Same-Exaggeration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.0%

Resolved

Trades

565

lifetime

Volume

$8.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 08-01 12:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 20% $-15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1770952200	17	$728	408	408	+0	open	—	02-13 03:15
sol updown 15m 1770901200	3	$660	500	500	+0	open	—	02-12 13:15
btc updown 5m 1770954600	14	$426	600	0	+600	open	—	02-13 03:54
eth updown 15m 1770899400	1	$373	402	0	+402	open	—	02-12 12:44
btc updown 5m 1770957600	1	$287	400	0	+400	open	—	02-13 04:44
btc updown 5m 1770961500	2	$212	230	230	+0	open	—	02-13 05:49
btc updown 5m 1770955500	9	$207	314	0	+314	open	—	02-13 04:09
btc updown 5m 1770964500	7	$207	413	0	+413	open	—	02-13 06:39
btc updown 5m 1770959400	6	$152	200	0	+200	open	—	02-13 05:15
btc updown 5m 1770964200	1	$145	268	0	+268	open	—	02-13 06:34
btc updown 5m 1770960300	2	$144	109	107	+2	open	—	02-13 05:29
btc updown 5m 1770948600	2	$142	210	0	+210	open	—	02-13 02:14
btc updown 5m 1770962700	9	$141	600	0	+600	open	—	02-13 06:09
btc updown 5m 1770952800	3	$130	217	0	+217	open	—	02-13 03:24
btc updown 5m 1770965100	1	$129	261	0	+261	open	—	02-13 06:48
btc updown 5m 1770960000	1	$128	200	0	+200	open	—	02-13 05:24
btc updown 5m 1770955800	4	$126	158	0	+158	open	—	02-13 04:14
btc updown 5m 1770963900	17	$120	364	0	+364	open	—	02-13 06:29
btc updown 5m 1770957300	1	$113	210	0	+210	open	—	02-13 04:39
btc updown 5m 1770961800	2	$107	200	197	+3	open	—	02-13 05:53
btc updown 5m 1770963300	12	$100	325	0	+325	open	—	02-13 06:19
eth updown 15m 1768185000	4	$90	167	0	+167	open	—	01-12 02:30
eth updown 15m 1768178700	2	$90	168	0	+168	open	—	01-12 00:45
eth updown 15m 1768195800	3	$90	168	0	+168	open	—	01-12 05:30
eth updown 15m 1768187700	13	$90	167	0	+167	open	—	01-12 03:18
eth updown 15m 1768189500	8	$90	173	0	+173	open	—	01-12 03:45
btc updown 5m 1770967200	1	$88	200	0	+200	open	—	02-13 07:25
btc updown 5m 1770958500	11	$86	133	0	+133	open	—	02-13 04:57
btc updown 5m 1770951300	1	$80	105	0	+105	open	—	02-13 02:59
btc updown 5m 1770967500	4	$78	300	0	+300	open	—	02-13 07:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 12:00:24	btc updown 15m 1785586500	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8b8faa…
07-30 21:52:38	btc updown 15m 1785448800	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x060b37…
07-27 13:35:48	btc updown 15m 1785159900	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x907b8a…
07-24 11:53:52	btc updown 15m 1784894400	Up	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x37704e…
07-24 11:46:37	btc updown 15m 1784894400	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xeccf89…
07-24 11:46:37	btc updown 15m 1784894400	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x45554b…
07-22 14:17:10	btc updown 15m 1784730600	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2b4d6c…
07-20 20:48:07	btc updown 15m 1784581200	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6a7834…
07-18 01:27:24	btc updown 15m 1784338200	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2c5a34…
07-13 18:32:02	btc updown 15m 1783967400	Up	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x905a18…
07-13 18:19:28	btc updown 15m 1783967400	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x76ba9b…
07-07 09:04:59	btc updown 15m 1783415700	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3dce94…
07-03 12:06:14	btc updown 15m 1783080900	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x07ef88…
07-01 11:42:05	btc updown 15m 1782906300	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3a8fa3…
06-30 14:23:25	btc updown 15m 1782829800	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf6d749…
06-28 22:19:44	btc updown 15m 1782685800	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x9c31b1…
06-28 22:19:44	btc updown 15m 1782685800	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x2260b8…
06-25 19:47:50	btc updown 15m 1782417600	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7f134a…
06-24 02:34:55	btc updown 15m 1782269100	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x269a27…
06-19 17:27:29	btc updown 15m 1781890200	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xbaeb84…
06-18 06:29:19	btc updown 15m 1781764200	Up	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0x24fc41…
06-18 06:19:26	btc updown 15m 1781764200	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdf2f8a…
06-16 20:28:13	btc updown 15m 1781641800	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x42025e…
06-16 20:21:32	btc updown 15m 1781641800	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf884a3…
06-15 21:27:22	btc updown 15m 1781559000	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x17b890…
06-12 01:20:31	btc updown 15m 1781227800	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa44b9f…
06-10 12:30:19	btc updown 15m 1781095500	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x193dc5…
06-09 09:31:30	btc updown 15m 1780998300	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd46803…
06-04 20:19:31	btc updown 15m 1780605000	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x833e6f…
06-02 00:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x448993…
06-01 03:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6f2a68…
05-29 17:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0xbd97d8…
05-29 17:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x4db9a0…
05-29 17:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa25d75…
05-28 13:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2cbc1e…
05-26 17:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xfb8789…
