Fat-Lighting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$150

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.5%

Resolved

345

Trades

681

lifetime

Volume

$3.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-25 09:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 52% $-150

Other

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$193	195	128	+67	open	—	05-25 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$137	116	116	+0	open	—	05-19 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$64	119	0	+119	Up	$-64	05-09 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$64	112	0	+112	Up	$-64	05-06 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$59	44	44	+0	open	—	05-15 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$53	39	39	+0	open	—	05-22 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	1	$50	95	0	+95	open	—	05-23 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?	1	$50	94	0	+94	open	—	05-22 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	3	$48	63	32	+32	open	—	05-25 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$48	32	32	+0	open	—	05-20 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$46	62	31	+31	open	—	05-17 08:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$43	134	34	+100	open	—	05-14 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$32	100	0	+100	Up	$-32	05-06 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$32	64	0	+64	Up	$-32	05-09 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$32	76	0	+76	open	—	05-25 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$32	59	0	+59	open	—	05-21 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$24	16	16	+0	Down	+$8	05-11 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$24	17	17	+0	Down	+$8	05-08 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	05-25 08:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$20	53	0	+53	open	—	05-25 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$20	32	4	+29	open	—	05-23 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$18	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	05-03 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$16	32	0	+32	open	—	05-23 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$16	42	0	+42	open	—	05-16 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$16	32	0	+32	open	—	05-16 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$16	32	0	+32	open	—	05-21 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$16	36	0	+36	Up	$-16	05-09 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$16	29	0	+29	open	—	05-21 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$16	33	0	+33	Down	+$17	05-07 17:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 09:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xec480a…
05-25 09:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb261ca…
05-25 08:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x86b223…
05-25 08:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x4b4b8d…
05-25 08:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xc816b9…
05-25 08:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	128	62¢	$79	0x756df6…
05-25 08:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	128	50¢	$64	0x0f7c14…
05-25 08:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	76	42¢	$32	0xfeb6ec…
05-25 07:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	32	51¢	$16	0x982ad6…
05-25 07:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0xab9f55…
05-25 07:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x1871d0…
05-25 07:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xc7102c…
05-25 07:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf1527e…
05-25 07:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd7398f…
05-25 07:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xee63d7…
05-25 07:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x60c422…
05-25 07:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x53e2cf…
05-24 14:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x0c9ce1…
05-24 14:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfa9d4c…
05-24 14:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0xb3d49d…
05-24 14:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x647c67…
05-24 14:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x8f2ad0…
05-24 14:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xa7c3d2…
05-24 14:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x8e971b…
05-24 14:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x4c85c6…
05-24 14:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x2be46a…
05-24 14:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x04dc35…
05-24 06:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	44	36¢	$16	0x2583cd…
05-24 06:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xd8b3b9…
05-24 06:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xa03786…
05-24 06:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x52e1af…
05-24 05:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfe3f2d…
05-24 05:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xbeb96e…
05-24 05:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x37bed5…
05-24 05:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x0d822e…
05-24 05:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc371cc…
05-23 18:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	95	53¢	$50	0x059975…
05-23 12:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x7440b8…
05-23 12:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x5346af…
05-23 12:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x046897…
05-23 12:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xdba66b…
05-23 12:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x15f0cc…
05-23 12:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x21ce34…
05-23 12:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd4ed18…
05-23 12:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9d7214…
05-23 12:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x036081…
05-23 11:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x9ea0c0…
05-23 11:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xca54f0…
05-23 11:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xadc768…
05-23 11:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xb2a563…
05-23 11:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x606188…
05-23 08:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8d8fae…
05-23 08:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x6f2117…
05-23 08:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x14352d…
05-23 08:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0x18f250…
05-23 08:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xff99fc…
05-23 08:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xfb3113…
05-23 08:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xf19504…
05-23 07:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf39d17…
05-23 07:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xc398f0…
05-23 07:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x380892…
05-23 07:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x4728c8…
05-23 05:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5ed93f…
05-22 18:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xb9ff54…
05-22 15:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	39	94¢	$37	0xbdc746…
05-22 15:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	39	41¢	$16	0x8be3c1…
05-22 14:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x19f467…
05-22 14:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x405c27…
05-22 14:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa36d3f…
05-22 14:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x559edd…
05-22 13:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x9e22eb…
05-22 13:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x46fe2d…
05-22 13:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	16	46¢	$8	0x15a892…
05-22 13:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x6a619e…
05-22 13:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xaf1f9b…
05-22 13:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x9e15d7…
05-21 14:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	59	54¢	$32	0x91a8b9…
05-21 13:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x1e597e…
05-21 13:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0xd32127…
05-21 13:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x1b9356…
05-21 13:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf6cafe…
05-21 13:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xde88ab…
05-21 13:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xabbcc0…
05-21 13:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x83a7be…
05-21 13:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xaa6fbe…
05-21 13:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x596651…
05-21 13:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xf5edc7…
05-21 12:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x47af62…
05-21 12:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9553d8…
05-21 12:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1a2b6f…
05-21 12:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x50fdfa…
05-21 12:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0xa18b1e…
05-21 12:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x158f0a…
05-21 12:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x20639d…
05-21 11:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xb7c3df…
05-21 11:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x90621e…
05-21 11:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xeccde6…
05-21 11:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x869847…
05-21 11:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x5b9760…
05-21 11:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x53c84b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	600	$154.5K	26,214	05-25 09:39
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	598	$134.5K	22,476	05-25 09:39
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	597	$155.3K	44,868	05-25 09:39
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	597	$149.4K	43,111	05-25 09:39
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	593	$727.5K	30,771	05-25 15:17
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	587	$116.3K	37,219	05-25 09:39
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	587	$112.5K	20,090	05-25 09:38
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	586	$177.4K	10,012	05-25 09:39