Nimble-Complexity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$206

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-10 07:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	15	$73	55	49	+6	Up	+$3	05-10 02:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	8	$30	25	25	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 02:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	5	$13	15	10	+5	Down	$-1	05-10 04:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	3	$11	10	5	+5	Down	+$3	05-10 03:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	3	$10	10	5	+5	Up	$-2	05-10 02:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	3	$9	10	5	+5	Down	+$4	05-10 05:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 06:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 06:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 03:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 06:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 04:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 05:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 04:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$4	120	0	+120	Up	$-4	05-10 01:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 07:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 03:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-10 03:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	+$3	05-10 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$1	15	0	+15	Up	$-1	05-09 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Down	$-1	05-09 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10PM ET	2	$0	5	0	+5	Up	$-0	05-10 02:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 07:24:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x1c4080…
05-10 07:15:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4231c9…
05-10 07:04:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x50c29d…
05-10 06:58:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x28cee5…
05-10 06:45:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4f6a73…
05-10 06:35:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x51429d…
05-10 06:30:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4a1792…
05-10 06:13:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xf3929e…
05-10 06:11:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x20fb17…
05-10 05:49:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xa086bf…
05-10 05:46:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb82af5…
05-10 05:43:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2632d3…
05-10 05:43:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x643b1a…
05-10 05:38:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x41564f…
05-10 04:43:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xd5463e…
05-10 04:38:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x680181…
05-10 04:28:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x5ea14b…
05-10 04:21:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x188062…
05-10 04:10:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x009036…
05-10 04:07:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x645717…
05-10 04:02:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x963cc1…
05-10 04:01:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x3f00f3…
05-10 04:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4f290f…
05-10 03:57:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x1ea3cc…
05-10 03:57:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x21beee…
05-10 03:47:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9119ff…
05-10 03:37:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x2569e5…
05-10 03:30:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0bdf39…
05-10 03:16:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xcc68ad…
05-10 03:11:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x243949…
05-10 03:08:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2ec785…
05-10 02:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xa6e10d…
05-10 02:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x1a63d3…
05-10 02:54:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xfabf0b…
05-10 02:53:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x7aeaef…
05-10 02:53:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x10fe15…
05-10 02:46:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	47¢	$6	0x6e56b6…
05-10 02:46:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0xa7f3a1…
05-10 02:45:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb77a05…
05-10 02:45:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc46144…
05-10 02:45:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5a5c71…
05-10 02:31:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x5506ba…
05-10 02:30:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xca28c1…
05-10 02:30:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6c0731…
05-10 02:21:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x59cfdb…
05-10 02:20:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0xd1528a…
05-10 02:18:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	22	67¢	$15	0xc2b0bb…
05-10 02:18:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x308a73…
05-10 02:18:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x61ec54…
05-10 02:18:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x0b782e…
05-10 02:17:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb1c4d9…
05-10 02:17:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2fa3fd…
05-10 02:17:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x35d403…
05-10 02:17:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x535cdf…
05-10 02:17:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x252fab…
05-10 02:17:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x2807ab…
05-10 02:17:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3631bb…
05-10 02:16:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x814475…
05-10 02:16:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7c1ee6…
05-10 01:53:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	115	2¢	$2	0x2b5898…
05-10 01:46:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x34af22…
05-09 15:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x715285…
05-09 15:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xee1348…
05-09 15:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x49e306…