Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.2%

Resolved

Trades

224

lifetime

Volume

$2.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 04-05 10:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

58% 0% $-0

Other

33% 50% +$6

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	19	$263	400	450	-50	open	—	04-02 13:09
houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	10	$234	202	202	+0	open	—	04-02 14:26
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	8	$229	300	400	-100	open	—	03-31 05:37
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 2, 2026?	4	$182	100	100	+0	open	—	03-31 10:39
Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	19	$174	240	240	+0	open	—	04-03 07:37
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	6	$166	116	116	+0	open	—	03-31 10:39
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	8	$157	300	300	+0	No	$-1	03-31 18:09
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$155	200	200	+0	open	—	03-31 01:22
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	3	$154	200	400	-200	open	—	03-31 00:57
Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?	12	$119	140	136	+4	open	—	04-02 14:03
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	2	$110	200	200	+0	open	—	03-31 00:46
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 2, 2026?	8	$105	150	150	+0	open	—	03-31 11:21
any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	9	$101	120	80	+40	open	—	04-02 22:46
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 1, 2026?	8	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	03-31 19:06
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	8	$94	80	98	-18	open	—	04-04 07:02
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	15	$77	120	120	+0	open	—	04-02 22:33
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$61	100	100	+0	open	—	03-30 10:37
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	7	$60	40	40	+0	open	—	04-01 14:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	4	$45	60	20	+40	Yes	$-0	04-02 14:03
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	2	$38	200	200	+0	open	—	03-31 00:46
chatgpt outage by april 17 838	7	$37	58	20	+38	open	—	04-05 10:50
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?	3	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	04-01 19:33
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in April?	8	$29	100	57	+43	open	—	04-02 14:03
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 1, 2026?	2	$24	30	30	+0	open	—	03-31 10:27
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 2, 2026?	5	$22	100	100	+0	open	—	03-31 10:39
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	04-02 02:05
russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 10	3	$21	19	18	+0	open	—	04-03 03:48
Will Trump say "TrumpRX" or "TrumpRX Dot Gov" in April?	2	$16	30	30	+0	open	—	04-03 06:53
chatgpt outage by april 24	2	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	04-05 01:07
will ng reach 3 10 by march 30 2026	2	$13	20	20	+0	open	—	04-02 07:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-05 10:50:13	chatgpt outage by april 17 838	No	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xd1bee4…
04-05 09:02:13	chatgpt outage by april 17 838	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x39e4f3…
04-05 08:58:57	chatgpt outage by april 17 838	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xb0b920…
04-05 08:58:41	chatgpt outage by april 17 838	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xebf70e…
04-05 08:56:15	chatgpt outage by april 17 838	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x699c24…
04-05 01:38:09	chatgpt outage by april 17 838	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x42cc72…
04-05 01:30:41	chatgpt outage by april 17 838	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x8fbdcd…
04-05 01:07:53	chatgpt outage by april 24	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x4f45cd…
04-05 01:04:39	chatgpt outage by april 24	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x3b1cc2…
04-04 21:22:51	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x156f57…
04-04 07:02:35	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	No	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0x6a779b…
04-04 05:05:49	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x24853e…
04-03 07:37:49	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xb38f8f…
04-03 07:36:41	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x50a03a…
04-03 06:53:43	Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0xcc4f5d…
04-03 06:53:37	Will Trump say "TrumpRX" or "TrumpRX Dot Gov" in April?	No	SELL	30	23¢	$7	0xe93583…
04-03 06:53:37	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x03489a…
04-03 05:50:49	Will Trump say "Trump Vodka" or "Trump Steak" in April?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0x1c2cb1…
04-03 03:48:51	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 10	Yes	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x647d60…
04-03 03:23:21	Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?	No	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xe661c5…
04-03 03:14:59	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 10	Yes	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0xe5af9b…
04-03 01:40:07	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	52	8¢	$4	0x5afb0a…
04-03 00:09:33	Will Trump say "Trump Vodka" or "Trump Steak" in April?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xf689ec…
04-03 00:02:49	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 10	Yes	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x805c3e…
04-02 23:15:53	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 4, 2026?	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x3caf2e…
04-02 22:46:41	any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x2ff96f…
04-02 22:33:09	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0x35f148…
04-02 21:37:17	any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	No	SELL	40	89¢	$36	0x8391af…
04-02 21:35:29	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 4, 2026?	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x85539d…
