Sleepy-Oven — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

38.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$54

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-12

last 06-11 09:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 50% $-5

Other

48% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-10	$-8	92¢	$-9	$-2	06-11 09:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	3	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 01:17
XRP Up or Down on May 12?	6	$8	74	0	+74	Down	$-8	05-12 12:31
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	1	$8	0	10	-10	open	—	06-11 09:42
XRP Up or Down on May 20?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 14:01
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-13 12:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 23?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-23 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	2	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-23 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	2	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	05-18 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?	1	$1	91	0	+91	open	—	05-23 10:02
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-23 13:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 09:42:21	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x16369e…
05-23 13:18:59	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc7709e…
05-23 10:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xb7c029…
05-23 10:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x569a83…
05-23 10:06:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x696ce4…
05-23 10:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?	Up	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x31d83b…
05-20 15:15:45	XRP Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x2f6049…
05-19 16:20:36	XRP Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xff1287…
05-18 10:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x6619b3…
05-18 10:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x17e568…
05-16 01:17:45	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x7efdf0…
05-13 14:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xc6df30…
05-13 12:33:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x55510d…
05-13 12:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb98db7…
05-12 12:31:38	XRP Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x0624c2…
05-12 12:04:50	XRP Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x7c6dec…
05-12 09:47:19	XRP Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x219c6d…
05-12 09:37:27	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xed0b45…
05-12 09:37:17	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xd4d708…
05-12 09:07:27	XRP Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xd379d5…
05-12 09:00:51	XRP Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x774daa…
05-12 08:46:46	XRP Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x6e0f86…