Watchful-Tapioca — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$983

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved

179

Trades

1,878

lifetime

Volume

$28.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-25 16:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 42% $-983

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 307 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$795	666	666	+0	open	—	05-16 03:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	7	$647	798	798	+0	open	—	05-18 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	5	$572	1,797	1,797	+0	open	—	05-18 11:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	7	$564	378	378	+0	Up	+$176	05-09 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	9	$534	471	471	+0	open	—	05-19 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	12	$505	560	406	+154	open	—	05-25 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$464	448	433	+15	Up	$-16	05-10 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	5	$417	473	333	+140	open	—	05-25 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	5	$379	544	240	+303	open	—	05-25 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$355	665	10	+655	Up	$-345	05-11 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	3	$332	632	0	+632	Down	$-332	05-11 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	5	$326	361	350	+11	open	—	05-25 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	5	$321	304	304	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$289	549	0	+549	Down	+$260	05-10 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	10	$282	326	253	+73	open	—	05-25 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	5	$243	282	282	+0	open	—	05-22 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	4	$225	304	141	+163	Up	$-83	05-09 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	8	$221	251	174	+77	open	—	05-25 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$220	300	196	+104	open	—	05-25 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$218	243	133	+110	open	—	05-25 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	8	$216	251	117	+134	open	—	05-25 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	7	$216	256	187	+69	open	—	05-25 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	8	$216	381	0	+381	open	—	05-25 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$210	377	0	+377	open	—	05-21 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	8	$209	248	186	+63	open	—	05-25 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$200	367	0	+367	open	—	05-25 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$200	322	0	+322	open	—	05-21 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$200	310	0	+310	open	—	05-25 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$200	304	0	+304	open	—	05-25 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$194	197	197	+0	open	—	05-25 14:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 16:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2e6aab…
05-25 15:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa1220b…
05-25 15:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x351dc8…
05-25 15:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x984977…
05-25 15:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x1f3b5b…
05-25 15:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xf29400…
05-25 15:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe43551…
05-25 15:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xfc2d4c…
05-25 15:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd04207…
05-25 15:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5ee10e…
05-25 15:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xf540a9…
05-25 15:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	36	26¢	$9	0x17d578…
05-25 15:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xd32ee0…
05-25 15:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xa8d70f…
05-25 15:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xb7e088…
05-25 15:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xeb23ae…
05-25 15:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x34d61f…
05-25 15:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	31	50¢	$15	0xbd6def…
05-25 15:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x852872…
05-25 15:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xe35a53…
05-25 15:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4c74c6…
05-25 15:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	106	14¢	$15	0x117c84…
05-25 15:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xf23519…
05-25 15:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x844029…
05-25 15:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x7ddeef…
05-25 15:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x7d2ec9…
05-25 15:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x0f6070…
05-25 15:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x0d8bac…
05-25 15:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xee2734…
05-25 15:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x221796…
05-25 15:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xfee138…
05-25 15:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb5177e…
05-25 15:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x721873…
05-25 15:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x43a2e3…
05-25 15:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x14c835…
05-25 15:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x0564aa…
05-25 15:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xf553a3…
05-25 15:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xe5995b…
05-25 15:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x840eae…
05-25 15:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x32a782…
05-25 15:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xcf1d4c…
05-25 15:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xd6e107…
05-25 15:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x0ae1d6…
05-25 15:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x4a30ff…
05-25 15:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	48	13¢	$6	0xba32ad…
05-25 15:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x8729c1…
05-25 15:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x9e45a6…
05-25 15:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x6917ff…
05-25 15:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x3911bd…
05-25 15:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	59	89¢	$52	0xa6a0d2…
05-25 15:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x29f071…
05-25 15:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x186bdd…
05-25 15:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x8ad4ff…
05-25 15:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x261610…
05-25 15:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x1b07ca…
05-25 15:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xbdd950…
05-25 15:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xda33d2…
05-25 15:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xdc4f59…
05-25 15:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1e8ceb…
05-25 15:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x4ab70b…
05-25 15:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xe76561…
05-25 15:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xde3914…
05-25 15:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xcc5edb…
05-25 15:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x1b7026…
05-25 15:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x66ae5e…
05-25 15:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0x3a5174…
05-25 14:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0x6f18c1…
05-25 14:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	196	10¢	$20	0x11a9bf…
05-25 14:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x3b7369…
05-25 14:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0x4f976a…
05-25 14:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x21aeb1…
05-25 14:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	197	47¢	$94	0xf950b6…
05-25 14:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0x966cda…
05-25 14:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x25e602…
05-25 14:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0xb5b859…
05-25 14:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	94	13¢	$12	0xbbfba9…
05-25 14:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x5ae982…
05-25 14:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0x189d05…
05-25 14:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	159	34¢	$55	0xb963d3…
05-25 14:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xd3a8a5…
05-25 14:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	174	36¢	$62	0x488e34…
05-25 14:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	174	57¢	$100	0x3937df…
05-25 14:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xc4e085…
05-25 14:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0xbb9c7c…
05-25 14:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x97628d…
05-25 14:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	23	35¢	$8	0xdb2855…
05-25 14:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	217	33¢	$71	0xaf7feb…
05-25 14:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	240	42¢	$100	0x01ce22…
05-25 14:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x13fcb8…
05-25 14:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xfcd91c…
05-25 14:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xf5c106…
05-25 14:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xbfbdc7…
05-25 14:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	183	36¢	$66	0x94cb9b…
05-25 14:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0x0e5655…
05-25 14:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	167	30¢	$50	0x167902…
05-25 14:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x3096f6…
05-25 14:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x8a2f8e…
05-25 14:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	135	47¢	$63	0x96dce4…
05-25 14:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x260364…
05-25 14:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	47	26¢	$12	0x05c13a…