Warm-Glen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

108

lifetime

Volume

$23.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$218

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 04-18 03:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% 0% $-1

Sports

38% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Politics

5% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	6	$1.7K	836	836	+0	open	—	04-08 18:42
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.2K	591	591	+0	open	—	04-10 13:59
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	4	$1.2K	586	586	+0	open	—	03-19 09:57
will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of march	4	$1.2K	585	585	+0	open	—	03-28 22:20
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$1.1K	570	570	+0	open	—	04-17 08:24
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.1K	548	548	+0	open	—	03-29 14:29
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	6	$1.1K	544	544	+0	open	—	04-06 05:20
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	4	$928	464	464	+0	open	—	03-15 21:59
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$674	338	338	+0	open	—	02-13 15:06
Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$668	335	335	+0	open	—	02-11 20:58
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$666	334	334	+0	open	—	03-22 09:02
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$662	332	332	+0	open	—	03-20 00:06
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$654	328	328	+0	open	—	03-31 10:53
will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	2	$652	326	326	+0	open	—	03-27 09:01
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$642	322	322	+0	open	—	03-24 03:30
Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$634	318	318	+0	open	—	02-28 10:42
Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$626	313	313	+0	open	—	02-15 23:18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$624	313	313	+0	open	—	04-03 08:06
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$600	301	301	+0	open	—	02-18 00:15
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$598	300	300	+0	open	—	04-18 03:27
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$576	289	289	+0	No	$-0	04-05 13:39
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$565	285	285	+0	open	—	04-08 12:16
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$548	274	274	+0	open	—	03-06 13:12
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$544	272	272	+0	open	—	03-18 19:55
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$536	268	268	+0	open	—	03-17 01:53
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$518	260	260	+0	open	—	02-27 11:52
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$508	254	254	+0	open	—	03-21 11:32
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$484	242	242	+0	open	—	04-13 13:15
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$474	238	238	+0	No	$-0	04-01 12:58
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$454	227	227	+0	No	$-0	04-05 05:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-18 03:27:52	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0x917b2e…
04-18 00:36:54	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x0d201f…
04-17 08:24:26	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	287	100¢	$287	0xe284f0…
04-17 05:08:16	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	287	100¢	$287	0xe1e003…
04-13 13:15:07	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	242	100¢	$242	0xd3dccb…
04-13 10:40:33	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	242	100¢	$242	0xbac668…
04-10 13:59:07	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	308	100¢	$307	0x9e3c23…
04-10 12:12:59	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	308	100¢	$307	0xdb717e…
04-08 18:42:33	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	243	100¢	$243	0x11fbfe…
04-08 12:16:39	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0x7e5726…
04-08 12:16:19	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	285	99¢	$282	0x2177b2…
04-08 06:39:39	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x2c41a7…
04-08 06:38:53	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x85ac8a…
04-08 06:37:45	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	220	99¢	$218	0xea2e10…
04-08 01:21:51	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	282	100¢	$282	0x5f523c…
04-07 21:54:01	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	282	100¢	$282	0xf3e878…
04-06 05:20:29	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	296	100¢	$296	0x3766e7…
04-06 04:16:37	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	296	100¢	$296	0xe6e290…
04-05 13:39:57	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	289	100¢	$288	0x169b1b…
04-05 09:42:07	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	289	100¢	$288	0x40bcdc…
04-05 05:57:05	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0xb829c3…
04-05 04:18:41	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	227	100¢	$227	0x0ec4a5…
04-03 08:06:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	313	99¢	$312	0x6243e6…
04-03 04:02:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	313	100¢	$312	0x2522fa…
04-02 23:13:41	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	279	100¢	$278	0xbf6c7e…
04-02 18:11:53	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	279	100¢	$278	0x82b345…
04-01 12:58:23	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	238	100¢	$237	0x38eaba…
04-01 02:41:13	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	238	100¢	$237	0x46fe1d…
03-31 14:40:33	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x60e843…
03-31 10:53:27	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	328	100¢	$327	0xf0ab78…
03-31 06:47:25	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	328	100¢	$327	0x418fd2…
03-29 14:29:04	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	319	100¢	$318	0xb3964c…
03-29 10:39:22	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	319	100¢	$318	0xb5872e…
