Stingy-Buffer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$973

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 05-09 21:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 61% +$5

Tech

19% — —

Politics

11% 100% +$64

Other

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$185	136	68	+68	open	—	04-25 22:13
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$54	30	30	+0	open	—	04-15 12:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	2	$50	114	0	+114	Yes	+$64	05-02 21:53
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$48	27	27	+0	open	—	04-15 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	7	$48	35	28	+7	Down	$-2	05-09 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	5	$45	29	29	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	9	$43	63	8	+55	Up	+$18	05-09 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	6	$30	42	0	+42	Up	$-5	05-09 19:09
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$30	51	51	+0	open	—	04-12 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$26	19	19	+0	Down	+$6	05-09 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	5	$25	46	0	+46	Down	$-25	05-09 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$25	15	15	+0	Down	+$5	05-09 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$24	15	15	+0	Up	+$4	05-09 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$24	16	16	+0	Up	+$4	05-09 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	3	$20	16	16	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$20	20	20	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	4	$20	28	10	+18	Down	$-10	05-09 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	4	$20	39	0	+39	Up	+$19	05-09 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	3	$20	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	4	$19	21	10	+11	Up	+$0	05-09 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$17	16	16	+0	Down	$-3	05-09 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$17	39	0	+39	Down	$-17	05-09 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$15	30	0	+30	Up	+$15	05-09 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$15	21	0	+21	Up	+$6	05-09 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$15	14	14	+0	Down	$-5	05-09 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$-10	05-09 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$10	16	0	+16	Down	$-10	05-09 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$10	48	0	+48	Down	$-10	05-09 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$10	17	0	+17	Down	+$7	05-09 18:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 21:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xad25e6…
05-09 21:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4103d8…
05-09 21:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x38bdf7…
05-09 21:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x319d0d…
05-09 21:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x80d4ea…
05-09 21:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x75e7d1…
05-09 21:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x005d7e…
05-09 21:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x4c1a91…
05-09 21:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0fe22b…
05-09 21:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xdcfcfe…
05-09 21:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x677529…
05-09 21:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x0235ce…
05-09 21:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd8e728…
05-09 21:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1ea995…
05-09 20:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe59972…
05-09 20:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x84c17f…
05-09 20:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x68f45e…
05-09 20:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x533777…
05-09 20:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x699bc8…
05-09 20:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x5314f2…
05-09 20:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x738018…
05-09 19:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x4f419b…
05-09 19:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x8f8b5b…
05-09 19:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x48f042…
05-09 19:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9e3638…
05-09 19:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe7ec4d…
05-09 19:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x371785…
05-09 19:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc40b2d…
05-09 19:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x46bfd6…
05-09 18:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf56c73…
05-09 18:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe0a5d2…
05-09 18:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x4ba964…
05-09 18:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcb982b…
05-09 18:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x7ba038…
05-09 18:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x300924…
05-09 18:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x13fcbe…
05-09 18:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc29475…
05-09 16:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd47cb2…
05-09 16:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x806639…
05-09 16:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2d5e06…
05-09 16:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb74320…
05-09 16:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1b083b…
05-09 16:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6d18b2…
05-09 16:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x1b1853…
05-09 16:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xfef450…
05-09 16:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc9937f…
05-09 16:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x42ab9d…
05-09 16:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xed4465…
05-09 16:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x97ae1a…
05-09 16:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0xdfa12a…
05-09 16:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x711b88…
05-09 16:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x909343…
05-09 16:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc54ff3…
05-09 16:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	19	87¢	$16	0x50d43c…
05-09 16:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x30087a…
05-09 16:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc2928c…
05-09 16:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xc180fc…
05-09 16:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x623d3a…
05-09 16:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	66¢	$10	0x0bafc6…
05-09 16:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x542b0e…
05-09 16:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x162d29…
05-09 16:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xdba20c…
05-09 16:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x7b4519…
05-09 16:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0xf0257b…
05-09 16:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x703f64…
05-09 16:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa46ae3…
05-09 15:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	47¢	$7	0x9a95c7…
05-09 15:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xee9015…
05-09 15:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x2b58ba…
05-09 15:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	28¢	$4	0xb78638…
05-09 15:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x2a581b…
05-09 15:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0x1f88f9…
05-09 15:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x061237…
05-09 15:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa0c1b8…
05-09 15:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x5634df…
05-09 15:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x2c238e…
05-09 15:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x0688c4…
05-09 15:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd2b925…
05-09 15:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x5312fd…
05-09 15:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb813ec…
05-09 14:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x7967f0…
05-09 14:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe380de…
05-09 14:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	16	83¢	$14	0x5024d8…
05-09 14:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x143b04…
05-09 14:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd54eb3…
05-09 12:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe88aaa…
05-09 12:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xf79ad6…
05-09 12:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x6a4291…
05-09 12:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	29	88¢	$25	0x546ef3…
05-09 12:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x984d48…
05-09 12:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x9ac248…
05-09 12:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xcd27b5…
05-09 12:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5dfac0…
05-09 12:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc2a08a…
05-09 12:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0x3651b8…
05-09 12:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf1062a…
05-09 12:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xcbe7fa…
05-09 12:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0x56e18d…
05-09 12:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x226962…
05-09 12:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x1cf31c…