Belated-Lesson — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved

Trades

444

lifetime

Volume

$3.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 05-28 08:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776935700	12	$491	449	435	+14	open	—	04-23 09:27
btc updown 15m 1776334500	9	$104	96	93	+3	open	—	04-16 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	12	$103	73	73	+0	Down	$-7	05-13 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	8	$88	72	72	+0	open	—	05-14 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	10	$80	57	57	+0	open	—	05-27 17:30
btc updown 15m 1776328200	9	$80	69	67	+2	open	—	04-16 08:42
btc updown 15m 1776280500	6	$78	81	79	+2	open	—	04-15 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	6	$76	90	90	+0	open	—	05-14 19:42
btc updown 15m 1776855600	8	$75	93	89	+4	open	—	04-22 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	7	$74	70	52	+18	Up	+$6	05-12 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	9	$65	44	44	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	9	$65	45	45	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	8	$64	44	44	+0	open	—	05-14 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	8	$62	46	46	+0	open	—	05-27 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	3	$61	60	60	+0	open	—	04-30 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	7	$61	52	52	+0	open	—	05-27 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	6	$57	39	39	+0	open	—	05-14 19:14
btc updown 15m 1776760200	4	$57	46	45	+1	open	—	04-21 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	8	$57	63	63	+0	open	—	05-27 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	4	$52	43	43	+0	Down	+$9	05-08 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	8	$52	41	41	+0	open	—	05-27 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	5	$52	43	43	+0	open	—	05-27 14:00
btc updown 15m 1776325500	4	$48	145	136	+9	open	—	04-16 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	10	$46	35	35	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 10:42
btc updown 15m 1776421800	2	$46	44	43	+2	open	—	04-17 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	4	$43	44	44	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	4	$43	35	35	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	6	$42	44	44	+0	open	—	05-27 14:56
btc updown 15m 1776950100	6	$42	32	31	+1	open	—	04-23 13:27
btc updown 15m 1776422700	2	$41	70	66	+4	open	—	04-17 10:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 08:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x7948f7…
05-28 08:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x0e18b4…
05-28 08:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x7ffc26…
05-28 08:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	45	12¢	$5	0x496b5c…
05-28 08:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xd71f61…
05-28 08:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x508c44…
05-28 08:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x24287e…
05-28 07:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xe4bf59…
05-28 07:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x2279d0…
05-28 07:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x417ad7…
05-28 07:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x62fb7a…
05-27 20:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	26	16¢	$4	0xa5f7b0…
05-27 20:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x56f7d2…
05-27 20:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	24	25¢	$6	0x760004…
05-27 20:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xeec6d2…
05-27 20:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x837f4c…
05-27 20:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0x473292…
05-27 20:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x8b7d7b…
05-27 20:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xdc082d…
05-27 19:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0x132203…
05-27 19:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xdae1e2…
05-27 18:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0xb101de…
05-27 18:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x1dfe40…
05-27 18:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xccc85d…
05-27 18:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb12f2d…
05-27 18:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x7f94fa…
05-27 18:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x909958…
05-27 18:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0721f2…
05-27 18:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x56e6f0…
05-27 17:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0xe3640d…
05-27 17:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x2dd646…
05-27 17:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0x4527ff…
05-27 17:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x332005…
05-27 17:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0x64eb84…
05-27 17:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x8420a4…
05-27 17:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xd47511…
05-27 17:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x4c2639…
05-27 17:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0xdcc837…
05-27 17:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0af63f…
05-27 17:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x2eedd7…
05-27 15:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	22	84¢	$18	0x97ff48…
05-27 15:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcfeba1…
05-27 15:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x3defca…
05-27 14:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0x436dcc…
05-27 14:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x3960c2…
05-27 14:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	29	36¢	$10	0xde08ea…
05-27 14:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x18cb5d…
05-27 14:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xfd96cc…
05-27 14:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xf2b428…
05-27 14:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0xaa7965…
05-27 14:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x019c3b…
05-27 14:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x7f0362…
05-27 14:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	26	84¢	$22	0x481c61…
05-27 14:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x24c039…
05-27 14:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x266ded…
05-27 14:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa0579b…
05-27 14:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	22	81¢	$17	0x1ac121…
05-27 14:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0xe20974…
05-27 14:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe89792…
05-27 14:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	41¢	$6	0xae24a8…
05-27 14:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0x41e40e…
05-27 14:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xad6cbc…
05-27 14:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x14d6df…
05-27 14:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x7d551a…
05-27 13:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x77f799…
05-27 13:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0x8b6a3b…
05-27 13:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0xf4bc47…
05-27 13:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x14fb2c…
05-27 13:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xcfa693…
05-27 13:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xa10628…
05-27 13:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0x5d7ac9…
05-27 13:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x9240ec…
05-27 13:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	51¢	$10	0x722f15…
05-27 13:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x5ccfc0…
05-27 13:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xb91e57…
05-27 13:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb1dae3…
05-27 13:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x34a731…
05-27 13:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x51d0c8…
05-27 13:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x0ea141…
05-27 13:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x5be803…
05-27 13:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xe7595d…
05-27 13:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x08ef80…
05-27 13:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xcf721f…
05-27 13:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x9b3400…
05-27 13:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc698d6…
05-27 13:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x4ac213…
05-27 13:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x3c09bb…
05-26 13:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	18	92¢	$16	0xa81a4e…
05-26 13:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x29ff56…
05-26 13:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x24a368…
05-26 13:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0xd99fc5…
05-26 13:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xeec81c…
05-19 13:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x43e636…
05-19 13:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0x09b283…
05-19 13:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xc81bde…
05-19 13:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xdd3801…
05-19 13:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xff74a4…
05-19 13:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x3f7a7c…
05-19 13:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x1808b6…
05-19 13:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x6d6e11…