Watchful-Tapioca — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$983

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved

179

Trades

3,616

lifetime

Volume

$46.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-23 01:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 42% $-983

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 769 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$795	666	666	+0	open	—	05-16 03:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	7	$647	798	798	+0	open	—	05-18 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	5	$572	1,797	1,797	+0	open	—	05-18 11:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	7	$564	378	378	+0	Up	+$176	05-09 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	9	$534	471	471	+0	open	—	05-19 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	12	$505	560	406	+154	open	—	05-25 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$464	448	433	+15	Up	$-16	05-10 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	5	$417	473	333	+140	open	—	05-25 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	5	$379	544	240	+303	open	—	05-25 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$355	665	10	+655	Up	$-345	05-11 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	3	$332	632	0	+632	Down	$-332	05-11 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	5	$326	361	350	+11	open	—	05-25 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	5	$321	304	304	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$289	549	0	+549	Down	+$260	05-10 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	10	$282	326	253	+73	open	—	05-25 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	5	$243	282	282	+0	open	—	05-22 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	4	$225	304	141	+163	Up	$-83	05-09 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	8	$221	251	174	+77	open	—	05-25 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$220	300	196	+104	open	—	05-25 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$218	243	133	+110	open	—	05-25 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	8	$216	251	117	+134	open	—	05-25 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	7	$216	256	187	+69	open	—	05-25 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	8	$216	381	0	+381	open	—	05-25 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$210	377	0	+377	open	—	05-21 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	8	$209	248	186	+63	open	—	05-25 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$200	367	0	+367	open	—	05-25 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$200	322	0	+322	open	—	05-21 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$200	310	0	+310	open	—	05-25 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$200	304	0	+304	open	—	05-25 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$194	197	197	+0	open	—	05-25 14:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 01:42:34	btc updown 5m 1782178800	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x2f6f7d…
06-23 01:42:04	btc updown 5m 1782178800	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x75f466…
06-23 01:42:01	btc updown 5m 1782178800	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x3d8318…
06-23 01:41:46	btc updown 5m 1782178800	Down	SELL	35	25¢	$9	0xce597a…
06-23 01:41:08	btc updown 5m 1782178800	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x2ed7c4…
06-23 01:40:43	btc updown 5m 1782178800	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xa2350b…
06-23 01:33:50	btc updown 5m 1782178200	Up	SELL	31	25¢	$8	0x5ad9c0…
06-23 01:33:35	btc updown 5m 1782178200	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x133008…
06-23 01:32:28	btc updown 5m 1782178200	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xc3d2a6…
06-23 01:31:46	btc updown 5m 1782178200	Down	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0x4c6e39…
06-23 01:30:59	btc updown 5m 1782178200	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x847643…
06-23 01:27:46	btc updown 5m 1782177900	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x75321a…
06-23 01:26:10	btc updown 5m 1782177900	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xb0a7cf…
06-23 01:26:02	btc updown 5m 1782177900	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x55deb1…
06-23 01:24:20	btc updown 5m 1782177600	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x551c8a…
06-23 01:13:50	btc updown 5m 1782177000	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x436a64…
06-23 01:10:16	btc updown 5m 1782177000	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xc87d77…
06-23 01:09:10	btc updown 5m 1782176700	Down	SELL	16	23¢	$4	0xe0c018…
06-23 01:08:07	btc updown 5m 1782176700	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x5ed48d…
06-23 01:07:26	btc updown 5m 1782176700	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xdd553f…
06-23 01:03:07	btc updown 5m 1782176400	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x97e057…
06-23 01:00:28	btc updown 5m 1782176400	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x426247…
06-23 00:59:07	btc updown 5m 1782176100	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xe87ad4…
06-17 10:17:44	eth updown 5m 1781691300	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa01567…
06-17 10:17:32	eth updown 5m 1781691300	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x18571a…
06-17 10:11:13	eth updown 5m 1781691000	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbcfb2f…
06-17 10:11:13	eth updown 5m 1781691000	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x199beb…
06-17 10:11:13	eth updown 5m 1781691000	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x14359d…
06-17 10:09:50	eth updown 5m 1781690700	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1589cd…
06-17 10:09:44	eth updown 5m 1781690700	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x66775f…
06-17 10:09:01	btc updown 5m 1781690700	Up	SELL	19	13¢	$3	0xb9ace6…
06-17 10:07:58	btc updown 5m 1781690700	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3b0849…
06-17 10:07:41	btc updown 5m 1781690700	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x212271…