04-02 21:09:55	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0x78a6d6…
04-02 20:44:07	Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xeac558…
04-02 20:25:09	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x5f5266…
04-02 20:15:45	Will Trump say "TrumpRX" or "TrumpRX Dot Gov" in April?	No	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0xab90a6…
04-02 19:33:55	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0xf95123…
04-02 19:25:47	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x139cb6…
04-02 19:21:43	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	68	11¢	$8	0x104284…
04-02 19:01:11	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x924552…
04-02 18:55:01	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	89¢	$13	0xa3cf07…
04-02 18:50:03	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x9fe088…
04-02 18:48:37	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	89¢	$54	0xfb2b40…
04-02 18:32:47	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x381389…
04-02 18:30:27	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	53	15¢	$8	0x3a1e74…
04-02 18:29:21	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xbf6de1…
04-02 18:16:51	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x6e7c59…
04-02 17:53:13	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x74cd64…
04-02 17:51:57	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xe3888c…
04-02 17:28:21	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x6ffb40…
04-02 17:26:43	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x9b7b24…
04-02 17:23:03	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x63c667…
04-02 17:21:13	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x3b95f7…
04-02 17:19:33	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xbf3040…
04-02 14:29:03	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xd173cc…
04-02 14:29:01	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x7ce4a4…
04-02 14:28:17	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xe86660…
04-02 14:28:11	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x8ff07a…
04-02 14:27:27	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x622f07…
04-02 14:27:23	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x0d3465…
04-02 14:27:19	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x89677d…
04-02 14:26:45	houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	No	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x479f8c…
04-02 14:26:09	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x1b07eb…
04-02 14:26:07	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x5d1744…
04-02 14:25:27	any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x4f2eb4…
04-02 14:21:53	any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x9ee259…
04-02 14:21:51	houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x8008db…
04-02 14:21:49	any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x875bcf…
04-02 14:03:51	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in April?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0xf44ffa…
04-02 14:03:49	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in April?	Yes	SELL	17	9¢	$1	0x4a41ea…
04-02 14:03:45	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	No	SELL	19	48¢	$9	0xaae337…
04-02 14:03:43	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	Yes	SELL	19	51¢	$10	0xc497f1…
04-02 14:03:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x442561…
04-02 14:03:35	any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x476709…
04-02 14:03:31	Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?	No	SELL	39	81¢	$32	0x7829c6…
04-02 14:03:27	Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?	Yes	SELL	58	18¢	$10	0x8d5187…
04-02 13:34:43	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in April?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xaeb1d6…
04-02 13:33:11	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x458fd1…
04-02 13:32:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x3b0838…
04-02 13:32:43	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x990658…
04-02 13:28:29	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 in April?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0xb81667…
04-02 13:09:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	49	13¢	$6	0xe6d98f…
04-02 13:08:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x6b6fe9…
04-02 13:07:09	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in April?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x991d27…
04-02 13:07:03	Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x4265f0…
04-02 13:07:01	Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xeadbe8…
04-02 13:06:39	any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xa5de93…
04-02 13:05:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xb593f4…
04-02 13:05:11	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x063c74…
04-02 13:05:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xfa910a…
04-02 13:05:07	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x20a2b9…
04-02 13:05:05	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x1803c4…
04-02 13:05:01	Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xde5538…
04-02 13:05:01	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xb3f8f0…
04-02 13:04:59	any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x010406…
04-02 13:04:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xce0306…
04-02 13:04:57	Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x2b0d67…
04-02 13:04:55	any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x51072e…
04-02 07:11:35	will ng reach 3 10 by march 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x9c23b0…
04-02 06:14:07	Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x36210d…
04-02 05:23:13	Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?	Yes	SELL	18	19¢	$3	0x1441a5…
04-02 04:58:25	Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xdaf1cf…
04-02 04:54:35	Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x6d068b…