Realized P&L
-$38
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
32.3%
Resolved
27
Trades
47
lifetime
Volume
$237
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$64
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-26 18:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Politics
78% 22% -$32
Other
20% 12% -$1
Sports
2% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +51 $45 90¢ $45 +$0 10-26 18:56
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 No +79 $15 8¢ $6 -$9 10-16 07:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +8 $5 72¢ $5 +$0 07-07 14:15
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? Yes +19 $5 26¢ $5 $0 10-25 14:48
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? Yes +29 $2 5¢ $1 -$1 10-25 14:48
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 Yes +19 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 08-01 18:45