Poised-Alloy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-08 11:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 100% +$0

Other

35% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-15

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 58k on february 12	1	$227	227	+227	open	—	02-12 01:58
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 540 559	1	$127	127	+127	open	—	03-14 09:21
bitcoin above 74k on march 29	1	$127	127	+127	open	—	03-28 11:07
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 380 399	1	$127	127	+127	open	—	03-19 02:16
bitcoin above 76k on march 4	1	$127	127	+127	open	—	03-04 08:20
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 540 559	1	$125	125	+125	open	—	03-24 09:05
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	1	$122	122	+122	open	—	04-11 07:17
ethereum above 2100 on april 21	1	$121	121	+121	open	—	04-21 07:11
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 360 379	1	$120	120	+120	open	—	04-06 08:57
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 360 379	1	$120	120	+120	open	—	04-02 03:12
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 420 439	1	$120	120	+120	open	—	04-16 03:16
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$115	115	+115	open	—	04-26 02:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	1	$106	106	+106	open	—	05-20 03:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	1	$106	106	+106	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:28
bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	1	$102	102	+102	open	—	06-06 06:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	1	$102	102	+102	open	—	05-30 03:00
bitcoin above 72k on june 9 2026	1	$102	102	+102	open	—	06-08 11:08
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	03-09 09:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 15	1	$78	78	+78	open	—	01-15 06:48
ethereum above 3400 on january 10	1	$78	78	+78	open	—	01-10 03:46
ethereum above 2900 on january 19	1	$75	75	+75	open	—	01-19 07:13
bitcoin above 86k on february 1	1	$75	75	+75	open	—	02-01 02:28
bitcoin above 84k on january 23	1	$75	75	+75	open	—	01-23 03:36
bitcoin above 78k on february 7	1	$73	73	+73	open	—	02-07 03:15
bitcoin above 78k on january 28	1	$72	72	+72	open	—	01-27 07:38
bitcoin above 88k on january 6	1	$60	60	+60	open	—	01-06 06:30
ethereum above 1700 on march 9	1	$35	35	+35	open	—	03-09 09:33
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 620 639	1	$17	17	+17	open	—	01-06 06:30
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$15	38	+38	Spurs	$-15	05-07 06:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	1	$4	2,150	+2,150	open	—	05-26 09:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 11:08:28	bitcoin above 72k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x4f469e…
06-06 06:50:31	bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xd75c41…
05-30 03:00:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x283455…
05-26 09:09:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,150	0¢	$4	0xeba6b1…
05-20 03:24:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xdc78b8…
05-07 06:28:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x8312fa…
05-07 06:28:11	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x25afcf…
04-26 02:39:48	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xdaffa2…
04-26 02:39:32	Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x61101a…
04-26 02:39:08	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x82f7aa…
04-26 02:38:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	1,830	0¢	$4	0x4554d6…
04-21 07:11:54	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x083988…
04-16 03:16:14	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 420 439	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x73a252…
04-16 03:14:20	will threads be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 17	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfbde8c…
04-16 03:14:10	Will Baidu have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xecc917…
04-11 07:17:11	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xf83830…
04-11 07:16:57	Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8d095c…
04-11 07:16:43	Will ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8dc4d7…
04-06 08:57:25	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 360 379	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x126298…
04-06 08:57:07	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 6	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe7fb1f…
04-06 08:56:37	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 240plus	Yes	BUY	1,685	0¢	$3	0xa85e1d…
04-02 03:12:03	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 360 379	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xa561ba…
04-02 03:11:49	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 215 239	Yes	BUY	1,265	0¢	$3	0x90f760…
04-02 03:10:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x44d1b0…
04-02 03:10:05	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4b6e53…
03-28 11:07:29	bitcoin above 74k on march 29	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x31b91c…
03-24 09:05:23	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 540 559	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xfc2b3a…
03-19 02:16:39	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 380 399	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xb184a9…
03-14 09:21:59	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 540 559	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x399637…
03-09 09:34:51	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xdd8d5d…
03-09 09:33:23	ethereum above 1700 on march 9	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd467c2…
03-04 08:20:03	bitcoin above 76k on march 4	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xd4a7a1…
03-04 07:56:11	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x86702b…
03-04 07:55:11	will zai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2e0226…
02-12 01:58:39	bitcoin above 58k on february 12	Yes	BUY	227	100¢	$227	0xd13a7a…
02-12 01:58:29	will the us next strike iran on february 11 2026 et	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xac90fe…
02-12 01:58:15	will paramount be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 13 326	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd12b07…
02-07 03:15:53	bitcoin above 78k on february 7	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x6bd3d2…
02-07 02:52:51	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	155	2¢	$2	0x193f2b…
02-01 02:28:16	bitcoin above 86k on february 1	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x4031fd…
01-27 07:38:39	bitcoin above 78k on january 28	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xd57c19…
01-27 07:38:29	will trump meet with xi jinping in january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9b2a47…
01-27 07:38:15	elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 240plus	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4b1b8e…
01-23 03:36:20	bitcoin above 84k on january 23	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x463111…
01-23 03:36:06	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 200 219	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x38995c…
01-19 07:13:38	ethereum above 2900 on january 19	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x35f68a…
01-19 07:13:30	bitcoin up or down on january 19	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x82fda3…
01-19 07:13:08	will moonshot have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2f277c…
01-15 06:48:44	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 15	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x101779…
01-10 03:46:52	ethereum above 3400 on january 10	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x35092e…
01-06 06:30:55	bitcoin above 88k on january 6	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x9a4cf8…
01-06 06:30:39	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 620 639	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8990cc…