05-26 17:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x42cede…
05-24 20:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x046d77…
05-23 23:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xe4ad74…
05-22 11:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x2912a8…
05-22 11:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe7c237…
05-22 11:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x44bdec…
05-21 17:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7d3fa7…
05-20 02:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf0bf58…
05-17 04:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xb7428e…
05-17 04:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x2774e3…
05-17 03:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7f32b3…
05-15 00:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x2e197d…
05-15 00:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8818bb…
05-14 17:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1bca8c…
05-12 22:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd79db9…
05-10 13:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x6b136b…
05-08 18:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xceca69…
05-07 06:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x355e56…
05-06 10:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdaecd8…
04-23 08:24:56	btc updown 15m 1776933000	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x8caa6f…
04-23 08:24:56	btc updown 15m 1776933000	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x057cfe…
04-22 16:42:22	btc updown 15m 1776876300	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4fc209…
04-21 03:13:08	btc updown 15m 1776741300	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8989c0…
04-16 12:01:08	btc updown 15m 1776341700	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6c23cf…
04-15 05:02:02	btc updown 15m 1776230100	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x51165b…
04-14 05:54:15	btc updown 15m 1776146400	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x746c75…
04-14 05:54:09	btc updown 15m 1776146400	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x249c15…
04-11 00:07:27	btc updown 15m 1775866500	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xfa5ea6…
03-31 17:03:07	btc updown 15m 1774977300	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x126e64…
02-13 07:29:43	btc updown 5m 1770967500	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xd8f9c7…
02-13 07:29:43	btc updown 5m 1770967500	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9edffc…
02-13 07:29:43	btc updown 5m 1770967500	Up	BUY	248	26¢	$65	0x9db0db…
02-13 07:29:41	btc updown 5m 1770967500	Up	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0xe28af3…
02-13 07:29:25	btc updown 15m 1770966900	Up	BUY	120	36¢	$44	0xd309a7…
02-13 07:29:09	btc updown 15m 1770966900	Up	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0x3e7d71…
02-13 07:29:01	btc updown 15m 1770966900	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x0bd1ff…
02-13 07:28:33	btc updown 15m 1770966900	Up	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x68a2db…
02-13 07:25:01	btc updown 5m 1770967200	Up	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0xf25b47…
02-13 07:07:59	btc updown 5m 1770966300	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x1b8666…
02-13 07:07:57	btc updown 5m 1770966300	Up	BUY	13	35¢	$4	0xe007cd…
02-13 07:07:57	btc updown 5m 1770966300	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb2ce4d…
02-13 07:07:57	btc updown 5m 1770966300	Up	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x54cd10…
02-13 07:07:57	btc updown 5m 1770966300	Up	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0x2fd667…
02-13 07:07:57	btc updown 5m 1770966300	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x0d01c3…
02-13 07:07:55	btc updown 5m 1770966300	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xbfe3ad…
02-13 07:07:55	btc updown 5m 1770966300	Up	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x58066f…
02-13 07:07:51	btc updown 5m 1770966300	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xe0c3bc…
02-13 07:07:51	btc updown 5m 1770966300	Up	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xb4d295…
02-13 07:07:51	btc updown 5m 1770966300	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xacc023…
02-13 07:07:51	btc updown 5m 1770966300	Up	BUY	80	35¢	$28	0x40e036…
02-13 07:07:45	btc updown 5m 1770966300	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xb66406…
02-13 06:48:43	btc updown 5m 1770965100	Down	BUY	261	49¢	$129	0x65fa11…
02-13 06:39:45	btc updown 5m 1770964500	Up	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x104985…
02-13 06:39:15	btc updown 5m 1770964500	Up	BUY	108	60¢	$65	0xe7ddfc…
02-13 06:39:07	btc updown 5m 1770964500	Down	BUY	75	35¢	$26	0x6a665f…
02-13 06:38:47	btc updown 5m 1770964500	Down	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0x97e5c3…
02-13 06:38:45	btc updown 5m 1770964500	Down	BUY	96	35¢	$34	0xe3185c…
02-13 06:38:45	btc updown 5m 1770964500	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x29558a…
02-13 06:38:45	btc updown 5m 1770964500	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x17bca4…
02-13 06:34:35	btc updown 5m 1770964200	Up	BUY	268	54¢	$145	0x49a7d1…
02-13 06:29:43	btc updown 5m 1770963900	Down	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x48b36e…
02-13 06:29:41	btc updown 5m 1770963900	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xe4e9c6…
02-13 06:29:41	btc updown 5m 1770963900	Down	BUY	36	15¢	$5	0xdb9e27…
02-13 06:29:41	btc updown 5m 1770963900	Down	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xb1757d…