Dense-Invasion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.0%

Resolved

Trades

327

lifetime

Volume

$2.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 05-28 12:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

54% — —

Other

26% 75% $-5

Politics

20% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	7	$310	203	203	+0	open	—	05-25 13:11
ethereum above 2800 on january 30	9	$191	165	165	+0	open	—	01-30 15:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	8	$152	255	255	+0	open	—	05-25 20:29
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on march 19	6	$123	100	100	+0	open	—	03-19 12:32
ethereum above 2200 on march 17	7	$116	70	70	+0	open	—	03-16 14:02
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 18	2	$112	100	100	+0	open	—	03-18 11:34
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 18	3	$102	100	100	+0	open	—	03-18 11:35
atp mejia orlov 2026 04 07	3	$96	117	0	+117	open	—	04-07 13:12
ethereum above 2300 on march 17	4	$88	69	68	+1	open	—	03-16 14:42
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 16	4	$85	80	80	+0	open	—	03-16 13:40
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	2	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	05-28 12:50
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on february 13	2	$72	100	100	+0	open	—	02-13 14:46
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	1	$70	72	0	+72	open	—	02-09 21:26
atp medvede berrett 2026 04 08 match total 21pt5	4	$70	75	74	+1	open	—	04-08 08:01
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 1	2	$68	100	100	+0	open	—	01-31 16:37
ethereum above 3000 on january 30	18	$58	162	0	+162	open	—	01-25 15:54
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 19	7	$52	100	100	+0	open	—	03-19 12:31
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$43	100	100	+0	open	—	02-11 19:03
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?	6	$41	50	50	+0	open	—	04-27 12:09
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	5	$37	50	50	+0	open	—	04-27 12:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?	8	$36	50	50	+0	open	—	04-25 08:09
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lisa Pigato vs Tyra Caterina Grant	6	$35	43	43	+0	Tyra Caterina Grant	+$2	05-06 12:59
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?	11	$34	50	47	+3	open	—	04-26 15:07
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on february 19	8	$33	100	100	+0	open	—	02-19 16:51
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on february 24	3	$32	150	100	+50	open	—	02-24 15:10
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on february 9	3	$28	29	29	+0	open	—	02-09 16:47
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 26?	8	$24	50	50	+0	open	—	04-25 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 27?	1	$24	50	0	+50	open	—	04-26 14:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?	6	$23	50	50	+0	open	—	04-25 07:12
sea int rom 2026 04 05 total 1pt5	4	$23	139	135	+4	open	—	04-05 19:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 12:50:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Down	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0x745129…
05-28 11:41:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x1779a5…
05-27 13:38:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x66629d…
05-27 08:47:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x741bc3…
05-27 08:47:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x0303f2…
05-25 20:29:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	74	6¢	$5	0x2203b3…
05-25 20:29:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	56	6¢	$4	0x6b9e61…
05-25 20:28:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0x5ee84e…
05-25 13:11:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x57a0b8…
05-23 11:17:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x6f450e…
05-23 11:16:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa175c8…
05-23 11:10:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	65	68¢	$44	0xaf15c5…
05-23 11:10:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	35	68¢	$24	0x926d96…
05-23 11:09:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd35136…
05-23 11:08:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	120	40¢	$49	0x127cae…
05-23 10:36:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0x3380d0…
05-23 10:36:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	89	58¢	$52	0x85951f…
05-23 10:32:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	110	51¢	$56	0x2bb29b…
05-20 19:16:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x76faf9…
05-20 19:16:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	110	25¢	$28	0x3d5826…
05-07 18:08:51	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsend	Marie Bouzkova	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0x764e2a…
05-07 18:08:49	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsend	Marie Bouzkova	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x71a287…
05-07 17:31:57	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsend	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0xd554f7…
05-07 16:55:05	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsend	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x1e3ca1…
05-06 15:16:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aleksandar Vukic vs Patrick Kypson	Aleksandar Vukic	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xff27e4…
05-06 15:16:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aleksandar Vukic vs Patrick Kypson	Aleksandar Vukic	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x8f52cf…
05-06 15:08:51	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aleksandar Vukic vs Patrick Kypson	Aleksandar Vukic	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xb6fbb4…
05-06 13:03:44	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yannick Hanfmann	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x47c336…
05-06 13:03:00	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yannick Hanfmann	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x73e687…
05-06 12:59:36	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lisa Pigato vs Tyra Caterina Grant	Tyra Caterina Grant	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xe40110…
05-06 12:55:54	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lisa Pigato vs Tyra Caterina Grant	Tyra Caterina Grant	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xe7a56b…
