Strange-Windage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

7.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$446

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$26

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-20 04:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

65% 0% $-0

Crypto

30% — —

Sports

5% 100% +$6

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	No		+26	$26	100¢	$26	$-0	06-20 04:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$135	68	68	+0	open	—	04-23 06:40
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$128	64	64	+0	No	$-0	04-17 03:59
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	02-28 06:20
will solana reach 110 in june 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	06-13 01:58
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	06-20 04:52
will solana reach 210 in january 2026	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	01-07 16:59
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-08 09:07
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$10	16	0	+16	Cavaliers	+$6	05-11 07:41
mlb min det 2026 06 09	1	$8	17	0	+17	open	—	06-09 03:46
ethereum above 2300 on march 26	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	03-26 09:00
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-14 09:22
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-27 16:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 04:52:46	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x350352…
06-13 01:58:34	will solana reach 110 in june 2026	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xf9e9d2…
06-09 03:46:51	mlb min det 2026 06 09	Minnesota Twins	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xab1010…
05-14 09:22:07	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x1493d6…
05-11 07:41:02	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0xdf5c7d…
04-23 06:40:24	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	68	99¢	$68	0x5ce327…
04-23 05:31:20	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x5b4b7c…
04-17 03:59:14	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0xc601d1…
04-17 02:57:24	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xdc5163…
03-26 09:00:55	ethereum above 2300 on march 26	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xeb9aa8…
03-08 09:07:55	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x611958…
03-07 09:54:31	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xd54198…
02-28 06:20:27	Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xa977e0…
02-27 16:09:45	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x148bda…
02-14 12:25:43	Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x00c4e6…
01-07 16:59:57	will solana reach 210 in january 2026	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x0b6bd3…