Superb-Implication — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 05-08 00:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 38% $-61

Politics

2% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	4	$120	106	106	+0	Up	+$20	05-08 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	3	$111	82	82	+0	Down	+$51	05-08 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$79	54	54	+0	Down	+$29	05-07 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$77	54	54	+0	Up	+$27	05-08 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$63	71	71	+0	Down	+$3	05-08 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$62	38	38	+0	Up	+$13	05-08 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$58	35	35	+0	Up	+$8	05-07 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	3	$56	214	114	+100	Down	$-4	05-08 00:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	10	$52	31	31	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$50	125	0	+125	Up	$-50	05-08 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$50	108	0	+108	Down	$-50	05-08 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	8	$44	41	41	+0	Up	+$4	05-07 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	8	$39	43	43	+0	Down	$-1	05-07 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	5	$39	51	51	+0	Down	$-3	05-07 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	6	$37	43	43	+0	Up	$-1	05-07 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$30	49	0	+49	Up	+$19	05-07 23:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$26	100	100	+0	open	—	01-30 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	Down	$-25	05-07 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	Up	+$24	05-07 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$25	58	0	+58	Up	$-25	05-08 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$25	64	0	+64	Down	$-25	05-08 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$25	79	0	+79	Up	$-25	05-07 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$25	57	0	+57	Down	+$32	05-07 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$25	61	0	+61	Up	$-25	05-07 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$24	43	0	+43	Up	$-24	05-08 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 00:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	$-5	05-07 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	Up	$-5	05-07 23:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Up	$-5	05-07 23:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 00:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	43	57¢	$24	0xbc840a…
05-08 00:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0x3f5232…
05-08 00:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x308b9e…
05-08 00:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xc62d2c…
05-08 00:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x1310d3…
05-08 00:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x5c823d…
05-08 00:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	71	46¢	$33	0x77f6a8…
05-08 00:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x3e2417…
05-08 00:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xa3d566…
05-08 00:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xbfb6e6…
05-08 00:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	114	23¢	$26	0xe770c2…
05-08 00:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x90f55a…
05-08 00:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0x978c9b…
05-08 00:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x2645cb…
05-08 00:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	58	40¢	$23	0xc4d6e8…
05-08 00:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x1e1a4d…
05-08 00:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x2e28f6…
05-08 00:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x1d42db…
05-08 00:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xcae83b…
05-08 00:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x3db03f…
05-08 00:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xbb2b03…
05-08 00:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0x7b8ca4…
05-08 00:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x1c52b9…
05-08 00:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0xcb5d9e…
05-07 23:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x01dce9…
05-07 23:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x6ae05d…
05-07 23:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x5d5a33…
05-07 23:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf5572c…
05-07 23:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x4e07bd…
05-07 23:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xe6cadc…
05-07 23:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x73dd5c…
05-07 23:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0x83edcc…
05-07 23:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x4fa634…
05-07 23:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	35	96¢	$33	0x82b8e5…
05-07 23:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xec5749…
05-07 23:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	79	32¢	$25	0x860f99…
05-07 23:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xafa1fc…
05-07 23:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xa1c84d…
05-07 23:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x0a02bc…
05-07 23:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xb95298…
05-07 23:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xf27b5e…
05-07 22:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x505db7…
05-07 22:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x88a461…
05-07 22:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x8232ed…
05-07 22:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa02f85…
05-07 22:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x24c9e5…
05-07 22:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x84d671…
05-07 22:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x4c1536…
05-07 22:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x8a4a26…
05-07 21:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x62e4fc…
05-07 21:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x42f6fc…
05-07 21:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1fba52…
05-07 21:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xdc4185…
05-07 21:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x284ce9…
05-07 21:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe558bd…
05-07 21:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8cebb5…
05-07 21:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0xeee82b…
05-07 21:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa08d5c…
05-07 21:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3ceb1a…
05-07 21:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5e8005…
05-07 21:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x818c27…
05-07 21:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x247164…
05-07 21:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xb02d0b…
05-07 21:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xc14ea1…
05-07 21:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xb0a060…
05-07 21:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x0fa621…
05-07 21:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	43	23¢	$10	0x7e4e20…
05-07 21:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0x7c6865…
05-07 21:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x249cc1…
05-07 21:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x40f490…
05-07 21:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x737740…
05-07 21:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	26	24¢	$6	0xa35a43…
05-07 21:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0x9cabc9…
05-07 21:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xea3d81…
05-07 21:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4a9506…
05-07 21:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	86¢	$9	0xe163a0…
05-07 21:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xefee54…
05-07 21:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0xca1e8d…
05-07 21:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcc922c…
05-07 21:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0xfb8c03…
05-07 21:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x2851ca…
05-07 21:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x20a9b5…
05-07 21:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9236fb…
05-07 21:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x68615a…
05-07 21:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaae062…
05-07 21:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb0e0a5…
05-07 21:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x95d8fe…
05-07 21:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xb69711…
05-07 21:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2fc313…
05-07 21:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0x8fa7fd…
05-07 21:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xae366e…
05-07 21:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x6ed826…
05-07 21:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xe690a5…
01-30 15:55:08	will google gemini 3 score at least 40 on the frontiermath benchmark	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0x418b0b…
01-30 15:49:28	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xc744e5…
01-10 23:18:48	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xe58ccd…