Rough-Lacquerware — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$17.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$407

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-09 07:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 33% $-4

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 4?	1	$2.1K	2,088	0	+2,088	No	+$4	05-05 01:59
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 4?	1	$2.1K	2,084	0	+2,084	open	—	05-04 06:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 3?	1	$2.1K	2,078	0	+2,078	open	—	05-04 01:21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	1	$2.1K	2,075	0	+2,075	open	—	05-03 06:29
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?	1	$2.1K	2,068	0	+2,068	open	—	05-03 01:53
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 2?	1	$2.1K	2,061	0	+2,061	open	—	05-02 08:55
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 6	1	$1.1K	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	01-06 03:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 5	1	$1.1K	1,074	0	+1,074	open	—	01-05 03:27
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 4	1	$1.1K	1,073	0	+1,073	open	—	01-04 03:09
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3400 on january 3	1	$1.1K	1,072	0	+1,072	open	—	01-03 07:44
ethereum above 3300 on january 2	1	$1.1K	1,071	0	+1,071	open	—	01-02 02:19
amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	06-09 07:09
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 09:28
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-23 09:24
bitcoin above 64k on march 27	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-26 05:01
bitcoin above 64k on march 13	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	03-12 01:59
will bitcoin dip to 60k march 2 8	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	03-07 13:13
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	05-20 07:28
will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 20	6	$6	6,462	0	+6,462	open	—	01-20 02:41
will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-24 05:15
bitcoin above 76k on february 7	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	02-06 06:51
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 7?	2	$4	2,114	0	+2,114	Yes	$-4	05-07 07:59
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 30?	3	$4	2,105	0	+2,105	open	—	05-01 01:57
xrp above 1pt2 on april 22	1	$4	2,080	0	+2,080	open	—	04-22 08:39
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?	1	$4	2,077	0	+2,077	No	$-4	05-12 12:12
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 27?	1	$4	2,076	0	+2,076	open	—	04-27 09:43
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 15?	1	$4	2,073	0	+2,073	open	—	05-16 02:51
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-16 03:34
trump out as president by march 31	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	02-11 03:10
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 29	1	$1	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	01-29 06:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 07:09:18	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdb3249…
05-20 07:28:18	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xa85067…
05-16 02:51:28	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2,073	0¢	$4	0xafeddb…
05-12 12:12:08	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	2,077	0¢	$4	0xf24059…
05-07 07:59:34	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 7?	No	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0xe306e0…
05-07 07:57:15	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 7?	No	BUY	2,079	0¢	$4	0xf3fe77…
05-05 01:59:28	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 4?	No	BUY	2,088	100¢	$2,083	0x7edfc7…
05-04 06:57:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	2,084	100¢	$2,078	0xdaeb2c…
05-04 01:21:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	2,078	100¢	$2,074	0x6ad486…
05-03 06:29:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	2,075	100¢	$2,069	0x890d15…
05-03 01:53:04	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	2,068	100¢	$2,064	0x54be92…
05-02 08:55:10	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 2?	No	BUY	2,061	100¢	$2,057	0x5089e3…
05-01 01:57:30	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x9c8e44…
05-01 01:57:26	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xeef2aa…
05-01 01:56:54	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,083	0¢	$4	0x1eaddf…
04-27 09:43:14	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2,076	0¢	$4	0xe7902e…
04-22 08:39:38	xrp above 1pt2 on april 22	No	BUY	2,080	0¢	$4	0xd70ebc…
04-16 03:34:26	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc0190b…
03-26 05:01:49	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x660084…
03-12 01:59:11	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0x701cf9…
03-07 13:13:17	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 2 8	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xe4e8f8…
02-24 05:15:36	will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x18d2df…
02-11 03:10:17	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xcc7845…
02-06 06:51:45	bitcoin above 76k on february 7	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf9a7ec…
02-02 12:18:56	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc831a9…
01-31 07:59:50	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcf0f96…
01-30 05:51:54	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd117ae…
01-29 06:44:42	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 29	Yes	BUY	1,075	0¢	$1	0x0e0469…
01-27 09:28:51	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbc444f…
01-26 11:34:09	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x059cfb…
01-25 03:36:30	xrp above 2pt5 on january 25	Yes	BUY	1,066	0¢	$1	0x54ce85…
01-23 09:24:06	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x47bc74…
01-20 02:41:56	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 20	Yes	BUY	1,066	0¢	$1	0xb4e5fb…
01-20 02:40:46	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 20	Yes	BUY	1,073	0¢	$1	0xa01807…
01-20 02:39:46	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 20	Yes	BUY	1,063	0¢	$1	0xa9c0ca…
01-20 02:38:30	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 20	Yes	BUY	1,085	0¢	$1	0x72d0a9…
01-20 02:37:32	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 20	Yes	BUY	1,087	0¢	$1	0x8eb41f…
01-20 02:36:14	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 20	Yes	BUY	1,088	0¢	$1	0x5ab393…
01-19 12:42:00	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa52ca1…
01-06 03:27:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 6	No	BUY	1,075	100¢	$1,074	0x7593ff…
01-05 03:27:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 5	No	BUY	1,074	100¢	$1,073	0xe25906…
01-04 03:09:49	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 4	No	BUY	1,073	100¢	$1,072	0x45f44b…
01-03 07:44:05	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3400 on january 3	No	BUY	1,072	100¢	$1,071	0x6c03f4…
01-02 02:19:03	ethereum above 3300 on january 2	No	BUY	1,071	100¢	$1,070	0xeaa8e2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Agreeable-Graduate 0x970d…f67d	32	$15.9K	33	06-09 07:10
Rural-Pseudocode 0xbaf0…6d89	32	$13.7K	40	06-09 07:09
Meaty-Goodwill 0x5abd…e19b	30	$15.8K	33	06-09 07:10
Proper-Clove 0xef22…a853	28	$10.5K	36	06-09 07:09
Old-Fashioned-Neighbourhood 0x0ca4…579d	27	$9.58K	32	06-09 07:10
Sympathetic-Breath 0xda67…2d6d	26	$7.54K	28	06-09 07:10
(anonymous) 0x5355…ddea	26	$7.53K	28	06-09 07:10
Tidy-Excuse 0xe090…c298	25	$8.40K	34	06-09 07:09