05-06 12:53:14	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lisa Pigato vs Tyra Caterina Grant	Lisa Pigato	SELL	28	43¢	$12	0x69c0c0…
05-06 12:53:00	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lisa Pigato vs Tyra Caterina Grant	Lisa Pigato	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x215c9c…
05-06 12:51:22	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lisa Pigato vs Tyra Caterina Grant	Lisa Pigato	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xac2eb4…
05-06 12:47:32	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lisa Pigato vs Tyra Caterina Grant	Lisa Pigato	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x93dc84…
05-01 20:17:48	Abidjan 2: Calvin Hemery vs Michael Mmoh	Calvin Hemery	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xa9f95c…
05-01 20:13:34	Abidjan 2: Calvin Hemery vs Michael Mmoh	Calvin Hemery	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc312ea…
04-29 17:07:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 30?	No	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0xcc1c8a…
04-29 15:19:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 30?	No	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xb9b96d…
04-29 09:49:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 30?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x1b832c…
04-28 07:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	51	37¢	$19	0x22dabb…
04-28 05:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x09833a…
04-27 21:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xb5e745…
04-27 15:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xbbef30…
04-27 15:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$1	0xa3abcf…
04-27 15:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x9a31da…
04-27 15:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x8a1c8d…
04-27 15:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x6da16b…
04-27 15:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$1	0x590195…
04-27 15:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$1	0x13871b…
04-27 14:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xf78d8c…
04-27 14:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x65039b…
04-27 14:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc6d908…
04-27 13:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc3468d…
04-27 13:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xa29970…
04-27 13:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe2a3b2…
04-27 13:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd9d539…
04-27 13:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xfc97a1…
04-27 13:44:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x00b719…
04-27 13:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x9544ce…
04-27 12:12:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	31	43¢	$13	0x63cd35…
04-27 12:10:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xdef88d…
04-27 12:09:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	50	51¢	$25	0x5bcc02…
04-27 12:08:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	15	43¢	$7	0x02b970…
04-26 15:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0xef0c9c…
04-26 15:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	18	36¢	$6	0x9f9ebf…
04-26 14:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0x46e2ad…
04-26 14:30:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x443b3f…
04-26 14:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0x7d6d85…
04-26 14:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x155037…
04-26 13:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x381a64…
04-26 13:39:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x045d11…
04-26 13:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0x73af5a…
04-26 13:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0xbc33a6…
04-25 12:14:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x47e988…
04-25 11:17:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x13721b…
04-25 10:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x6bf4ca…
04-25 10:31:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0xf09b4f…
04-25 09:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x2b7b45…
04-25 09:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	51	15¢	$8	0x813950…
04-25 09:48:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x8b108a…
04-25 09:36:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xff7dfa…
04-25 09:18:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	41	10¢	$4	0x9568d4…
04-25 09:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xb0dc6e…
04-25 09:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x31cc4f…
04-25 09:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0x03e4f0…
04-25 08:53:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xb3fd82…
04-25 08:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xfa5348…
04-25 08:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xa0f54c…
04-25 08:09:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	43	40¢	$17	0x81e70a…
04-25 08:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0x1fe6b4…
04-25 08:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x74d547…
04-25 07:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0x2599a6…
04-25 07:53:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	36	31¢	$11	0xe8ad2d…
04-25 07:51:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xca2595…
04-25 07:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x08ddbd…
04-25 07:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x87e601…
04-25 07:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x398274…
04-25 07:44:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x7a7226…
04-25 07:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x0e37ee…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	27	$135.2K	2,221	05-27 15:33
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	27	$22.8K	2,483	05-28 02:46
Crooked-Noir 0x4ee2…46e1	26	$118.1K	5,393	04-30 02:17
(anonymous) 0xae9e…cfe1	25	$26.8K	1,149	03-19 15:56
Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a	23	$135.7K	5,792	03-19 15:54
Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5	23	$93.6K	810	05-27 15:28
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	23	$15.6K	711	05-26 23:52
White-Donkey 0x993f…35cb	23	$3.68K	444	04-27 13:47