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x9fa65d…
05-12 03:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x634a0b…
05-12 03:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0xaed432…
05-12 03:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x7f9e13…
05-12 03:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x26b480…
05-12 03:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x2ce04a…
05-12 03:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x653d43…
05-12 03:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9e80f8…
05-12 02:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x4cbe80…
05-12 02:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa952c9…
05-12 02:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xebf540…
05-12 02:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xbd007a…
05-12 02:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$6	0x8bb4ef…
05-12 02:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x7b7637…
05-11 15:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x04ccb3…
05-11 15:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa3d1af…
05-11 15:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x53c5ce…
05-11 15:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x76d6b5…
05-11 15:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x3b4270…
05-11 15:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe42528…
05-11 15:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x5a78d1…
05-11 15:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x6bd752…
05-11 15:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xbbc31b…
05-11 15:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6c3db4…
05-11 15:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x867eea…
05-11 12:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x9ef605…
05-11 12:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xd8232a…
05-11 12:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x9a8aa5…
05-11 12:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x279f18…
05-11 12:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x23f7f9…
05-11 12:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa14871…
05-11 12:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x212d7e…
05-11 12:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe4d199…
05-11 10:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xa96c69…
05-11 10:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6b0778…
05-11 10:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd199b1…
05-11 08:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x0f245d…
05-11 08:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xbeadf7…
05-11 08:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xba06a7…
05-11 08:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x10dc8d…
05-11 08:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xdd045e…
05-11 08:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x04fe0b…
05-11 08:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x12e287…
05-11 08:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9c051b…
05-11 08:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa54cbd…
05-11 08:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x252864…
05-11 08:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0x6b00a9…
05-11 07:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x9353ec…
05-11 07:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x78b488…
05-11 07:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x3196ec…
05-11 07:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe4b35f…
05-11 07:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x20083d…
05-11 07:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x18ec59…
05-11 07:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x16775e…
05-11 07:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb1af9c…
05-11 07:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x053745…
05-11 07:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x9ccdc6…
05-11 07:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xc62bd3…
05-11 07:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xba67f3…
05-11 07:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0xd2e540…
05-11 06:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0xb59513…
05-11 06:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x4e2a25…
05-11 06:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0xf47744…
05-11 06:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xcc3379…
05-11 06:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x8f006d…
05-11 06:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xb3cd44…
05-11 06:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0xdc80ea…
05-11 06:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x05c1ca…
05-11 06:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0xf8a510…
05-11 06:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x5627be…
05-11 05:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0xedff79…
05-11 05:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xc929c8…
05-11 05:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5e856a…
05-11 05:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbeac68…
05-11 05:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf624ab…
05-11 05:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	97¢	$8	0xc44bbd…
05-11 05:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2764e2…
05-11 05:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x43014b…
05-11 05:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe092b7…
05-11 05:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x841f57…
05-11 05:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x73fe50…
05-11 05:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0xbf83f6…
05-11 05:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x62fcad…
05-11 05:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x134a63…
05-11 05:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x85a931…
05-11 05:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd31156…
05-10 16:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0xb89f4a…