Loyal-Trousers — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.9%

Resolved

Trades

103

lifetime

Volume

$18.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$177

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 06-24 09:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

43% 100% +$1

Other

42% 0% $-1

Politics

7% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	6	$1.3K	671	671	+0	No	$-1	04-19 20:07
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	7	$1.2K	590	590	+0	open	—	02-25 01:00
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	4	$896	450	450	+0	open	—	04-20 06:11
Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$620	310	310	+0	open	—	02-11 21:05
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$584	292	292	+0	open	—	02-10 00:27
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 580plus	2	$547	275	275	+0	open	—	03-01 15:42
Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$508	254	254	+0	open	—	02-26 06:14
will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$506	265	265	+0	open	—	03-02 05:59
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$502	252	252	+0	open	—	03-16 10:09
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$496	248	248	+0	open	—	02-28 01:11
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$488	244	244	+0	open	—	02-14 12:38
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$486	243	243	+0	open	—	03-18 02:07
Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$478	239	239	+0	open	—	02-12 18:56
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$470	235	235	+0	open	—	03-02 22:05
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$464	232	232	+0	open	—	02-11 15:56
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	2	$456	229	229	+0	open	—	04-15 14:51
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$450	225	225	+0	open	—	03-12 19:26
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$442	222	222	+0	open	—	03-25 07:11
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$430	215	215	+0	open	—	02-16 00:57
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$430	216	216	+0	open	—	03-23 04:17
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$426	213	213	+0	open	—	03-02 12:42
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	2	$422	212	212	+0	open	—	03-03 04:51
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$420	210	210	+0	open	—	03-15 14:13
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$400	200	200	+0	No	$-0	03-18 15:34
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$390	195	195	+0	open	—	02-28 10:05
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$380	190	190	+0	open	—	03-24 05:30
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$376	188	188	+0	open	—	03-22 03:12
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$374	187	187	+0	open	—	03-21 04:37
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$366	184	184	+0	open	—	04-04 19:44
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$364	183	183	+0	open	—	03-28 20:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 09:13:53	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3c6aab…
06-24 09:13:29	will wti reach 150 in june 2026 555	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x9d237c…
06-24 09:13:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x1d9b3a…
04-22 15:14:32	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	207	99¢	$206	0x2b46b6…
04-22 01:35:12	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0x4c413c…
04-21 17:43:56	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xdbabae…
04-20 06:11:22	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	215	99¢	$214	0x0b196d…
04-20 02:28:34	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$214	0x993abd…
04-19 20:07:08	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	246	100¢	$246	0x63e68d…
04-19 14:11:54	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	246	100¢	$246	0xd21a3a…
04-15 14:51:12	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	229	99¢	$228	0xe1999e…
04-15 10:35:06	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	229	100¢	$228	0x8860ce…
04-13 12:05:29	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0xf716b3…
04-13 05:35:57	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x19dee7…
04-12 09:56:41	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	235	100¢	$234	0x64db34…
04-12 08:19:59	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	235	100¢	$234	0x500f22…
04-05 17:43:41	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x851b10…
04-05 11:05:35	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x244596…
04-04 19:44:37	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	184	99¢	$183	0xa0e489…
04-04 12:25:19	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$183	0x190605…
04-02 08:37:11	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$179	0x77a73b…
04-02 07:04:27	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$179	0xdb97c5…
04-01 13:31:43	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	225	100¢	$224	0x780ada…
04-01 09:06:43	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$224	0x7845e3…
04-01 01:35:43	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	152	100¢	$151	0x82a12f…
03-31 21:20:07	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$151	0x8d7691…
03-31 13:37:53	Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x822148…
03-31 09:23:49	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3f0a6…
03-30 13:54:43	will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd64e12…
03-28 20:51:04	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	183	100¢	$182	0x896863…
03-28 11:56:23	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	183	100¢	$182	0x8728b6…
03-25 07:11:19	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	222	100¢	$221	0x042c6e…
03-25 03:41:57	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	222	100¢	$221	0xbe1f38…
