Awful-Complexity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$223

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-07 21:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% +$223

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$275	429	429	+0	open	—	04-28 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$182	231	231	+0	open	—	04-28 17:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$132	96	96	+0	open	—	04-28 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$110	108	108	+0	open	—	04-28 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$50	178	0	+178	Down	$-50	05-06 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$50	5,000	0	+5,000	Down	$-50	05-07 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$50	457	0	+457	Down	$-50	05-06 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$50	147	0	+147	Down	+$97	05-06 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$50	102	0	+102	Down	+$52	05-06 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$50	147	0	+147	open	—	04-28 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$50	104	0	+104	Down	+$54	05-06 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$50	556	0	+556	open	—	04-28 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$50	107	0	+107	Up	$-50	05-06 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$50	132	0	+132	Down	+$82	05-06 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$50	103	0	+103	Down	$-50	05-06 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$50	141	0	+141	Up	+$91	05-06 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$50	74	0	+74	Up	+$24	05-06 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$50	132	0	+132	Up	+$82	05-06 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$25	192	0	+192	Up	$-25	05-06 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$25	45	0	+45	Up	+$20	05-06 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$25	109	0	+109	Up	+$84	05-07 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$25	52	0	+52	Down	$-25	05-06 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$25	69	0	+69	Down	$-25	05-07 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$25	76	0	+76	Up	+$51	05-06 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$25	54	0	+54	Up	$-25	05-06 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$25	89	0	+89	Down	+$64	05-06 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$25	54	0	+54	Down	+$29	05-06 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$25	83	0	+83	Down	$-25	05-06 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$25	417	0	+417	Down	$-25	05-06 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$25	38	0	+38	Down	$-25	05-06 20:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 21:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa7ac7d…
05-07 21:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x036386…
05-07 21:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xba23e4…
05-07 21:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xaf9f3f…
05-07 21:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x0bf072…
05-07 21:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x3559ec…
05-06 23:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x6f306c…
05-06 23:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x257073…
05-06 20:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0xb90380…
05-06 20:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x7b7e40…
05-06 20:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x872700…
05-06 20:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xa13931…
05-06 20:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	107	47¢	$50	0x95d610…
05-06 20:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xa60685…
05-06 19:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x7a3e9e…
05-06 17:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0x668951…
05-06 16:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x0066bb…
05-06 16:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xceeef3…
05-06 16:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x13c07c…
05-06 16:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	141	35¢	$50	0x53e04b…
05-06 16:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xebda40…
05-06 16:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xacc22e…
05-06 16:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x9015bd…
05-06 16:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xa128cb…
05-06 14:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xbc9a2c…
05-06 14:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xc226cc…
05-06 14:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x419022…
05-06 14:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x632b04…
05-06 14:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	43	24¢	$10	0x0149d7…
05-06 14:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	178	28¢	$50	0x647fc6…
05-06 13:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	103	48¢	$50	0x1eb6d8…
05-06 13:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x3f320a…
05-06 13:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	457	11¢	$50	0xf0fd97…
04-28 17:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	108	40¢	$43	0xdc77ee…
04-28 17:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	108	62¢	$67	0x6cc1c3…
04-28 17:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	429	43¢	$185	0x28a9cd…
04-28 17:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	429	21¢	$90	0x335e2a…
04-28 17:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	96	85¢	$82	0xa8465a…
04-28 17:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xba5ca3…
04-28 17:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0x9d85ef…
04-28 17:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x2e5d51…
04-28 17:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	231	57¢	$132	0x8abc50…
04-28 17:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	231	22¢	$50	0xa9cd38…