Mature-Initialise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$77

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.7%

Resolved

Trades

118

lifetime

Volume

$1.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 05-06 23:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 21% $-77

Other

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776369300	3	$131	228	123	+105	open	—	04-16 20:00
btc updown 5m 1776369900	2	$119	135	130	+5	open	—	04-16 20:06
btc updown 5m 1776365700	3	$113	177	75	+102	open	—	04-16 18:59
btc updown 5m 1776367500	3	$73	61	58	+2	open	—	04-16 19:29
btc updown 5m 1776366300	4	$71	76	74	+3	open	—	04-16 19:08
btc updown 5m 1776364800	4	$66	52	51	+2	open	—	04-16 18:41
btc updown 5m 1776364500	5	$58	137	36	+101	open	—	04-16 18:40
btc updown 5m 1776365100	4	$58	325	37	+288	open	—	04-16 18:48
btc updown 5m 1776368100	2	$57	46	45	+2	open	—	04-16 19:36
btc updown 5m 1776366000	1	$50	109	0	+109	open	—	04-16 18:59
btc updown 5m 1776372000	1	$48	87	0	+87	open	—	04-16 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	6	$47	238	29	+208	Down	$-13	05-06 22:47
btc updown 5m 1776364200	3	$44	31	30	+1	open	—	04-16 18:34
btc updown 5m 1776365400	2	$37	30	29	+1	open	—	04-16 18:51
btc updown 5m 1776368400	2	$34	26	26	+1	open	—	04-16 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	5	$33	525	25	+500	Down	+$3	05-06 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	4	$29	47	26	+20	Down	$-1	05-06 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$28	25	25	+0	Up	+$8	05-06 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	5	$28	115	14	+101	Up	$-6	05-06 23:53
btc updown 5m 1776367800	2	$27	20	19	+1	open	—	04-16 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	4	$26	363	13	+350	Up	+$0	05-06 23:09
btc updown 5m 1776366900	2	$25	19	18	+1	open	—	04-16 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$23	30	23	+7	Down	+$9	05-06 22:39
btc updown 5m 1776363300	2	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	04-16 18:19
btc updown 5m 1776367200	2	$17	18	17	+1	open	—	04-16 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	3	$16	182	0	+182	Up	$-16	05-06 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$15	46	12	+33	Down	$-5	05-06 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	3	$15	92	0	+92	Down	$-15	05-06 22:28
btc updown 5m 1776363600	2	$11	68	0	+68	open	—	04-16 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$11	100	0	+100	Up	$-11	05-06 23:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 23:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc7a64c…
05-06 23:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x24f62b…
05-06 23:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4c39a1…
05-06 23:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x444b2d…
05-06 23:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0x036ff3…
05-06 23:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x1697e3…
05-06 23:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x95ed14…
05-06 23:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xdbe476…
05-06 23:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	26	54¢	$14	0xef7d17…
05-06 23:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xdc0209…
05-06 23:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x857ce4…
05-06 23:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x61011f…
05-06 23:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4c9b2f…
05-06 23:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9d5fba…
05-06 23:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x52b52c…
05-06 23:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x80c796…
05-06 23:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1c83c6…
05-06 23:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x05653f…
05-06 23:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x069880…
05-06 23:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb4c384…
05-06 23:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x586ec2…
05-06 23:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb447d8…
05-06 23:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6417db…
05-06 23:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x8deb2f…
05-06 23:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc94f3d…
05-06 23:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xf6b4a7…
05-06 23:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xccf7e5…
05-06 23:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xf1c459…
05-06 23:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x50e2b3…
05-06 23:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5ffd36…
05-06 23:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbfaacb…
05-06 23:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x6303de…
05-06 22:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x557f4e…
05-06 22:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcf8ae6…
05-06 22:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb60efb…
05-06 22:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x252881…
05-06 22:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xba664e…
