Deficient-Coal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 08-06 20:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 71% +$39

Other

23% — —

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$80	136	0	+136	open	—	07-19 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$77	52	52	+0	Up	+$27	05-06 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$73	51	51	+0	Up	+$23	05-06 08:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$72	52	52	+0	Down	+$22	05-05 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$72	49	49	+0	open	—	04-30 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$69	45	45	+0	open	—	04-30 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$65	40	40	+0	open	—	04-30 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$63	42	42	+0	open	—	04-30 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$60	64	64	+0	Up	+$10	05-06 08:25
will trump say hell during his executive order signing 20260803134026615	2	$59	39	39	+0	open	—	08-03 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	2	$56	32	32	+0	open	—	05-01 10:11
will palantir say insurance during earnings call 20260730163530768	1	$30	61	0	+61	open	—	08-03 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$30	52	0	+52	open	—	04-30 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	open	—	04-30 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	Up	$-25	05-06 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$25	78	0	+78	open	—	04-30 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	open	—	04-30 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$25	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	04-30 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	open	—	04-30 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$25	56	0	+56	open	—	04-30 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$25	53	0	+53	open	—	05-01 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$25	47	0	+47	open	—	04-30 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$25	43	0	+43	open	—	04-30 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$25	47	0	+47	open	—	04-30 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	open	—	04-30 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$25	32	0	+32	Up	+$7	05-06 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$25	45	0	+45	Down	$-25	05-05 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$25	90	0	+90	open	—	04-30 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	1	$25	35	0	+35	open	—	04-30 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$25	40	0	+40	open	—	04-30 15:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 20:44:41	will trump say bitcoin or crypto or cryptocurrency during tele rally 20260806153758785	Yes	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0x51e6e8…
08-06 20:44:06	will trump say obama during tele rally 20260806153758776	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x733f29…
08-03 18:49:38	will trump say hell during his executive order signing 20260803134026615	Yes	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x5a5d1a…
08-03 17:38:54	will palantir say insurance during earnings call 20260730163530768	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xd69eed…
08-03 17:38:24	will palantir say apollo during earnings call 20260730163530764	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xff2f76…
08-03 17:03:35	will trump say hell during his executive order signing 20260803134026615	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x5a3f1d…
08-03 17:01:44	will trump say obliterated or obliteration during his executive order signing 20260803134026616	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x5c5d87…
08-03 17:01:29	will trump say peace during his executive order signing 20260803134026619	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xe4a950…
08-02 10:28:02	will anyone say bastard during house of the dragon e7 s3 20260727205600953	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x3c3799…
08-02 10:20:29	rlnrl bri new 2026 08 01	Newcastle Knights	SELL	27	52¢	$14	0xc27d3b…
08-01 08:26:33	btc updown 5m 1785572700	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc93d27…
08-01 08:08:54	rlnrl bri new 2026 08 01	Newcastle Knights	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x7aad60…
08-01 07:59:44	itf andrees ferrari 2026 08 01	Francesco Ferrari	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x1e6b4d…
07-31 18:40:18	will mrbeast say dream during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829411	Yes	BUY	106	9¢	$10	0x7533df…
07-31 18:36:47	will mrbeast say trap during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829401	Yes	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0xe4d845…
07-30 19:31:00	will amazon say middle east during earnings call 20260728011934943	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xf7ae32…
07-30 19:30:09	will amazon say income 10 times during earnings call 20260728011934939	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xb0e321…
07-30 19:21:21	will apple say icloud during earnings call 20260727155548212	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x66a1b1…
07-30 19:20:57	will apple say apple pay during earnings call 20260727155548222	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xef81f9…
07-30 19:20:21	will apple say widget during earnings call 20260727155548230	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x0a50ff…
07-29 21:49:02	btc updown 5m 1785361800	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x33b38a…
07-29 21:40:44	will anyone say evict during big brother e11 20260727163226880	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xc5bbac…
07-29 16:14:12	will warsh say north star during july press conference 20260720204109036	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x4d2410…
07-29 16:09:54	will warsh say task force 20 times during july press conference 20260720204109030	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x99954f…
07-29 16:06:17	will warsh say innovation during july press conference 20260728013723475	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x17de80…
07-29 16:05:05	will warsh say projection during july press conference 20260720204109048	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xf5c4fa…
07-29 16:01:20	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x5c6f96…
07-29 15:59:29	will warsh say pandemic during july press conference 20260720204109058 487	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xc8ff43…
07-29 15:58:42	will warsh say dollar during july press conference 20260720204109050	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x2d9cd3…
07-19 18:55:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	136	59¢	$80	0x01c504…
05-06 10:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xe944d3…
05-06 09:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x42814d…
05-06 08:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xa418cc…
05-06 08:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x4fec5a…
05-06 08:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0x84a34b…
05-06 08:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x6f0c7f…
05-06 08:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	64	54¢	$35	0xead2b4…
05-06 08:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x5c31e1…
05-05 09:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x12f2d1…
05-05 09:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	52	90¢	$47	0x3379ca…
05-05 09:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xcc2631…
05-01 10:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0xde9eca…
05-01 10:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xfab990…
05-01 05:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x2b81f9…
04-30 20:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x39c538…
04-30 20:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	42	91¢	$38	0xa321cf…
04-30 20:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x5bac5b…
04-30 17:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xf2e2ab…
04-30 16:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x254c4d…
04-30 16:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x902742…
04-30 16:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x1cdbd1…
04-30 15:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x4e819d…
04-30 15:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	90	28¢	$25	0xb3c029…
04-30 15:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x194a3b…
04-30 14:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x1f1d4e…
04-30 14:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x93fb73…
04-30 12:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x85fa4d…
04-30 12:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xc449d6…
04-30 12:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xa20959…
04-30 11:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xaaefaa…
04-30 10:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x6ba472…
04-30 10:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x35327c…
04-30 09:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x784362…
04-30 09:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x14fee6…
04-30 09:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xa6a414…
04-30 08:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0x7a4c3d…
04-30 08:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x0c5954…
04-30 08:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x76decc…
04-30 08:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x01343e…
04-30 08:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x299a25…
04-30 08:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x9a363e…
04-30 08:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x518416…
04-30 08:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x4ea2f4…
04-30 08:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x3bf930…
04-30 08:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x5816d1…
04-25 08:16:56	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xde2de2…
04-25 08:14:54	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0c6f2c…