Modern-Initialize — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$40.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$682

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 05-09 23:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$45

Tech

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$18.0K	9,030	9,030	+0	open	—	05-07 11:55
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	2	$18.0K	9,010	9,010	+0	open	—	05-09 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	16	$2.8K	2,806	0	+2,806	Down	+$7	05-09 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	21	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	Down	+$34	05-09 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10PM ET	4	$169	170	0	+170	Up	+$1	05-09 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9AM ET	2	$97	100	0	+100	Down	+$3	05-09 13:54
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-09 00:32
will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	01-14 06:17
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	04-20 02:34
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	03-10 02:13
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-14 06:17
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-10 02:13
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	02-09 00:32
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-20 02:34
will google have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-14 06:18
will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-10 02:13
will dtmf bad bunny be the 1 song on us spotify this week	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-09 00:32
highest temperature in seattle on april 20 2026 58 59f	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-20 02:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 23:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	191	99¢	$189	0x7a79f9…
05-09 23:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$8	0xc64e26…
05-09 23:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x3783f8…
05-09 23:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe5bebf…
05-09 23:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x9ec333…
05-09 23:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x2e4242…
05-09 23:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x5c04be…
05-09 23:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x4f8c3d…
05-09 23:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x82e738…
05-09 23:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xea2c11…
05-09 23:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x18a337…
05-09 23:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xacac0f…
05-09 23:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x719394…
05-09 23:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x2f429b…
05-09 23:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x26b599…
05-09 23:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xfeeab8…
05-09 23:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0xab0eb0…
05-09 23:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0xbd68ef…
05-09 23:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0x95a95f…
05-09 23:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x79f3ca…
05-09 23:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x2c9e56…
05-09 13:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0x5ff6ab…
05-09 13:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xb1cd00…
05-09 06:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x4b45b5…
05-09 06:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x521eff…
05-09 06:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xd2a03f…
05-09 06:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x698829…
05-09 06:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x9b7346…
05-09 06:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	206	100¢	$205	0xfc1cd2…
05-09 06:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x028418…
05-09 06:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xd36319…
05-09 06:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x70375f…
05-09 06:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc2b034…
05-09 06:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8f08b5…
05-09 06:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x89df08…
05-09 06:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6ce9c1…
05-09 06:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0x4c311e…
05-09 06:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3c84ec…
05-09 06:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	127	99¢	$126	0xc912d3…
05-09 03:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9ba14a…
05-09 02:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x85321a…
05-09 02:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7f4054…
05-09 02:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x623392…
05-09 02:01:02	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	9,010	100¢	$8,992	0xd11fe2…
05-07 12:08:21	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	9,010	100¢	$9,001	0x226df3…
05-07 11:55:40	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	9,030	100¢	$8,994	0x3412d8…
05-07 01:52:54	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	9,030	100¢	$9,003	0x63689b…
04-20 02:36:06	highest temperature in seattle on april 20 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x74d420…
04-20 02:34:56	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3d7d4f…
04-20 02:34:34	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0xa45c0c…
03-10 02:13:55	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x44f56d…
03-10 02:13:37	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xbcef11…
03-10 02:13:09	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf2c938…
02-09 00:32:57	will dtmf bad bunny be the 1 song on us spotify this week	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2e3707…
02-09 00:32:43	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x721840…
02-09 00:32:35	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0350a2…
01-14 06:18:00	will google have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xcbe772…
01-14 06:17:52	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x120ef3…
01-14 06:17:42	will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x902aee…