Elliptical-Marksman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.8%

Resolved

Trades

575

lifetime

Volume

$663

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 05-09 15:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 74% $-1

Other

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-12 18:18
eth updown 5m 1775842800	5	$8	11	10	+1	open	—	04-10 17:45
eth updown 5m 1775846100	4	$8	8	7	+1	open	—	04-10 18:39
eth updown 5m 1776105600	3	$8	7	5	+3	open	—	04-13 18:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	5	$7	6	3	+3	open	—	05-03 18:04
eth updown 5m 1775841300	4	$7	8	7	+0	open	—	04-10 17:17
eth updown 5m 1775841600	6	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	04-10 17:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	3	$6	5	2	+3	Down	+$1	05-06 05:34
eth updown 5m 1776414300	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-17 08:29
eth updown 5m 1775842500	5	$6	6	5	+1	open	—	04-10 17:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$5	9	8	+1	open	—	05-03 17:54
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	3	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-17 19:31
eth updown 5m 1775565900	4	$5	5	4	+0	open	—	04-07 12:49
eth updown 15m 1775594700	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-07 20:55
eth updown 15m 1775573100	2	$5	10	9	+1	open	—	04-07 14:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 19:05
eth updown 5m 1775633100	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-08 07:28
eth updown 5m 1775139000	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-02 14:15
eth updown 5m 1775565300	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-07 12:40
eth updown 5m 1775154900	4	$5	4	3	+0	open	—	04-02 18:40
eth updown 15m 1775108700	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-02 06:01
eth updown 5m 1776958800	3	$5	4	3	+1	open	—	04-23 15:44
eth updown 5m 1776106500	4	$5	6	3	+4	open	—	04-13 18:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 13:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-03 06:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 19:34
eth updown 5m 1776110100	4	$4	5	1	+4	open	—	04-13 19:57
eth updown 5m 1776878100	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-22 17:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-03 10:15
eth updown 15m 1775114100	4	$4	7	6	+0	open	—	04-02 07:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 15:04:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x29c045…
05-09 14:59:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb7d651…
05-09 14:47:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcd6dab…
05-08 17:20:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1e14e9…
05-08 17:19:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x74db7b…
05-08 17:17:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x770d56…
05-06 13:24:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x299087…
05-06 13:23:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x44ce43…
05-06 13:23:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xdeab46…
05-06 13:20:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf09414…
05-06 13:19:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x72a195…
05-06 13:17:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0ce9f3…
05-06 13:17:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	30¢	$0	0x248dcf…
05-06 13:16:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xae922f…
05-06 13:14:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8b3ded…
05-06 11:22:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8b071e…
05-06 11:21:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6c53bb…
05-06 11:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x9c8b6c…
05-06 11:09:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x8407e3…
05-06 11:08:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xe197d1…
05-06 11:06:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcedd99…
05-06 11:05:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcb9060…
05-06 11:02:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x49c6c8…
05-06 10:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcc086d…
05-06 10:57:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xac2e17…
05-06 06:24:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xc377b5…
05-06 06:23:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6ccd84…
05-06 05:35:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x350b97…
05-06 05:34:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xe6ba0f…
05-06 05:33:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x301345…
05-06 05:31:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xd5c9d1…
05-05 19:40:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa2b79b…
05-05 19:36:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5f021b…
05-05 19:34:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5ce290…
05-05 19:32:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x64f00c…
05-05 19:32:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x3d7fd2…
05-05 19:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x116335…
05-05 19:29:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0xe5abad…
05-05 19:26:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2c99c8…
05-05 19:24:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x01f830…
05-05 19:17:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8579d0…
05-05 19:17:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc68b25…
05-05 19:17:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x021edb…
05-05 19:14:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x941a3c…
05-05 19:12:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x8810fa…
05-05 19:10:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x362eeb…
05-05 19:08:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x28d085…
05-05 19:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x352a17…
05-05 19:04:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfb6d34…
05-05 19:02:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x004886…
05-05 18:54:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xba1443…
05-05 18:48:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf2053c…
05-04 15:20:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf972f9…
05-04 15:19:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x833e9e…
05-04 15:19:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x70df7c…
05-04 15:18:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xbba9ae…
05-04 15:15:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x97a9ea…
05-04 15:05:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x201fa7…
05-04 15:04:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xd2ab30…
05-04 15:04:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x04731b…
05-04 06:23:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe33530…
05-04 06:22:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x52fb4b…
05-04 06:20:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x14546e…
05-04 06:18:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x827661…
05-04 06:17:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xfe7284…
05-04 06:16:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x6f8644…
05-04 06:15:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x18f3c3…
05-03 18:06:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1f8866…
05-03 18:04:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd4e231…
05-03 18:04:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x800a2c…
05-03 18:03:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2a9717…
05-03 18:03:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xa32896…
05-03 18:01:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbc48dc…
05-03 17:59:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe3bf55…
05-03 17:58:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xe1bb82…
05-03 17:57:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd9e701…
05-03 17:54:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x420c5e…
05-03 17:54:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0xc7778e…
05-03 17:51:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x929004…
05-03 17:46:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa129b0…
05-03 17:44:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1e75b4…
05-03 17:44:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0x166044…
05-03 17:41:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x9448b2…
05-03 17:39:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x6950d9…
05-03 17:38:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb83de7…
05-03 16:28:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe6b423…
05-03 16:26:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x15821d…
05-03 15:38:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe5a47e…
05-03 15:17:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xeba637…
05-03 12:29:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x89fb63…
05-03 12:27:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x06c2f9…
05-03 10:23:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd09b78…
05-03 10:17:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xa296d0…
05-03 10:16:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4222f5…
05-03 10:15:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0ffdaa…
05-03 10:14:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd57b17…
05-03 10:14:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xfed2ae…
05-03 10:13:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x731a7e…
05-03 10:09:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe51ebc…
05-03 10:06:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x287c20…