Noisy-Tambourine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$919

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-19 01:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

61% 100% +$15

Crypto

24% 100% +$14

Politics

8% — —

Tech

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	5	$154	93	93	+0	Yes	+$14	05-03 15:07
Will Hyperliquid reach $42 by December 31, 2026?	3	$136	144	103	+41	open	—	02-12 17:24
epl mac wol 2026 01 24 mac	2	$99	61	61	+0	open	—	01-20 17:24
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	01-18 16:48
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$51	62	62	+0	open	—	04-02 04:32
Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?	3	$46	33	33	+0	open	—	04-15 13:38
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$40	23	23	+0	open	—	02-23 16:36
epl sun mac 2026 01 01 mac	1	$30	43	0	+43	open	—	01-01 11:45
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	2	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	03-31 12:05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$25	45	0	+45	open	—	06-01 16:34
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	3	$24	0	90	-90	open	—	07-19 01:03
epl ast not 2026 01 03 ast	1	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	01-01 11:45
ucl bog1 mnc1 2026 01 20 mnc1	1	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	01-20 17:33
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	03-16 08:41
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$15	20	0	+20	Yes	+$5	05-06 18:10
crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	2	$15	48	0	+48	open	—	03-08 05:36
epl mac not 2026 03 04 mac	1	$15	21	0	+21	open	—	03-03 12:50
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	02-12 17:23
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	05-15 07:01
epl liv lee 2026 01 01 liv	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	01-01 17:16
epl lee mac 2026 02 28 mac	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	02-28 14:01
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 5.5	1	$10	15	0	+15	Under	+$5	05-13 18:13
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	07-06 17:44
will ethereum reach 3000 in february 2026	1	$10	83	0	+83	open	—	02-02 02:49
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$9	15	0	+15	Yes	+$6	05-09 08:50
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$7	0	40	-40	open	—	07-05 17:02
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 240 259	1	$4	20	0	+20	open	—	03-07 04:47
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 260 279	1	$4	19	0	+19	open	—	03-07 04:47
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	2	$4	146	0	+146	open	—	04-06 04:07
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 300 319	1	$3	25	0	+25	open	—	02-15 07:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 01:03:03	Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	27¢	$8	0xbae8cf…
07-19 01:02:25	Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	27¢	$8	0xc3f3fe…
07-19 01:02:24	Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	27¢	$8	0xd54e04…
07-06 17:44:11	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xaa32c4…
07-05 17:02:11	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0xcc4965…
06-01 16:34:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x0cde95…
05-15 07:01:09	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x158dc5…
05-15 07:01:07	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xf75fe8…
05-13 18:13:47	Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xdb89c9…
05-09 08:50:32	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x88b364…
05-06 18:10:40	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x48a8eb…
05-03 15:07:34	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	93	90¢	$84	0x20dfa9…
04-29 12:39:26	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	48	82¢	$39	0x070ea7…
04-28 05:28:44	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x6b3b02…
04-23 12:06:10	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0xe38db3…
04-22 13:07:54	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0x2a6179…
04-15 13:38:26	Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x9cf14b…
04-15 11:23:26	Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0x2975e5…
04-06 04:07:07	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	No	BUY	117	2¢	$2	0xd778ae…
04-04 11:57:55	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	No	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x28fafd…
04-02 04:32:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	62	42¢	$26	0xd39af2…
04-01 11:05:17	ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	No	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x638b13…
04-01 11:02:33	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 31 2026 112	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x6cd0b6…
03-31 12:15:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xc8b224…
03-31 12:05:29	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0xfa0c51…
03-28 17:03:25	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xdca090…
03-27 16:32:29	Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x079324…
03-16 08:41:17	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0x1473f9…
03-14 15:57:33	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x1b8226…
03-08 05:36:39	crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	New Zealand	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xe3ff66…
03-07 11:47:31	crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	New Zealand	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xc34083…
03-07 04:47:37	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 260 279	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x1d6d2e…
03-07 04:47:07	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 240 259	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xe8cc87…
03-07 04:46:53	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 220 239	Yes	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0xeb0435…
03-03 12:50:39	epl mac not 2026 03 04 mac	Yes	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xff97d7…
03-02 16:26:23	epl lee sun 2026 03 03 sun	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xbf18bb…
03-02 16:25:57	epl wol liv 2026 03 03 wol	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xa9ca28…
02-28 14:01:35	epl lee mac 2026 02 28 mac	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x633477…
02-23 16:36:56	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0x00d68a…
02-19 03:51:36	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x318aea…
02-15 07:36:35	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 280 299	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x5196a5…
02-15 07:34:35	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 400 419	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x96cdd2…
02-15 07:34:09	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 380 399	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xf0a162…
02-15 07:33:41	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 360 379	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xdf4657…
02-15 07:31:35	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 300 319	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x4e95b5…
02-12 17:24:21	Will Hyperliquid reach $42 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xce8800…
02-12 17:23:27	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xdac072…
02-10 10:06:17	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xf47539…
02-02 02:49:16	will ethereum reach 3000 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xf233a9…
01-29 03:08:28	Will Hyperliquid reach $42 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	64¢	$66	0x82903d…
01-22 07:00:14	Will Hyperliquid reach $42 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0x76ffdc…
01-20 17:33:32	ucl bog1 mnc1 2026 01 20 mnc1	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x3673e5…
01-20 17:24:20	epl mac wol 2026 01 24 mac	Yes	SELL	61	81¢	$49	0xf82a92…
01-20 06:36:00	epl mac wol 2026 01 24 mac	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x7b09a9…
01-18 16:48:30	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x142da5…
01-18 10:50:12	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xbf622d…
01-01 17:16:21	epl liv lee 2026 01 01 liv	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x51007a…
01-01 11:45:45	epl ast not 2026 01 03 ast	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x9aca76…
01-01 11:45:09	epl sun mac 2026 01 01 mac	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x6159b4…