05-06 22:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x302c35…
05-06 22:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x458ff3…
05-06 22:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	29	58¢	$17	0xd6ad13…
05-06 22:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x04ee59…
05-06 22:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x06be32…
05-06 22:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x48ed13…
05-06 22:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0xdb0906…
05-06 22:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x70c1c0…
05-06 22:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xea3aa8…
05-06 22:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	23	68¢	$16	0x8f7f9f…
05-06 22:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0xc596e3…
05-06 22:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1612ef…
05-06 22:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xc5b255…
05-06 22:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x04bf2a…
05-06 22:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x0f48ce…
05-06 22:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x86ad66…
05-06 22:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9f162c…
05-06 22:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x893a36…
05-06 22:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x18b980…
05-06 22:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x678b1c…
05-06 22:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x00a5a5…
05-06 22:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0xea9856…
05-06 22:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb43f3a…
05-06 22:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	13	69¢	$9	0x0da01d…
05-06 22:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd6db78…
05-06 22:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0x3e2ffe…
05-06 22:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x549537…
05-06 22:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8bfa4a…
05-06 22:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x871e93…
04-16 20:40:40	btc updown 5m 1776372000	Down	BUY	87	55¢	$48	0x446f60…
04-16 20:06:08	btc updown 5m 1776369900	Up	SELL	130	38¢	$49	0x38b9c0…
04-16 20:05:18	btc updown 5m 1776369900	Up	BUY	135	52¢	$70	0xe0c323…
04-16 20:00:08	btc updown 5m 1776369300	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xace50d…
04-16 19:58:26	btc updown 5m 1776369300	Up	SELL	123	57¢	$70	0x168b7b…
04-16 19:56:20	btc updown 5m 1776369300	Up	BUY	128	47¢	$60	0x1206e6…
04-16 19:41:20	btc updown 5m 1776368400	Up	SELL	26	76¢	$19	0x7b30c4…
04-16 19:40:22	btc updown 5m 1776368400	Up	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xb91aaf…
04-16 19:36:06	btc updown 5m 1776368100	Up	SELL	45	72¢	$32	0xd2585b…
04-16 19:35:44	btc updown 5m 1776368100	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xd6cd6c…
04-16 19:32:14	btc updown 5m 1776367800	Up	SELL	19	91¢	$17	0x3b637c…
04-16 19:30:48	btc updown 5m 1776367800	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe182df…
04-16 19:29:02	btc updown 5m 1776367500	Up	SELL	58	80¢	$46	0xf1b027…
04-16 19:26:38	btc updown 5m 1776367500	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xf5c615…
04-16 19:25:18	btc updown 5m 1776367500	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xe40234…
04-16 19:22:58	btc updown 5m 1776367200	Up	SELL	17	40¢	$7	0xde36af…
04-16 19:20:16	btc updown 5m 1776367200	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x90234a…
04-16 19:18:12	btc updown 5m 1776366900	Up	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0x14987d…
04-16 19:16:34	btc updown 5m 1776366900	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xbb1da3…
04-16 19:12:24	mlb sf cin 2026 04 16	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf5f32f…
04-16 19:08:16	btc updown 5m 1776366300	Up	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0xf52299…
04-16 19:07:22	lol bw su 2026 04 16	Bushido Wildcats	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x22dc71…
04-16 19:06:22	btc updown 5m 1776366300	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xdb4ea2…
04-16 19:05:48	btc updown 5m 1776366300	Down	SELL	62	48¢	$30	0x233bc7…
04-16 19:05:16	btc updown 5m 1776366300	Down	BUY	64	55¢	$35	0xeb5f31…
04-16 18:59:20	btc updown 5m 1776366000	Up	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xb1cbba…
04-16 18:59:04	btc updown 5m 1776365700	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8d9a7d…
04-16 18:58:14	btc updown 5m 1776365700	Up	SELL	75	83¢	$62	0x5a60c4…
04-16 18:55:26	btc updown 5m 1776365700	Up	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x1d5a97…
04-16 18:51:08	btc updown 5m 1776365400	Up	SELL	29	75¢	$22	0xbd9551…
04-16 18:50:48	btc updown 5m 1776365400	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x95031e…
04-16 18:48:24	btc updown 5m 1776365100	Down	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x9c5e0c…
04-16 18:48:04	btc updown 5m 1776365100	Down	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x89097f…
04-16 18:46:00	btc updown 5m 1776365100	Up	SELL	37	80¢	$30	0xe3af0c…