Average-Carotene — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$140

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$56

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 06-15 02:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

91% — —

Other

6% — —

Politics

2% 67% $-1

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No		+31	$29	93¢	$29	$-0	06-15 02:57
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No		+29	$26	92¢	$27	+$0	06-15 02:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$68	46	46	+0	open	—	06-15 02:56
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	1	$29	31	0	+31	open	—	06-15 02:57
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$26	29	0	+29	open	—	06-15 02:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	3	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-28 13:55
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	02-28 17:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	$-1	05-06 00:18
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-06 00:18
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-30 06:45
Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-30 06:45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-06 00:18
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$1	1	0	+1	Pistons	+$0	05-06 00:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 02:57:58	Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	29	91¢	$26	0x087ed3…
06-15 02:57:46	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x82455d…
06-15 02:56:24	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	80¢	$37	0x89d506…
05-28 16:06:42	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	68¢	$31	0x7e06a8…
05-28 13:55:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x40ff6f…
05-06 00:18:42	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xba2d56…
05-06 00:18:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x54ea0c…
05-06 00:18:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4ae13d…
05-06 00:18:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x81e405…
05-06 00:17:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x36e3e7…
05-06 00:17:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa33dd0…
02-28 17:57:29	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x4d45d2…
01-30 06:45:56	Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x42cf45…
01-30 06:45:46	Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1b180c…