03-28 22:20:12	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of march	No	SELL	279	100¢	$278	0x52938a…
03-28 18:35:57	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of march	No	BUY	279	100¢	$278	0x998106…
03-28 11:15:33	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of march	No	SELL	307	100¢	$306	0xa937d0…
03-28 07:27:33	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of march	No	BUY	307	100¢	$306	0x85c8fc…
03-27 09:01:13	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	SELL	326	100¢	$326	0x523c9a…
03-27 02:01:01	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	326	100¢	$326	0x25038e…
03-25 08:03:41	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	229	100¢	$228	0x9a961e…
03-25 00:57:21	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	229	100¢	$228	0x85b0d0…
03-24 03:30:21	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	322	100¢	$321	0x5cdbdb…
03-23 20:27:09	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	322	100¢	$321	0x91b067…
03-22 23:08:07	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	284	100¢	$283	0xe48188…
03-22 16:06:55	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	284	100¢	$283	0xbcde01…
03-22 09:02:19	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	334	100¢	$333	0x0327e2…
03-22 02:04:39	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	334	100¢	$333	0xe62ab5…
03-21 11:32:57	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	254	100¢	$254	0xaf73d8…
03-21 04:23:23	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	254	100¢	$254	0x118d96…
03-20 00:06:17	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	332	100¢	$331	0x56464b…
03-19 17:01:09	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	332	100¢	$331	0x28fbaf…
03-19 09:57:39	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	280	100¢	$279	0x2dee71…
03-19 02:58:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	280	100¢	$279	0xc5bede…
03-18 19:55:01	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	272	100¢	$272	0x959dd3…
03-18 12:44:39	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	272	100¢	$272	0x9d5e39…
03-17 15:40:05	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	307	100¢	$306	0xe67d8b…
03-17 08:45:15	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	307	100¢	$306	0x9fdc7a…
03-17 01:53:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	268	100¢	$268	0xc12378…
03-16 18:57:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	268	100¢	$268	0x3c6096…
03-15 21:59:09	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	235	100¢	$235	0x2d66b7…
03-15 15:04:03	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	235	100¢	$235	0xcd11b7…
03-14 04:37:53	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	229	100¢	$229	0x08cbbb…
03-13 21:46:59	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0x3a5a93…
03-12 22:07:31	nba den sas 2026 03 12	Spurs	BUY	54	63¢	$34	0x92b514…
03-12 22:06:59	nba was orl 2026 03 12	Magic	BUY	43	89¢	$38	0x1b3e64…
03-12 22:06:29	nba dal mem 2026 03 12	Grizzlies	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0xe47533…
03-12 03:39:21	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	297	100¢	$297	0x4e4515…
03-10 18:17:31	nba chi gsw 2026 03 10	Bulls	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xeadfc0…
03-10 18:17:03	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	76ers	BUY	53	59¢	$31	0x459a67…
03-10 18:16:33	nba ind sac 2026 03 10	Pacers	BUY	34	42¢	$14	0x3e9eee…
03-08 19:23:29	nba hou sas 2026 03 08	Spurs	BUY	43	67¢	$29	0x846343…
03-08 19:22:55	nba chi sac 2026 03 08	Bulls	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xac423f…
03-07 11:08:59	nba gsw okc 2026 03 07	Thunder	BUY	49	87¢	$43	0x6bddf1…
03-06 13:12:27	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	274	100¢	$274	0x1ef478…
03-06 05:29:09	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	274	100¢	$274	0xfe9893…
03-05 19:42:41	nba gsw hou 2026 03 05	Warriors	BUY	37	25¢	$9	0x3b87ca…
03-05 19:42:15	nba bkn mia 2026 03 05	Heat	BUY	51	87¢	$44	0xd8d449…
03-05 19:41:37	nba chi phx 2026 03 05	Suns	BUY	47	82¢	$38	0x26cb99…
03-03 20:28:59	nba okc chi 2026 03 03	Thunder	BUY	54	77¢	$42	0x2bd16c…
03-03 10:23:31	nba mem min 2026 03 03	Timberwolves	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xb6e10d…
03-03 02:34:47	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	248	100¢	$247	0x13c18e…
03-03 00:07:01	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$43	0x172242…
03-02 23:48:05	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0x04da08…
03-02 23:37:31	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb0de9b…
02-28 10:44:05	bitcoin above 68k on february 28	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xb24007…
02-28 10:43:43	ethereum above 2000 on february 28	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x1a4ce7…
02-28 10:43:17	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xc525e4…
02-28 10:42:59	Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	318	100¢	$317	0x7c7cf8…
02-28 04:47:09	Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x60ffb2…
02-28 03:50:25	Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	281	100¢	$280	0xd75500…
02-28 02:56:43	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	314	100¢	$313	0xef70f2…
02-27 19:15:29	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	314	100¢	$313	0x17c940…
02-27 11:52:07	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	260	100¢	$259	0xac3f4a…
02-27 03:15:44	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0xce74e4…
02-25 00:56:18	nba phi ind 2026 02 24	Pacers	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6562e2…
02-25 00:56:08	nba phi ind 2026 02 24	Pacers	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf0f178…
02-25 00:55:42	nba gsw nop 2026 02 24	Pelicans	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x98a0d9…
02-25 00:55:12	nba bos phx 2026 02 24	Celtics	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x542f62…
02-21 23:24:28	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xe3613c…
02-20 23:12:12	Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	340	100¢	$340	0x5b26fa…