03-24 05:30:17	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0xbea994…
03-23 23:10:51	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x1516c6…
03-23 04:17:19	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	216	100¢	$215	0x752655…
03-22 22:00:47	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	216	100¢	$215	0x8ceb38…
03-22 03:12:25	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	188	100¢	$188	0x631ecc…
03-21 20:33:01	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0x311585…
03-21 04:37:55	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	SELL	187	100¢	$187	0x3b0807…
03-20 21:50:43	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0x1986e2…
03-18 15:34:03	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xb677c2…
03-18 08:49:13	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x8acdd4…
03-18 02:07:41	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	243	100¢	$243	0xfafc89…
03-17 19:22:29	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0x118009…
03-16 10:09:19	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	252	100¢	$251	0x8ee2d3…
03-16 03:37:37	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	252	100¢	$251	0xbe4f65…
03-15 14:13:51	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0x898489…
03-15 07:41:27	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0xe8a09a…
03-12 19:26:43	nba den sas 2026 03 12	Nuggets	BUY	45	37¢	$17	0x31ca7a…
03-12 19:26:27	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	225	100¢	$225	0x788893…
03-12 17:56:31	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0x6bed38…
03-10 15:55:25	nba det bkn 2026 03 10	Nets	BUY	37	11¢	$4	0x91fbec…
03-08 22:19:07	will bitcoin dip to 61500 on march 8	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x17cc8f…
03-07 13:45:15	will ethereum reach 2600 march 2 8	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x4c8152…
03-04 16:51:27	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	167	100¢	$167	0x9efcb1…
03-04 09:49:27	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x46c020…
03-03 23:30:57	nba phx sac 2026 03 03	Kings	BUY	28	24¢	$7	0x9739a3…
03-03 23:30:29	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Magic	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x27d278…
03-03 23:30:03	nba dal cha 2026 03 03	Mavericks	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0x6e2438…
03-03 13:13:39	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Wizards	BUY	33	11¢	$4	0xa7afb4…
03-03 13:13:11	nba phx sac 2026 03 03	Kings	BUY	37	21¢	$8	0xa64411…
03-03 13:12:39	nba nop lal 2026 03 03	Pelicans	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x5eff6f…
03-03 04:51:35	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	212	100¢	$211	0x5f1a47…
03-02 22:05:17	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	212	100¢	$211	0xcd9a58…
03-02 22:05:01	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	235	100¢	$235	0xd18144…
03-02 12:43:15	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	235	100¢	$235	0x3b8521…
03-02 12:42:57	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	213	100¢	$213	0x008457…
03-02 06:00:25	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0x132e11…
03-02 05:59:53	will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	265	91¢	$242	0x321122…
03-01 15:43:13	will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	265	100¢	$264	0x4040c1…
03-01 15:42:51	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 580plus	No	SELL	275	100¢	$273	0x6f350b…
03-01 03:45:59	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 580plus	No	BUY	275	100¢	$274	0xe9fa2a…
02-28 16:59:57	will bnb reach 800 in february	No	SELL	151	100¢	$151	0x44ea60…
02-28 10:05:37	will bnb reach 800 in february	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0xa1e0fc…
02-28 10:05:23	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0x1fe373…
02-28 01:11:59	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0xb0924b…
02-28 01:11:43	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	248	100¢	$248	0x7dad1e…
02-27 17:57:31	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	248	100¢	$248	0xefa7a2…
02-26 06:14:00	Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	254	100¢	$254	0x61abd6…
02-25 15:02:36	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xdddc51…
02-25 15:02:16	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfc69d4…
02-25 15:01:54	Fabric FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xe448f8…
02-25 13:33:18	Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	254	100¢	$254	0x9d2423…
02-25 01:00:36	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	288	100¢	$287	0x167f5f…
02-24 16:45:18	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x2c6776…
02-24 16:33:18	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xf8c3d1…
02-24 15:34:20	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x9eb0b7…
02-24 14:31:06	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x725031…
02-16 00:57:25	Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	215	100¢	$215	0x379c4f…
02-14 21:58:07	Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0x2639a8…
02-14 12:38:01	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	244	100¢	$244	0xde8e37…
02-13 16:25:47	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	244	100¢	$244	0x277274…
02-12 18:56:03	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	239	100¢	$239	0x63fda2…
02-12 16:54:05	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	239	100¢	$239	0x83eeff…
02-11 21:05:13	Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	310	100¢	$310	0x340d87…
02-11 15:56:49	Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	310	100¢	$310	0xf6abea…
02-11 15:56:33	Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	232	100¢	$232	0x5e531c…
02-10 21:22:59	Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	232	100¢	$232	0xc2473c…
02-10 21:22:41	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	302	100¢	$302	0x13b468…