06-17 10:07:35	btc updown 5m 1781690700	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd5cdfd…
06-17 10:07:19	btc updown 5m 1781690700	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xe955ba…
06-17 10:07:05	btc updown 5m 1781690700	Down	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x2a1c08…
06-17 10:06:23	btc updown 5m 1781690700	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x494bae…
06-17 10:03:13	btc updown 5m 1781690400	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x4153cb…
06-17 10:02:53	eth updown 5m 1781690400	Up	SELL	17	32¢	$5	0x70fe73…
06-17 10:02:11	eth updown 5m 1781690400	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x3c036b…
06-17 10:01:26	btc updown 5m 1781690400	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5f0a6f…
06-17 09:58:50	btc updown 5m 1781690100	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xbc6ca0…
06-17 09:58:37	btc updown 5m 1781690100	Down	SELL	17	39¢	$6	0xb6b2fd…
06-17 09:56:56	btc updown 5m 1781690100	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x801382…
06-17 09:48:14	eth updown 5m 1781689500	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4b5184…
06-17 09:46:02	eth updown 5m 1781689500	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x048881…
06-17 09:40:13	eth updown 5m 1781689200	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xb48fbf…
06-17 09:39:35	eth updown 5m 1781688900	Down	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0x93cfbb…
06-17 09:36:10	eth updown 5m 1781688900	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x066e73…
06-17 09:35:52	btc updown 5m 1781688900	Up	SELL	18	22¢	$4	0x135ee8…
06-17 09:35:14	btc updown 5m 1781688900	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd8267e…
06-17 09:34:58	eth updown 5m 1781688600	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xe8d040…
06-17 09:30:40	eth updown 5m 1781688600	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x13c090…
06-17 09:30:31	eth updown 5m 1781688600	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd125e2…
06-17 09:30:29	eth updown 5m 1781688600	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2928ec…
06-17 09:30:17	eth updown 5m 1781688600	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x8abe54…
06-17 09:30:01	eth updown 5m 1781688300	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x1e3c12…
06-17 09:27:46	eth updown 5m 1781688300	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xcd90ce…
06-17 09:26:38	eth updown 5m 1781688300	Down	SELL	38	10¢	$4	0x782048…
06-17 09:25:01	eth updown 5m 1781688300	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x65f2fa…
06-17 09:25:01	eth updown 5m 1781688300	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x1f4509…
06-17 09:24:44	eth updown 5m 1781688000	Down	SELL	94	31¢	$29	0x34ef2c…
06-17 09:19:25	eth updown 5m 1781688000	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x0b3d4e…
06-17 09:18:47	eth updown 5m 1781687700	Down	SELL	33	11¢	$4	0xc4d36a…
06-17 09:18:43	eth updown 5m 1781687700	Down	SELL	53	26¢	$14	0x174d82…
06-17 09:16:44	eth updown 5m 1781687700	Down	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x02de31…
06-17 09:16:31	eth updown 5m 1781687700	Up	SELL	78	34¢	$27	0x6d3485…
06-17 09:16:10	eth updown 5m 1781687700	Up	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xd6c9d9…
06-17 09:13:20	eth updown 5m 1781687400	Up	BUY	73	68¢	$50	0x1107e5…
06-17 09:11:34	eth updown 5m 1781687400	Down	SELL	94	33¢	$31	0x4c8847…
06-17 09:09:53	eth updown 5m 1781687400	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x72c9ea…
06-17 09:05:25	eth updown 5m 1781687100	Down	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x1a49ec…
06-17 09:03:29	btc updown 5m 1781686800	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x4215d8…
06-17 09:02:58	lol ktc dkc 2026 06 17	KT Rolster Challengers	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0xa38373…
06-17 09:02:43	lol ktc dkc 2026 06 17	KT Rolster Challengers	SELL	138	22¢	$30	0xbcda2c…
06-17 08:59:56	btc updown 5m 1781686500	Up	SELL	62	58¢	$36	0x31b0c8…
06-17 08:58:53	btc updown 5m 1781686500	Up	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xdbf5a6…
06-17 08:52:46	btc updown 5m 1781686200	Up	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x70ab42…
06-17 08:52:01	btc updown 5m 1781686200	Up	SELL	74	29¢	$21	0xadb92b…
06-17 08:51:05	btc updown 5m 1781686200	Up	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x6c4de2…
06-17 08:49:52	eth updown 5m 1781685900	Up	SELL	89	37¢	$33	0x840313…
06-17 08:45:02	eth updown 5m 1781685900	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xe51344…
06-17 08:35:32	eth updown 5m 1781685300	Down	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xfd8b6a…
06-17 08:30:28	eth updown 5m 1781685000	Down	BUY	73	69¢	$50	0xe86b39…
06-17 08:29:41	btc updown 5m 1781684700	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x94189a…
06-17 08:28:40	eth updown 5m 1781684700	Up	SELL	70	23¢	$16	0xc723c0…
06-17 08:27:40	eth updown 5m 1781684700	Up	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0x56bdf0…
06-17 08:26:58	eth updown 5m 1781684700	Down	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x14719b…
06-17 08:25:49	eth updown 5m 1781684700	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x8b9412…
06-17 08:24:11	eth updown 5m 1781684400	Up	SELL	24	18¢	$4	0x310074…
06-17 08:24:02	eth updown 5m 1781684400	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xb90b99…
06-17 08:22:22	btc updown 5m 1781684400	Down	SELL	83	17¢	$14	0x57d105…
06-17 08:20:46	btc updown 5m 1781684400	Down	BUY	83	66¢	$55	0x7471cb…
06-17 08:19:34	btc updown 5m 1781684100	Down	SELL	76	98¢	$74	0xa9d13c…
06-17 08:18:58	eth updown 5m 1781684100	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x2a31aa…
06-17 08:15:49	btc updown 5m 1781684100	Down	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x6eabb2…
06-17 08:12:07	btc updown 5m 1781683800	Down	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xe21ba7…
06-17 08:05:58	btc updown 5m 1781683500	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xf9d794…
06-17 08:02:26	eth updown 5m 1781683200	Up	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xd652d6…
06-17 08:01:56	eth updown 5m 1781683200	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x71cfbf…