Tempting-Sediment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

92.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

$36

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-12 05:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 100% +$0

Tech

35% — —

Other

10% — —

Politics

7% — —

Sports

5% 0% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+37	$36	98¢	$36	$-0	06-12 05:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	5	$360	224	151	+73	open	—	02-23 02:57
will bitcoin dip to 70k on april 11	2	$155	78	78	+0	open	—	04-12 03:25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$155	78	78	+0	open	—	04-24 02:56
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$146	74	74	+0	open	—	03-21 08:58
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$146	73	73	+0	open	—	03-13 23:31
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	2	$140	71	71	+0	open	—	01-23 08:31
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$140	71	71	+0	open	—	01-25 04:38
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$126	63	63	+0	open	—	03-31 03:05
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	2	$110	55	55	+0	open	—	06-12 05:47
bitcoin above 56k on april 7	1	$78	78	0	+78	open	—	04-06 02:51
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$78	78	0	+78	open	—	03-31 03:05
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 1?	1	$77	77	0	+77	open	—	05-02 01:48
Bitcoin above 77,800 on May 2, 10PM ET?	1	$77	77	0	+77	open	—	05-03 01:45
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	1	$77	77	0	+77	open	—	04-12 03:26
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	1	$76	76	0	+76	open	—	04-24 02:57
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	1	$75	76	0	+76	open	—	04-29 02:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	1	$71	71	0	+71	Yes	+$0	05-07 02:46
Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$69	70	0	+70	open	—	01-29 08:06
bitcoin above 78k on january 5	1	$60	60	0	+60	open	—	01-03 08:33
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$36	37	0	+37	open	—	06-12 05:50
nba atl bos 2026 03 27	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	03-27 02:44
ethereum above 3000 on january 5	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	01-05 04:10
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$6	121	0	+121	Spurs	$-6	05-07 02:51
nba mem lal 2026 01 04	2	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	01-05 04:09
nba phi nyk 2026 01 03	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	01-03 08:32
nba den min 2026 04 23	1	$2	22	0	+22	open	—	04-24 02:57
nba min mia 2026 01 03	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	01-03 08:32
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 04:05
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-21 01:47
nba nyk gsw 2026 01 15	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	01-16 04:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 05:50:13	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0xf5d56a…
06-12 05:47:49	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0xb68995…
06-07 04:12:10	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x859341…
05-27 01:22:40	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x241782…
05-21 01:47:58	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x4336e5…
05-15 04:05:55	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe5776f…
05-15 04:05:48	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4ce148…
05-07 02:51:53	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6b8872…
05-07 02:46:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x7fb20b…
05-07 02:46:15	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x756ace…
05-03 01:45:48	Bitcoin above 77,800 on May 2, 10PM ET?	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xe4d720…
05-02 01:48:48	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xb27cb4…
04-29 02:48:56	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	76	98¢	$75	0x2b04d6…
04-24 02:57:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x52925b…
04-24 02:57:04	nba den min 2026 04 23	Nuggets	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xecfc71…
04-24 02:56:30	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	78	99¢	$78	0xc15a29…
04-17 04:46:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x698b7c…
04-12 03:26:05	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	77	99¢	$77	0x87624b…
04-12 03:25:43	will bitcoin dip to 70k on april 11	No	SELL	78	98¢	$77	0x5633fa…
04-12 03:07:31	will bitcoin dip to 70k on april 11	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x4f3f95…
04-06 02:51:47	bitcoin above 56k on april 7	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x150117…
03-31 03:05:21	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x3083ca…
03-31 03:05:05	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x6ea0b5…
03-27 02:45:19	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x42e2b6…
03-27 02:44:35	nba atl bos 2026 03 27	Celtics	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x309265…
03-21 08:58:29	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0x8485c0…
03-13 23:31:47	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	74	98¢	$73	0xcc6f3a…
03-13 23:31:19	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0xa03995…
03-05 15:01:19	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x02a03c…
02-23 02:57:28	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	73	99¢	$73	0xb8a4f5…
02-23 02:57:06	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	SELL	73	99¢	$73	0xda7504…
02-22 03:06:54	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xc66832…
02-10 12:13:09	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	SELL	78	93¢	$72	0x39edb3…
02-02 06:24:12	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	78	90¢	$70	0x75d7f0…
01-29 08:06:06	Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$69	0x9a4b24…
01-25 04:38:32	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x19d1e3…
01-23 08:32:34	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x571a0f…
01-23 08:31:12	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	SELL	71	100¢	$70	0x6a2092…
01-16 04:04:36	nba nyk gsw 2026 01 15	Knicks	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x32ba58…
01-16 04:03:56	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xaac91c…
01-05 04:10:43	ethereum above 3000 on january 5	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x9cbd6c…
01-05 04:09:27	nba mem lal 2026 01 04	Grizzlies	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf935c7…
01-05 04:09:11	nba mem lal 2026 01 04	Lakers	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd180ec…
01-03 08:33:33	bitcoin above 78k on january 5	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xf2a375…
01-03 08:32:53	nba phi nyk 2026 01 03	76ers	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0b510e…
01-03 08:32:47	nba min mia 2026 01 03	Heat	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x5adfa6…