Hefty-Prow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$319

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 05-07 10:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 67% +$43

Politics

2% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	4	$45	26	26	+0	Up	+$5	05-06 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$34	24	24	+0	Up	+$14	05-04 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$33	18	18	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	3	$25	33	0	+33	Up	+$8	05-07 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$23	18	18	+0	Up	+$13	05-05 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-04 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$20	22	0	+22	Down	+$2	05-07 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$17	27	0	+27	Up	$-1	05-06 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$15	19	0	+19	Down	+$4	05-07 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$15	22	0	+22	Down	+$7	05-07 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	05-06 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-06 13:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$6	53	0	+53	Down	$-6	05-04 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$6	55	0	+55	Up	$-1	05-04 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-04 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-05 21:45
btc updown 5m 1776025500	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	04-12 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	$-5	05-04 22:26
bitcoin above 86k on january 20	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-19 20:56
will trump say nuclear during newsnation interview	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-19 20:51
will trump say greenland during newsnation interview	2	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-19 20:51
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-19 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-04 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-05 21:30
will trump say iran during newsnation interview	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-19 20:49
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	01-19 20:59
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for denmark by feburary 1	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	01-19 20:47
will trump say china or tariff or border 10 times during newsnation interview	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-19 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 21:26
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-19 20:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 10:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xdca3a7…
05-07 10:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xda989e…
05-07 10:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x630b65…
05-07 10:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x71f4f4…
05-07 10:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xd72473…
05-07 08:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x6b0ca8…
05-07 08:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xcc0604…
05-07 08:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xe22908…
05-07 08:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa7c490…
05-07 08:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa66ced…
05-06 21:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x0cdc96…
05-06 21:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xfd808f…
05-06 21:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x3ec773…
05-06 21:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xcc296e…
05-06 21:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x11cb46…
05-06 21:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x536138…
05-06 21:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x5eb69c…
05-06 21:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xfcc951…
05-06 20:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2cec31…
05-06 20:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe1a564…
05-06 20:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x5f6284…
05-06 13:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7d4d8f…
05-06 13:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe6cac6…
05-05 21:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6af120…
05-05 21:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x760bc1…
05-05 21:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc9d27b…
05-05 21:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2804b8…
05-05 20:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x77b5ed…
05-05 20:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe0f18b…
05-04 22:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x623490…
05-04 22:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x58c39c…
05-04 22:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf0e2a5…
05-04 22:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd2d087…
05-04 22:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x4b9402…
05-04 22:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x4e8862…
05-04 22:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb2797b…
05-04 21:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3dfe6b…
05-04 21:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x899e0d…
05-04 21:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1982ef…
05-04 21:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x0cabff…
04-12 20:26:41	btc updown 5m 1776025500	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xbdd980…
01-19 20:59:50	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xbf9aa1…
01-19 20:59:14	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x95748c…
01-19 20:58:48	Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?	Silver	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x90cd35…
01-19 20:56:46	bitcoin above 86k on january 20	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1824ae…
01-19 20:51:12	will trump say nuclear during newsnation interview	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xf79f63…
01-19 20:51:04	will trump say greenland during newsnation interview	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4f1195…
01-19 20:50:34	will trump say china or tariff or border 10 times during newsnation interview	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf28c2a…
01-19 20:50:00	will trump say greenland during newsnation interview	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4cf803…
01-19 20:49:50	will trump say iran during newsnation interview	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xdc1085…
01-19 20:48:54	will trump meet with nicols maduro in february 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5d161a…
01-19 20:47:42	will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for denmark by feburary 1	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xddc769…