Personal-Disclosure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$784

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 05-24 16:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 100% +$18

Politics

19% — —

Other

13% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$11

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$92	56	56	+0	open	—	04-07 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$62	72	48	+24	open	—	05-02 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	6	$37	135	135	+0	open	—	05-02 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$36	55	29	+25	open	—	05-02 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	6	$34	43	43	+0	open	—	05-01 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$31	21	21	+0	open	—	05-01 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$30	50	50	+0	open	—	05-01 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$27	32	26	+6	open	—	05-01 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$26	70	70	+0	open	—	05-01 15:03
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$25	25	25	+0	open	—	04-07 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$25	51	0	+51	open	—	05-02 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$24	42	42	+0	open	—	05-01 14:59
will the us invade iran by march 31	1	$17	106	0	+106	open	—	03-26 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$16	64	64	+0	open	—	05-02 19:54
btc updown 5m 1775712600	3	$15	31	0	+31	open	—	04-09 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$15	97	0	+97	open	—	05-01 15:13
highest temperature in denver on march 27 2026 68forhigher	1	$14	1,054	0	+1,054	open	—	03-26 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$11	15	15	+0	open	—	05-02 18:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	04-15 17:04
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	1	$10	526	0	+526	open	—	03-26 20:09
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	1	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	04-10 20:57
highest temperature in denver on march 28 2026 80forhigher	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	03-26 20:19
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	1	$10	33	0	+33	open	—	04-23 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	05-01 15:20
btc updown 5m 1775489100	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	04-06 15:25
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	1	$10	70	0	+70	open	—	03-26 20:12
btc updown 5m 1775853600	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	04-10 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$10	28	0	+28	Up	+$18	05-06 02:06
btc updown 5m 1776956100	2	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	04-23 14:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	04-23 14:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 16:06:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x3a2b70…
05-06 02:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xfd84d4…
05-06 02:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x7a66e4…
05-02 20:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xedeb99…
05-02 20:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x5b049e…
05-02 20:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	29	21¢	$6	0xda998f…
05-02 20:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x52ece6…
05-02 20:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xa0f5e4…
05-02 20:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x4ec902…
05-02 20:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	135	8¢	$11	0xf722ad…
05-02 20:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0xb130c1…
05-02 20:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xba2bf5…
05-02 20:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x0c5bac…
05-02 20:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xe7a414…
05-02 20:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x7720c8…
05-02 20:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x722a02…
05-02 20:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc88629…
05-02 19:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xe5d701…
05-02 19:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	48	67¢	$32	0xe438b0…
05-02 19:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x69ada2…
05-02 19:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	64	1¢	$1	0x8ccc45…
05-02 19:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x8535d7…
05-02 19:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x1faba3…
05-02 18:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x4fb563…
05-02 18:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x66fb8d…
05-01 17:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x1b7f57…
05-01 17:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x5de1d6…
05-01 17:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x31abae…
05-01 17:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	26	65¢	$17	0x4cc832…
05-01 17:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x1d38f8…
05-01 15:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x209098…
05-01 15:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xeeeb46…
05-01 15:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x82c0d3…
05-01 15:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x02718d…
05-01 15:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x64e1fd…
05-01 15:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	36	46¢	$16	0x018aa2…
05-01 15:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x6418b4…
05-01 15:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2b8e6a…
05-01 15:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xc5a4ca…
05-01 15:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x3d0986…
05-01 15:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xc482a2…
05-01 15:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x243f90…
05-01 15:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x525bd8…
05-01 15:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc54f98…
05-01 15:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x645fe3…
05-01 15:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	31	10¢	$3	0xe7d91b…
05-01 15:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x2fde61…
05-01 15:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	38	20¢	$8	0x3a1c4f…
05-01 15:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xc0daba…
05-01 14:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0x23ff8d…
05-01 14:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xb752fd…
05-01 14:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	26	33¢	$9	0x5b23cf…
05-01 14:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xd80697…
05-01 14:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x864d8a…
05-01 14:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x913618…
05-01 14:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x50cef1…
05-01 14:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x99d3f4…
05-01 14:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb5cd71…
05-01 14:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x829bfd…
05-01 14:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb72f35…
05-01 14:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x8f1c12…
05-01 14:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3d865d…
05-01 14:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xaaaa72…
05-01 14:33:16	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xae9310…
05-01 14:32:16	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbe64fe…
05-01 14:30:24	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Invictus Gaming	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xc67e4a…
05-01 14:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9bf526…
05-01 14:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x586394…
05-01 14:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf3c200…
05-01 14:16:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x6026c1…
04-27 19:15:52	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfc14ad…
04-27 19:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc67509…
04-27 19:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x709f3c…
04-23 15:01:30	will trump say blockade during healthcare event	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x058f35…
04-23 14:58:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x684821…
04-23 14:57:08	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x30f399…
04-23 14:55:46	btc updown 5m 1776956100	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x247516…
04-23 14:54:22	btc updown 5m 1776956100	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8debb5…
04-15 17:04:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x212b7c…
04-15 17:02:48	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa03761…
04-10 21:01:27	btc updown 5m 1775854800	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa326ee…
04-10 20:59:55	lal rea gir 2026 04 10 gir	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x630ed9…
04-10 20:57:35	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xb2cb33…
04-10 20:51:33	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x352906…
04-10 20:51:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xf48817…
04-10 20:48:03	btc updown 5m 1775853900	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xecc297…
04-10 20:40:39	btc updown 5m 1775853600	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x8d1b03…
04-10 20:38:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xef38e8…
04-10 20:32:41	btc updown 5m 1775853000	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe6c5c1…
04-09 15:24:45	btc updown 5m 1775748000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x83dcee…
04-09 05:29:41	btc updown 5m 1775712600	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x00f209…
04-09 05:28:59	btc updown 5m 1775712600	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x08eb8a…
04-09 05:28:23	btc updown 5m 1775712600	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf07457…
04-09 05:26:01	btc updown 5m 1775712300	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x26cdf5…
04-08 00:10:51	btc updown 5m 1775607000	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x78d33e…
04-08 00:09:29	btc updown 5m 1775606700	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x386dd7…
04-08 00:07:39	btc updown 5m 1775606700	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x3afb76…
04-08 00:07:27	btc updown 5m 1775606700	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x233625…
04-07 23:34:03	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0x0e0ebe…
04-07 23:33:11	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x12821e…